The Official 12/14 - 12/15 Storm Discussion Thread

**Greg** · Dec 14, 2003, 9:09 AM

10:00 AM and 19* and the snow just began flying here in Watertown, CT!

I hope we have a lot of threads like these this winter!

pepperdawg · Dec 14, 2003, 11:26 AM

Just popped into work for a "preemptive strike" on a few tasks which will allow me to play in the snow tommorow

Looks like storm later in the week is shaping up nicely as well...........gotta love this cycle!!!!!

**Greg** · Dec 14, 2003, 12:11 PM

Up to a solid inch and a half, as of 1 PM. Ground and roads are white!

The forecasts I'm seeing for Wed/Thu calls for rain/mixed. I took Thursday off (Fridays have been bad luck) so it better be more frozen stuff than not. Still too far out to tell, and I'm determined to ski regardless.

Any way, today's storm is shaping up nicely. Does this season remind anyone of last season, but perhaps 3 weeks later?

Joshua · Dec 14, 2003, 12:40 PM

1/2 inch in 1/2 hour in Spingfield...big band coming up

expect a change to sleet/rain in all of ct and southern mass tonight

**Greg** · Dec 14, 2003, 12:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfg15

1/2 inch in 1/2 hour in Spingfield...big band coming up

Yeah, really. Snowing HARD now. I don't remember it snowing as hard at any point during last weekend's storm. Up to 2" now!

Joshua · Dec 14, 2003, 12:50 PM

stronger mesoscale dynamics in this storm, more banding, deeper low, more lift...all that good stuff

however, stronger means more flow from the somewhat warm atlantic, so a changeove is to be expected down here

**Greg** · Dec 14, 2003, 12:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfg15

so a changeove is to be expected down here

Any chance of this not happening?

Joshua · Dec 14, 2003, 12:56 PM

1) Dynamics of the storm can cause the atmosphere to cool itself even though warmer air works into it, and this could happen when most of the precip falls thus giving some good amounts of snow before a changeover. This is what the NWS thinks will happen

2) Storm stays east of boston....not sure about that one, although pressure falls look good off the coast....

Joshua · Dec 14, 2003, 12:58 PM

for what its worth, 7.5 millibar pressure drops off the coast of Jersey, indicating bombogenesis, the rapid development and intensification of a storm

this could cause snow fall rates in the next 4 hours easily at or above 1-2 inches an hour

**Greg** · Dec 14, 2003, 2:30 PM

Seems like we're getting a break in the precipitation right now. Still a very fine snow and it's struggling to reach 20 degrees. About 4 1/2" so far this afternoon.

Dec 14, 2003, 9:09 AM	#1 (permalink)
Greg Nassahegan, CT: 9/20 Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: Thomaston, CT Posts: 20,956	The Official 12/14 - 12/15 Storm Discussion Thread 10:00 AM and 19* and the snow just began flying here in Watertown, CT! I hope we have a lot of threads like these this winter! __________________ Greg 2007-08, 2006-07, 2005-06, 2004-05 Life's too short for warm up runs.

Dec 14, 2003, 11:26 AM	#2 (permalink)
pepperdawg Join Date: Nov 2003 Location: Somewhere in the flatlands Posts: 408	Just popped into work for a "preemptive strike" on a few tasks which will allow me to play in the snow tommorow Looks like storm later in the week is shaping up nicely as well...........gotta love this cycle!!!!! __________________ -Woof

Dec 14, 2003, 12:11 PM	#3 (permalink)
Greg Nassahegan, CT: 9/20 Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: Thomaston, CT Posts: 20,956	Up to a solid inch and a half, as of 1 PM. Ground and roads are white! The forecasts I'm seeing for Wed/Thu calls for rain/mixed. I took Thursday off (Fridays have been bad luck) so it better be more frozen stuff than not. Still too far out to tell, and I'm determined to ski regardless. Any way, today's storm is shaping up nicely. Does this season remind anyone of last season, but perhaps 3 weeks later? __________________ Greg 2007-08, 2006-07, 2005-06, 2004-05 Life's too short for warm up runs.

Dec 14, 2003, 2:30 PM	#10 (permalink)
Greg Nassahegan, CT: 9/20 Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: Thomaston, CT Posts: 20,956	Seems like we're getting a break in the precipitation right now. Still a very fine snow and it's struggling to reach 20 degrees. About 4 1/2" so far this afternoon. __________________ Greg 2007-08, 2006-07, 2005-06, 2004-05 Life's too short for warm up runs.

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Dec 14, 2003, 12:40 PM	#4 (permalink)
Joshua Join Date: Jul 2002 Location: Connecticut Posts: 393	1/2 inch in 1/2 hour in Spingfield...big band coming up expect a change to sleet/rain in all of ct and southern mass tonight

Dec 14, 2003, 12:50 PM	#6 (permalink)
Joshua Join Date: Jul 2002 Location: Connecticut Posts: 393	stronger mesoscale dynamics in this storm, more banding, deeper low, more lift...all that good stuff however, stronger means more flow from the somewhat warm atlantic, so a changeove is to be expected down here

Dec 14, 2003, 12:56 PM	#8 (permalink)
Joshua Join Date: Jul 2002 Location: Connecticut Posts: 393	1) Dynamics of the storm can cause the atmosphere to cool itself even though warmer air works into it, and this could happen when most of the precip falls thus giving some good amounts of snow before a changeover. This is what the NWS thinks will happen 2) Storm stays east of boston....not sure about that one, although pressure falls look good off the coast....

Dec 14, 2003, 12:58 PM	#9 (permalink)
Joshua Join Date: Jul 2002 Location: Connecticut Posts: 393	for what its worth, 7.5 millibar pressure drops off the coast of Jersey, indicating bombogenesis, the rapid development and intensification of a storm this could cause snow fall rates in the next 4 hours easily at or above 1-2 inches an hour

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