Christmas Week Forecasts

petergriffen · Dec 20, 2007, 9:18 AM

read the new Jay,Vt NOAA weather forecast

Saturday: Cloudy, with a high near 29. South wind between 11 and 15 mph.

Saturday Night: A chance of snow and sleet before 9pm, then a chance of rain, snow and sleet between 9pm and 10pm, then a chance of snow, freezing rain and sleet between 10pm and midnight, then a chance of freezing rain between midnight and 2am, then a chance of rain between 2am and 3am, then a chance of freezing rain and sleet between 3am and 4am, then rain likely possibly mixed with sleet after 4am. Cloudy, with a low around 24. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Sunday: Freezing rain likely before 8am, then rain showers likely between 8am and 3pm, then rain and snow showers likely after 3pm. Cloudy, with a high near 36. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Sunday Night: Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 14. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

**JimG.** · Dec 20, 2007, 10:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KingM

All I know is this. Last year, it was warm but for weeks and weeks they promised that a cold, snowy shot was just around the corner. This year it is cold and fantastically snowy, but they keep warning us that we're due for a warm-up. I know which of these scenarios I prefer.

Besides, we've got so much snow now that a warm-up, if it comes, won't kill us, just slow things down for a few days.

Word Bro!

Think snow!

**Greg** · Dec 20, 2007, 11:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by petergriffen

Saturday Night: A chance of snow and sleet before 9pm, then a chance of rain, snow and sleet between 9pm and 10pm, then a chance of snow, freezing rain and sleet between 10pm and midnight, then a chance of freezing rain between midnight and 2am, then a chance of rain between 2am and 3am, then a chance of freezing rain and sleet between 3am and 4am, then rain likely possibly mixed with sleet after 4am. Cloudy, with a low around 24. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

WTF?

NOAA has been doing these whacky hour-by-hour forecasts a lot this season. Kinda silly to try to pin it down that much. Basically means they don't have a clue what will happen when so they try and throw it all in there...

drjeff · Dec 20, 2007, 11:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Greg

WTF?

NOAA has been doing these whacky hour-by-hour forecasts a lot this season. Kinda silly to try to pin it down that much. Basically means they don't have a clue what will happen when so they try and throw it all in there...

NOAA could have just said between 9PM and 4AM there's a 60% chance of the some slurpee like precipitation happening

ajl50 · Dec 21, 2007, 7:04 AM

After this storm it looks like a quiet few days then the next system will approach on thurs/friday. Again who knows about this track but models are again taking up into the lakes placing us in the warm sector.
I hope this doesn't come true but luckily in this active weather pattern very few forecasts hold true eight days out.

GrilledSteezeSandwich · Dec 21, 2007, 8:27 AM

It looks like rain on Sunday all the way up to the Canadian border..than a quick cold front to freeze everything solid..enjoy the next few days and then sharpen those edges,,,typical eastern ski conditions are returning for the Holidays,,

Angus · Dec 21, 2007, 9:11 AM

this was posted at http://www.mattnoyes.net/new_england_weather/

Ahead of this system, southerly winds will strengthen Saturday night, bringing milder air across New England on Sunday. As clouds thicken with increasing moisture Sunday morning, rain will move in from west to east and a period of steady rain is expected with a mild southerly wind Sunday afternoon, with raindrops the likely precipitation type all the way into Northern New England. Nonetheless, most of our snowpack can handle the hit from the snow, and for most this will not jeopardize the chance for a White Christmas nor the ski conditions for the holiday week. A brief shot of cool air is expected to follow before another moderation the middle to end of next week.

Farther down the line, a stormy pattern looks as though it may try to return to New England starting at the end of next week - perhaps as a warmer and somewhat wet storm - then continuing into the following week with increasing wintry precipitation.

Matt

loafer89 · Dec 21, 2007, 10:57 AM

I am trying to decide if I should make a run for Sunday River tonight for one day of skiing tomorrow before the rain hits. It's an awful lot of driving for one day out on the mountain.

