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The Official 1/14 Storm Discussion Thread


5-12" for my area: URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 333 PM EST SAT JAN 12 2008 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ054-060-061-064&...

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Old Jan 12, 2008, 4:36 PM   #41 (permalink)
Greg
 
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5-12"

5-12" for my area:

Quote:
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
333 PM EST SAT JAN 12 2008

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ054-060-061-064>066-VTZ013>015-131100-
/O.NEW.KALY.WS.A.0001.080114T0300Z-080114T2200Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
EASTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...HOOSICK FALLS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE... BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
333 PM EST SAT JAN 12 2008

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH FOR THE MID HUDSON VALLEY...TACONICS...BERKSHIRES...
LITCHFIELD HILLS AND SOUTHERN VERMONT...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR 5 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW TO FALL WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THE HIGHEST
CONFIDENCE FOR THE GREATER SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL BE ACROSS WESTERN
MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE DEVELOPING ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC
COAST DURING THE DAY SUNDAY...THEN INTENSIFY AS IT LIFTS NORTHWARD
TO A POSITION JUST EAST OF LONG ISLAND BY MONDAY MORNING. THERE IS
STILL UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE EXACT TRACK OF THE STORM...WHICH
COULD HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON SNOW TOTALS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

$$

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY
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Old Jan 12, 2008, 4:36 PM
 
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Old Jan 12, 2008, 4:48 PM   #42 (permalink)
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This guy has a pretty decent track record:

http://wxrisk.com/

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Old Jan 12, 2008, 6:12 PM   #43 (permalink)
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I like that map, my home is in the "up to 18 inches" area!
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Old Jan 12, 2008, 8:58 PM   #44 (permalink)
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I live right on the line of the 18", so does that mean I will only get 17"

Seriously, Woof, Woof???

Who is this person, Sgt Odball from Kelly's Heroes?

Where you come from, a hero is some kind of wierd sandwich.
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Old Jan 12, 2008, 9:11 PM   #45 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by loafer89 View Post
I live right on the line of the 18", so does that mean I will only get 17"

Seriously, Woof, Woof???

Who is this person, Sgt Odball from Kelly's Heroes?

Where you come from, a hero is some kind of wierd sandwich.
You mean you never heard the expression "Now lets go woof it up" ? meaning lets go have a most excellent time...
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Old Jan 12, 2008, 9:16 PM   #46 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OldsnowboarderME View Post
You mean you never heard the expression "Now lets go woof it up" ? meaning lets go have a most excellent time...

I can't say I have.

I like this fellows enthusiasm, though I doubt anyone will see more than 12" out of this storm, though It would be great to be proven wrong.
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Old Jan 12, 2008, 11:16 PM   #47 (permalink)
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Powder day for AZ Team at Pat's Peak. Bad for racing, but that only accounts for two runs. Good for all the rest of them.
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Old Jan 13, 2008, 6:26 AM   #48 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OldsnowboarderME View Post
You mean you never heard the expression "Now lets go woof it up" ? meaning lets go have a most excellent time...
Jerry, I have heard of "lets go whoop it up." Not to get too anal here, but "whoop" is in the dictionary, defined as you describe. "Woof" is a sound a dog makes.
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Old Jan 13, 2008, 6:31 AM   #49 (permalink)
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the odds

Quote:
Originally Posted by loafer89 View Post
I can't say I have.

I like this fellows enthusiasm, though I doubt anyone will see more than 12" out of this storm, though It would be great to be proven wrong.
I like the probability maps at NWS better than a range statement:

As of 730am sunday EST, at least 4"=high, at least 8"= moderate, at least 12" = slight chance.

I think this is a much better way of setting the expectations properly. With a range of inches, you get the impression the odds are the same through the entire continuum, which of course is not.

see: http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/winter_wx.shtml
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Old Jan 13, 2008, 8:01 AM   #50 (permalink)
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We just got put under a watch for 6+.....is this thing heading more north/inland than originally thought? I havent paid much attention to the weather/news lately.....
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