| from matt noyes web site - hopeful...
Keep in mind, though, that the jet stream trough - with cold air to the north and a storm track right along the jet stream winds - will be gradually moving east with a series of energetic disturbances tugging it across the country. Eventually, it goes to figure that this storm path will reach the Eastern Seaboard, and if a strong enough disturbance has sufficient timing, a coastal storm would be possible. A stronger potential for this arrives Sunday night through Monday, and the track of the storm is still highly questionable, yet quite critical with cold air only gradually building in, and especially the coastal plain still vulnerable to warming from an onshore wind, so if this storm does indeed take shape, snow would be most likely the farther inland, north and west one is, and rain would be more likely the closer to the coast and the farther south and east one is. This is definitely one for all of New England to watch.
The new establishing trough only slowly moves east, which means when the next energetic disturbance rides to the East Coast on Tuesday, the storm path may not be all that much farther east, meaning New England may actually need to watch two systems in 60 hours, depending upon the evolution of the pattern. Either way, the trough will return to the east, and this brings a good chance of near and below normal temperatures through the remainder of the month, which is the change I've been waiting for in recent discussions, and still appears to be on target if all goes as planned. |