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Weekend of December 14th

BenedictGomez

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I bet tomorrow's 12z NAM has a completely different solution, and one that looks much more like EURO, GFS, and Canuck. It is scary that it wants to pull the storm even farther east though.
 
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I bet tomorrow's 12z NAM has a completely different solution, and one that looks much more like EURO, GFS, and Canuck. It is scary that it wants to pull the storm even farther east though.

I'm not really alarmed, its actually a little more west than the reliable models. It goes over the Canal while Euro/GFS go se of ACK.

We'll see what happens in the morning.
 

BenedictGomez

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LOL, just took the time to add up all the time lapses on that 00z NAM, and it would probably deposit at least 12 - 13 inches where I live in Jersey were it to verify.
 

Savemeasammy

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I'm fairly close to the sweet spot for this. I only wish my Sunday wasn't committed to $100's in polar express tix. Argh! I will have to sneak out for AM turns at Pats and take what I can get.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 

billski

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THIS settles it!

OK, OK, OK. Kelly's sealed the deal. I'm taking off Monday AND TUESDAY. Snow every day until the end of the year? Best early conditions in 20 years? When you finish watching this video you may have to change your pants. Well, at least the Tim Kelly part. As Kelly ends, he says, "Livin' the dream..."

 

billski

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Kiss me Ullr!

Seal the deal with a kiss:

Albany WFO

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE REGION...

EXTENSIVE COLLABORATION WITH NEIGHBORING WFOS AND WPC THIS MORNING
AS 00Z GUIDANCE IS SLOWLY COMING TO AN AGREEMENT WITH A
SIGNIFICANT IMPACT FROM THIS DEVELOPING WINTER STORM.
THIS STORM
IS MORE OF A MILLER TYPE `B` AS REDEVELOPMENT WILL COMMENCE FROM
THE OHIO VALLEY SYSTEM TO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION.

SATURDAY NIGHT...THIS WILL BE THE MAIN EVENT


THE COMBINATION OF THIS SNOWFALL BAND AND THOSE WINDS COULD
POTENTIALLY BRING NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN
FOR A PERIOD OF TIME.

Bring your facemask and toe warmers and a snow shovel!!!

CLOUDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE FOR MONDAY NIGHT AS A CLIPPER SYSTEM
DIVES FROM SOUTHERN CANADA TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES. THERE IS GOOD
MODEL AGREEMENT THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST FOR
LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. AS A RESULT...A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD
OF LIGHT SNOW LOOKS TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION.


Burlington WFO
933 AM EST FRI DEC 13 2013
UPPER LEVEL FEATURES. THERE IS ALSO GOOD AGREEMENT
ON QPF AMOUNTS...WHICH ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE AROUND A HALF INCH
ACROSS THE REGION. SOME HIGHER AMOUNTS LIKELY IN AREAS FAVORING
UPSLOPE ON EASTERLY FLOW...AND SOME LIGHTER TOTALS WHERE
DOWNSLOPING OCCURS. AMOUNTS OF .4 TO .6 INCHES OF LIQUID WITH
EXPECTED SNOW RATIOS AVERAGING AROUND 15:1 WOULD YIELD 6 TO 10
INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS FORECAST AREA...THUS A WINTER STORM WATCH
HAS BEEN ISSUED. SNOW WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
HIGHS ON SUNDAY IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 20S.

BOSTON WFO
...
GIVEN THE TIME RANGE HERE AND UNCERTAINTY...STILL 48-60HRS AWAY
THINK A MODEL BLEND IS STILL OUR FRIEND.
...
THIS
SUPPORTS A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF 6+ INCHES OF SNOWFALL BEFORE ANY
POSSIBLE CHANGEOVER TO NORTHERN CT/NORTHERN RI AND EXTENDING
NORTHEAST INTO THE GREATER BOSTON AREA. THIS ALSO INCLUDES WESTERN-
CENTRAL MA INTO SOUTHERN NH. THUS WILL ISSUE A WINTER STORM WATCH
FOR THIS AREA.
...
PTYPE...STILL TOO EARLY TO NAIL DOWN THE EXACT TRANSITION TO MIXED
PRECIP. HOWEVER A MODEL BLEND BRINGS A WINTRY MIX AS FAR NORTH AND
BRIEFLY INTO NORTHERN CT-RI-SOUTHERN WORCESTER COUNTY AND INTO THE
GREATER BOSTON AREA BETWEEN 09Z-12Z.




HAZARD TYPES...A PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW FOLLOWED BY SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...ALONG
WITH A TRACE TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE.
 

billski

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Girls and Boys in Gray (Maine)

Bundle up you Loafers/Backers:
GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING. TEMPS WILL DROP BELOW ZERO MOST
EVERYWHERE AWAY FROM THE COAST WITH 10 TO 20 BELOW ZERO N/MT
ZONES AND ZERO TO 10 BELOW ELSEWHERE
...
THIS TRACK
WOULD RESULT IN A PLOWABLE SNOW EVENT FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST
AREA. GIVEN FORECASTER CONFIDENCE A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN
POSTED FOR THE ENTIRE CWA
...
ME...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING FOR MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028.
NH...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING FOR NHZ001>010-013-014.
 

WWF-VT

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WCAX update:

A *WINTER STORM WATCH* is in effect for Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning. A major storm will move in from the SW late Saturday afternoon and quickly overspread the North Country during the evening. The heaviest & steadiest snow will fall Saturday night. But snow showers will continue through Sunday. At the end of the day on Sunday, we can expect a pretty widespread 6-12" snowfall from this storm.Once the storm goes by, we'll be left with another cold day on Monday.
We will continue to keep you up-to-date with the very latest on this weekend storm. Enjoy the snow, but travel safely!
-Gary


I'm looking forward to a powder day on Sunday at Sugarbush. 10+ inches of snow already this week and a lot more terrain opening.
 

billski

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nam_namer_072_precip_ptot.gif
 

4aprice

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OK, OK, OK. Kelly's sealed the deal. I'm taking off Monday AND TUESDAY. Snow every day until the end of the year? Best early conditions in 20 years? When you finish watching this video you may have to change your pants. Well, at least the Tim Kelly part. As Kelly ends, he says, "Livin' the dream..."


Thanks Bill, you just killed my motivation to get anything done except get ready to hit the slopes this weekend. :lol: Awesome video. Is this the Northeast or am I dreaming?

Alex


Lake Hopatcong, NJ
 
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