The Official 12/30 Storm Discussion Thread

JD · Dec 31, 2007, 6:41 AM

4-6 in town.

danny p · Dec 31, 2007, 7:06 AM

6"-8" on the ground here in northeast dutchess county!! more on the way tomorrow. as mentioned previously on AZ this has to be one of the best calendar years for snow ever, between last spring and this killer, killer, killer december. I'm using my snowshoes i got for christmas tomorrow, gonna go find some lines in my backyard!! better not find anyone on my lines!

danny p · Dec 31, 2007, 7:39 AM

checkout these season snow totals as of this morning from snocountry.com:

Jay Peak - 204"
Stowe - 145"
Smuggs - 137"
Sugarbush - 110"
Killington - 101"
MRG - 99"
Mt. Snow - 54"

wa-loaf · Dec 31, 2007, 7:48 AM

6+ here and still snowing, radar shows one more heavy band coming through.

There's another storm watch for tomorrow and they're predicting another 6-12". Might be a good night to head over to Wachusett.

WJenness · Dec 31, 2007, 7:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wa-loaf

6+ here and still snowing, radar shows one more heavy band coming through.

There's another storm watch for tomorrow and they're predicting another 6-12". Might be a good night to head over to Wachusett.

Do you know what the timing is supposed to be tomorrow? I've got a fencing tournament at Noon in Waltham, and after that, I was thinking of heading out to Wa... My skis are at Mountainside already (dropped them off Thursday night for a fresh coat of wax), might be a nice night for some turns... assuming the lifts keep running.

-w

Euler · Dec 31, 2007, 7:53 AM

The snow just stopped here in the Mt. Snow Valley and it looks like we got a good 8-10 inches. It's a pretty dry, fluffy snow. Another foot coming tomorrow afternoon/night!!!

wa-loaf · Dec 31, 2007, 7:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by WJenness

Do you know what the timing is supposed to be tomorrow? I've got a fencing tournament at Noon in Waltham, and after that, I was thinking of heading out to Wa... My skis are at Mountainside already (dropped them off Thursday night for a fresh coat of wax), might be a nice night for some turns... assuming the lifts keep running.

-w

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING. A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

THIS HEAVY SNOW WARNING INCLUDES NORTH CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS... AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED.

SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES WILL TAPER OFF BY MID OR LATE MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE.

TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT EARLY THIS MORNING...DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF POOR VISIBILITY AND SNOW COVERED ROADS. ALLOW EXTRA TRAVEL TIME IF YOU MUST DRIVE.

A SECOND STORM HAS PROMPTED THE WINTER STORM WATCH FOR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT FOR NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR 6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW IN THE WATCH AREA BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN TRAVEL DELAYS WEDNESDAY MORNING.

KingM · Dec 31, 2007, 8:27 AM

Another 6+ here in the MRV and still snowing. I really want to hit SB today, but the two younger kids only have MRG passes and they'll kill me if I go without them while they're out of school, so its looks like I'm forced to go back there yet again. Poor me.

loafer89 · Dec 31, 2007, 9:36 AM

This has to be one of the worst NOAA forecasting errors I have ever seen, they should go back to meteorology school. We have about 2-3" of slop on the ground.

Extremely disapointing especially running back from Saddleback for nothing.

loafer89 · Dec 31, 2007, 9:44 AM

Another forecast and the day before they still have no clue:

THAT SAID...A LOT COULD GO WRONG WITH THIS FORECAST. AM QUITE
CONCERNED ABOUT SEVERAL THINGS. FIRST OF ALL...THE UKMET MODEL
CONTINUES TO ALSO BE CONSISTENT...SHOWING SURFACE DEVELOPMENT
SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET...AT 00Z WED WHICH RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A
987 MB LOW AS IT HEADS NE TO THE S OF NOVA SCOTIA. THE 12-HOUR 500 MB
HEIGHT FALLS ARE TREMENDOUS OFF THE DELMARVA COAST AS VERY COLD
THICKNESSES BARREL EASTWARD OVER VIRGINIA. THIS MIGHT SUGGEST THAT
THE SURFACE DEVELOPMENT AND/OR 700 MB LOW DEVELOPMENT MIGHT BE
FARTHER SOUTH THAN CURRENTLY MODELED ON THE GFS OR ECMWF.

ALSO IN THE SAME CAMP AS THE UKMET IS THE 00Z NAM WHICH HAS STRONG
DEVELOPMENT SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET AND ITS MAXIMUM VERTICAL MOTION IS
PERFECTLY IN THE DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH REGION. THE NAM WOULD LEAD TO
A FOOT OF SNOW OVER A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...FROM
BOSTON TO HARTFORD NORTHWARD. ALSO UNNERVING IS THE FACT THAT THE
00Z GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS HAVE A TIGHT CLUSTERING OF LOW PRESSURE
CENTERED NEAR THE BENCHMARK OF 40N 70W TUE EVENING. IRONICALLY...IN
THE PAST SEVERAL STORMS THOUGH...THE ENSEMBLES HAVE TRENDED IN TIME
CLOSER TO THE POSITION OF THE GFS OPERATIONAL RUN AND NOT THE OTHER
WAY AROUND.