Option b is a day trip to Ragged or Tenney, never been to either one.

hammer · Dec 22, 2007, 4:33 PM

Any updates on the timing of the NCP? I'd like to head out tomorrow to beat the wet weather but I'd rather not make the trip for just a few hours of skiing...

loafer89 · Dec 23, 2007, 6:42 PM

Looks like another storm with a similar track to this one will strike New England next weekend.

Dec 21, 2007, 10:57 AM	#28 (permalink)
loafer89 Sugarloaf Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: Coventry, C.T Posts: 3,551	I am trying to decide if I should make a run for Sunday River tonight for one day of skiing tomorrow before the rain hits. It's an awful lot of driving for one day out on the mountain. Option b is a day trip to Ragged or Tenney, never been to either one. __________________ Ski School - A place where novices are turned into menaces.

Dec 23, 2007, 6:42 PM	#30 (permalink)
loafer89 Sugarloaf Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: Coventry, C.T Posts: 3,551	Looks like another storm with a similar track to this one will strike New England next weekend. __________________ Ski School - A place where novices are turned into menaces.

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Dec 20, 2007, 9:18 AM	#21 (permalink)
petergriffen Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 26	read the new Jay,Vt NOAA weather forecast Saturday: Cloudy, with a high near 29. South wind between 11 and 15 mph. Saturday Night: A chance of snow and sleet before 9pm, then a chance of rain, snow and sleet between 9pm and 10pm, then a chance of snow, freezing rain and sleet between 10pm and midnight, then a chance of freezing rain between midnight and 2am, then a chance of rain between 2am and 3am, then a chance of freezing rain and sleet between 3am and 4am, then rain likely possibly mixed with sleet after 4am. Cloudy, with a low around 24. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Sunday: Freezing rain likely before 8am, then rain showers likely between 8am and 3pm, then rain and snow showers likely after 3pm. Cloudy, with a high near 36. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Sunday Night: Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 14. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Dec 21, 2007, 7:04 AM	#25 (permalink)
ajl50 Join Date: Dec 2005 Location: philly Posts: 702	After this storm it looks like a quiet few days then the next system will approach on thurs/friday. Again who knows about this track but models are again taking up into the lakes placing us in the warm sector. I hope this doesn't come true but luckily in this active weather pattern very few forecasts hold true eight days out.

Dec 21, 2007, 8:27 AM	#26 (permalink)
GrilledSteezeSandwich Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 8,912	It looks like rain on Sunday all the way up to the Canadian border..than a quick cold front to freeze everything solid..enjoy the next few days and then sharpen those edges,,,typical eastern ski conditions are returning for the Holidays,,

Dec 21, 2007, 9:11 AM	#27 (permalink)
Angus Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 356	this was posted at http://www.mattnoyes.net/new_england_weather/ Ahead of this system, southerly winds will strengthen Saturday night, bringing milder air across New England on Sunday. As clouds thicken with increasing moisture Sunday morning, rain will move in from west to east and a period of steady rain is expected with a mild southerly wind Sunday afternoon, with raindrops the likely precipitation type all the way into Northern New England. Nonetheless, most of our snowpack can handle the hit from the snow, and for most this will not jeopardize the chance for a White Christmas nor the ski conditions for the holiday week. A brief shot of cool air is expected to follow before another moderation the middle to end of next week. Farther down the line, a stormy pattern looks as though it may try to return to New England starting at the end of next week - perhaps as a warmer and somewhat wet storm - then continuing into the following week with increasing wintry precipitation. Matt

Dec 22, 2007, 4:33 PM	#29 (permalink)
hammer Mona Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: at a computer Posts: 2,228	Any updates on the timing of the NCP? I'd like to head out tomorrow to beat the wet weather but I'd rather not make the trip for just a few hours of skiing...