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Week of Feb 27 to March 3 -- 2012

billski

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Feb 22, 2005
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North Reading, Mass.
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Urgent - winter weather message

Urgent - winter weather message
national weather service burlington vt
247 pm est tue feb 28 2012

the national weather service in burlington continues the winter
storm watch...from wednesday evening through thursday evening.

* locations...all of northern new york and vermont.

* hazard types...moderate snow along with mixed precipitation
over parts of northern new york.

* accumulations...snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches...with up to
10 inches in south central vermont and along the eastern slopes of the
adirondacks and green mountains. Up to one tenth of an inch of
ice is possible in the saint lawrence valley of new york.

* timing...snow will begin late in the day on wednesday and
become moderate at times wednesday night and thursday. Mixed
precipitation will also be possible over parts of northern new
york late wednesday night into thursday morning.


* impacts...accumulating snows will create hazardous travel
conditions. Mixed precipitation over northern new york will
also add to the hazardous travel conditions.

* winds...southeast 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* temperatures...lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 30s.

* visibilities...one mile or less in moderate snow.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A winter storm watch means there is a potential for significant
snow...sleet...or ice accumulations that may impact travel.
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.

------------------------

urgent - winter weather message
national weather service albany ny
351 pm est tue feb 28 2012

accumulations...snow and sleet accumulations of 4 to 8 inches
are possible...with higher amounts of 8 to 14 inches across the
saratoga region eastward across southern vermont and into the
northern berkshires and northern taconics.

* timing...snow will overspread the area with sleet mixing in
during the evening and continue into thursday morning. A
changeover to rain is possible during the day thursday up the
hudson valley. The precipitation will taper off by late in day.

* impacts...hazardous travel conditions.

* winds...east to southeast 5 to 15 mph.

* temperatures...in the upper 20s to lower 30s rising into to the
mid and upper 30s on thursday.
 

BenedictGomez

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Jan 26, 2011
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Wasatch Back
At this point, I'm more worried about odds of rain on Saturday than how much snow falls Wed/Thurs.

If I'm reading the GFS properly, it looks rain cant be avoided even if you go really far north like Stowe or Jay? This would make me a sad panda. So if I'm looking at this correctly, hopefully the GFS continues to be wrong as it often has been. :(
 

St. Bear

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Dec 22, 2008
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At this point, I'm more worried about odds of rain on Saturday than how much snow falls Wed/Thurs.

If I'm reading the GFS properly, it looks rain cant be avoided even if you go really far north like Stowe or Jay? This would make me a sad panda. So if I'm looking at this correctly, hopefully the GFS continues to be wrong as it often has been. :(

I think I'm going up to ski regardless if it rains or not. I had plans to ski each of the last two weekends, and had to cancel. I don't care if I need scuba gear.
 

soposkier

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Jan 17, 2010
Messages
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Sugarloaf and maybe Saddleback are looking like they might survive Saturday without much NFP. Fingers crossed....
 

Tooth

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Oct 11, 2011
Messages
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Location
Maine coast and SL
Sugarloaf and maybe Saddleback are looking like they might survive Saturday without much NFP. Fingers crossed....

I am so happy to hear this. Roemer called this today over on bestskiweather.com. I heard Sugarloaf may even get snow next week, even in the face of warmth.
 

Tooth

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Maine coast and SL
Wow if that's the case I'm there.

"Another rain changing to snow system is likely later next week." If you didnt see this over on the other site. From Bestskiweather.com's todays report.

At our elevation could be sleet/snow mix or wet snow. Southern NE will see the NFP to mix.
 

billski

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Feb 22, 2005
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I am so happy to hear this. Roemer called this today over on bestskiweather.com. I heard Sugarloaf may even get snow next week, even in the face of warmth.

Maybe
http://snowforecast.com/SundayRiverSkiResort
Sat
60-70% chance of snow turning to mixed showers

stowe
sat
60-70% chance of snow turning to mixed showers

same forecast at Bretton Woods
 

BenedictGomez

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Jan 26, 2011
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Wasatch Back
Starting to get a real bad feeling about this one. GFS looks AWFUL. It would be par for the 2011-2012 course for the best conditions of the entire ski season to be wiped out by a significant rain event the next week. I'll probably have to make a go/no go decision on this one by Thursday night, but it aint looking too good right now.
 

billski

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Feb 22, 2005
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Starting to get a real bad feeling about this one. GFS looks AWFUL. It would be par for the 2011-2012 course for the best conditions of the entire ski season to be wiped out by a significant rain event the next week. I'll probably have to make a go/no go decision on this one by Thursday night, but it aint looking too good right now.

Look, I'll be there Thursday afternoon. We'll see. PM me.
 

mlctvt

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Mar 24, 2006
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CT
Looks like NOAA Albany has increased their snow forecast for Mount Snow/ Magic to 10-14 inches. Look at BillSki's post #48.

Thursday and Friday look great before the spoiler r**n hits Friday night & Sat . It looks like I have to wait and drive up early Friday morning but I wouldn't mind being there Thursday too.
 

BenedictGomez

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Look, I'll be there Thursday afternoon. We'll see. PM me.

Lucky you. Thursday and Friday will be awesome.

Thursday and Friday look great before the spoiler r**n hits Friday night & Sat .

And I'm now starting to worry about potential high winds in addition to rain during the weekend given there's a cold front right on the heels of that warm air. Any of our weather experts have any thoughts on this as to whether my fear is valid or not?
 

ScottySkis

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Jan 16, 2011
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Middletown NY
I Think this Saturday might have really nice spring conditions may go to Hunter (soft snow and march-means crowds will be down for sure.
 

KTammaro

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Mar 21, 2011
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I'm SNOW excited NE is finally getting some! Attitash and Sugarloaf planned for March! finallllly!
 

billski

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Feb 22, 2005
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here
it
comes

northeast.gif


:spread:
 
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