Dec 31, 2007, 6:41 AM	#21 (permalink)
JD Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Northfield Posts: 1,019	4-6 in town. __________________ Don\'t know until you go.

Dec 31, 2007, 7:06 AM	#22 (permalink)
danny p needles eye @ K 1/2/08 Join Date: Mar 2007 Location: hudson valley Posts: 370	6"-8" on the ground here in northeast dutchess county!! more on the way tomorrow. as mentioned previously on AZ this has to be one of the best calendar years for snow ever, between last spring and this killer, killer, killer december. I'm using my snowshoes i got for christmas tomorrow, gonna go find some lines in my backyard!! better not find anyone on my lines! __________________ 2006-2007: 20 days 2007-2008: 27 days

Dec 31, 2007, 7:39 AM	#23 (permalink)
danny p needles eye @ K 1/2/08 Join Date: Mar 2007 Location: hudson valley Posts: 370	checkout these season snow totals as of this morning from snocountry.com: Jay Peak - 204" Stowe - 145" Smuggs - 137" Sugarbush - 110" Killington - 101" MRG - 99" Mt. Snow - 54" __________________ 2006-2007: 20 days 2007-2008: 27 days

Dec 31, 2007, 7:48 AM	#24 (permalink)
wa-loaf Kenzie RIP Join Date: Jan 2007 Location: Leominster, MA Posts: 4,131	6+ here and still snowing, radar shows one more heavy band coming through. There's another storm watch for tomorrow and they're predicting another 6-12". Might be a good night to head over to Wachusett. __________________ Schivergnügen

Dec 31, 2007, 7:53 AM	#26 (permalink)
Euler Join Date: Jan 2007 Location: Southern Vermont Posts: 117	The snow just stopped here in the Mt. Snow Valley and it looks like we got a good 8-10 inches. It's a pretty dry, fluffy snow. Another foot coming tomorrow afternoon/night!!! __________________ 2008-2009 ???

Dec 31, 2007, 8:27 AM	#28 (permalink)
KingM Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Warren, VT (Sugarbush, MRG) Posts: 587	Another 6+ here in the MRV and still snowing. I really want to hit SB today, but the two younger kids only have MRG passes and they'll kill me if I go without them while they're out of school, so its looks like I'm forced to go back there yet again. Poor me. __________________ http://www.goldenlionriversideinn.com

Dec 31, 2007, 9:36 AM	#29 (permalink)
loafer89 Sugarloaf Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: Coventry, C.T Posts: 3,551	This has to be one of the worst NOAA forecasting errors I have ever seen, they should go back to meteorology school. We have about 2-3" of slop on the ground. Extremely disapointing especially running back from Saddleback for nothing. __________________ Ski School - A place where novices are turned into menaces.

Dec 31, 2007, 9:44 AM	#30 (permalink)
loafer89 Sugarloaf Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: Coventry, C.T Posts: 3,551	Another forecast and the day before they still have no clue: THAT SAID...A LOT COULD GO WRONG WITH THIS FORECAST. AM QUITE CONCERNED ABOUT SEVERAL THINGS. FIRST OF ALL...THE UKMET MODEL CONTINUES TO ALSO BE CONSISTENT...SHOWING SURFACE DEVELOPMENT SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET...AT 00Z WED WHICH RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A 987 MB LOW AS IT HEADS NE TO THE S OF NOVA SCOTIA. THE 12-HOUR 500 MB HEIGHT FALLS ARE TREMENDOUS OFF THE DELMARVA COAST AS VERY COLD THICKNESSES BARREL EASTWARD OVER VIRGINIA. THIS MIGHT SUGGEST THAT THE SURFACE DEVELOPMENT AND/OR 700 MB LOW DEVELOPMENT MIGHT BE FARTHER SOUTH THAN CURRENTLY MODELED ON THE GFS OR ECMWF. ALSO IN THE SAME CAMP AS THE UKMET IS THE 00Z NAM WHICH HAS STRONG DEVELOPMENT SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET AND ITS MAXIMUM VERTICAL MOTION IS PERFECTLY IN THE DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH REGION. THE NAM WOULD LEAD TO A FOOT OF SNOW OVER A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...FROM BOSTON TO HARTFORD NORTHWARD. ALSO UNNERVING IS THE FACT THAT THE 00Z GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS HAVE A TIGHT CLUSTERING OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR THE BENCHMARK OF 40N 70W TUE EVENING. IRONICALLY...IN THE PAST SEVERAL STORMS THOUGH...THE ENSEMBLES HAVE TRENDED IN TIME CLOSER TO THE POSITION OF THE GFS OPERATIONAL RUN AND NOT THE OTHER WAY AROUND. __________________ Ski School - A place where novices are turned into menaces.

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