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It's coming!

Tin

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Let's start the season with a 348hour solution!
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_49.png
 

Tin

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I initially posted just because of the snow.


Yeah, I see more OTS for this storm.

Yes, it is appearing that way and I would hope it does. I'm all for weather, but the runs last night would have been an absolute disaster for New England and upstate NY. Leafs on trees + dry ground + 8-12" of rain + sustained 60-80mph = Weeks without power in some areas, washing away base lodges, etc. Cape Cod and the shore would be like "Diet 1938" conditions.

This is from last night, luckily trending east.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_32.png
 

WoodCore

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Not trending far enough east and slowing down. This could get nasty! Granted it's a week out but still one to keep an eye on.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_33.jpg
 

Tin

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We need to make American weather models great again.


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LOL, yes.

Euro is king but has had some monumental misses in the past few years in terms of big weather events (Blizzard of 2015 it gave NYC feet of snow, they ended up with 8-10", DC Blizzard this year it put about a foot of snow there and they got 30"), that said it nailed Joaquin if I remember correctly.
 
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catsup948

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Hopefully Matthew skirts the coast and heads out to sea. Looks like some possible cold building into eastern Canada after that.
 

mriceyman

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Euro has hardly been king lately.. But it has sandy under its belt and thats all the masses remember


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Tin

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In terms of small window tracks and landfall, the NAM has actually modeled tropical systems very well inside 48 hours. It was the only one that really got Hermine earlier this year and had Irene (dont remember what it had for Sandy). Obviously it is always over juiced so it is not the best for snowfall.
 
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