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Old Apr 8, 2008, 8:32 AM   #6 (permalink)
loafer89
 
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Coventry, C.T
Posts: 3,551
Quote:
Originally Posted by The Sneak View Post
Reggae weekend weather outlook? I ain't goin if its gonna be pouring rain...

It's looking like a possible high elevation snow event is possible for the weekend.

Caribou, Maine NWS forecast discussion:

LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO THE GREAT LAKES EARLY SATURDAY THEN RE-DEVELOP IN THE
GULF OF MAINE SATURDAY NIGHT. AS THE SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
DEVELOPS IN THE GULF OF MAINE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...COLDER
AIR WILL BE DRAW INTO THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA.
BOTH THE GFS AND THE ECMWF ARE COLDER WITH THIS SYSTEM THAN
YESTERDAYS RUNS. WITH THIS IN MIND THE PRIMARY CONCERN IS
PRECIPITATION TYPE. ALSO GIVEN THE TIME OF YEAR AND MARGINAL
THICKNESSES FOR SNOW ALOFT IT IS POSSIBLE THAT PRECIPITATION TYPE
COULD BE DIURNALLY DRIVEN. WILL ASSUME THAT TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL
BE COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SNOW IN NORTH AND CENTRAL AREAS SATURDAY
INTO SUNDAY.

Gray, Maine:


A MORE
SIGNIFICANT SYSTEM ARRIVES FROM THE MIDWEST BY LATE FRIDAY THEN
LINGERS FOR THE BALANCE OF UPCOMING WEEKEND. A RAIN SNOW MIX IS
LIKELY ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN AS COLDER
AIR IS DRAWN SOUTHWARD INTO THE SYSTEM.
-- End Changed Discussion --


Burlington, Vermont:

A SIGNIFICANT PATTERN TRANSITION TOWARD COOLER AND MORE UNSETTLED
WEATHER IS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE NUMERICAL
GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT A BROAD MID-UPR TROPOSPHERIC
TROUGH WILL BE LOCATED ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS ON FRIDAY AND THEN
VERY SLOWLY TRANSLATE EWD TO THE EAST COAST BY 12Z MONDAY. THE ECMWF
HAS BEEN SLOWER IN THIS EVOLUTION AS COMPARED TO THE GFS...AND THE
00Z GFS IS TRENDING NOW TOWARD THE SLOWER ECMWF EVOLUTION. LEADING
REGION OF LOW-LEVEL ISENTROPIC ASCENT OVERSPREADS THE NORTH COUNTRY
DURING THE DAY FRIDAY WITH SKIES BECOMING CLOUDY AND RAIN DEVELOPING
FROM SW-NE. THE BROAD UPPER TROUGH GRADUALLY MOVES IN FROM THE WEST
OVER THE WEEKEND RESULTING IN A COOLING TREND /ESPECIALLY ALOFT/ AND
CONTINUED PERIODS OF RAIN ON SATURDAY. WE/LL NEED TO MONITOR FOR
HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY AS THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES BECOME COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SNOW.
SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MTNS LATE IN THE WEEKEND.
WARM PBL TEMPERATURES SHOULD INITIALLY MINIMIZE SNOW POTENTIAL IN
THE VALLEYS...BUT A MIX OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES
SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS DOESN/T REPRESENT A SIGNIFICANT
CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND WILL CONTINUE WITH A CHANCE OF
RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS.
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