March 13th (Don't Crucify me!)

flightschool · Mar 10, 2014

Well, go to northern Vt, white face, or SL. New NAM run tracked a ways further north again, did not reverse the trend. I had a feeling it was going to move north because every time my schedule allows me an easy day trip, the close spots end up bulls eye 3 days out and then off center and miss half the snow fall. It is way too predictable. F, it, I might just drive to sugarloaf weds night.

Sorry for anyone trying to ski in the southern areas. This is going to suck big time for you, I think.

Quietman · Mar 10, 2014

What the hell happened to the negative NAOI!?!?!?!? :evil::evil::evil::evil:

Did it get too negative?

Boston Bulldog · Mar 10, 2014

flightschool said:
Well, go to northern Vt, white face, or SL. New NAM run tracked a ways further north again, did not reverse the trend. I had a feeling it was going to move north because every time my schedule allows me an easy day trip, the close spots end up bulls eye 3 days out and then off center and miss half the snow fall. It is way too predictable. F, it, I might just drive to sugarloaf weds night.

Sorry for anyone trying to ski in the southern areas. This is going to suck big time for you, I think.

We toss the NAM, no questions asked. It also went south too. Are you actually looking at the models or listening to the chatter on the street?

GFS went south too and EURO ticked south midday. The trend is actually going the OTHER way.

Boston Bulldog · Mar 10, 2014

There is so much that doesn't make sense in the NAM run lol. DC goes from near 70 to 20 in 6 hours, the low cuts to ERIE PA, then slides due east and doesn't strengthen whatsoever, and the thermal gradient is TOTALLY out of whack. roflmao

We toss, that run was some seriously F'ed up stuff. The NAM is higher than Scotty right now.

BenedictGomez · Mar 10, 2014

Twenty-four hours from now, I'll look at the NAM. Though you might want to try some urban-skiing in Toronto if it verifies.

flightschool · Mar 10, 2014

Maybe you're right, maybe NAM is seeing that there is no reason for storm not to just head north. Euro model has not been flawless this year even when run to run consistent right? I am hoping euro confirms, it would be candy farting unicorns for me it did.

flightschool · Mar 10, 2014

new euro isn't out yet man, nor GFS?

Boston Bulldog · Mar 10, 2014

BenedictGomez said:
Twenty-four hours from now, I'll look at the NAM. Though you might want to try some urban-skiing in Toronto if it verifies.

Yea the NAM I only good when the storm is bearing down on us. It's mesoscale model so it's good with little nuances within the storm and it's range is within 24 hours. Using it outside of that range and your mind gets bombarded with nonsensical solutions.

I don't think there is enough room for the storm to move any more north. That PV lobe is legit.

Boston Bulldog · Mar 10, 2014

flightschool said:
new euro isn't out yet man.

I said midday EURO

flightschool · Mar 10, 2014

If the NAM is useless until 24 hr out, why would a guy as legit as rayno spend 7 minute discussing it 4 day out? Seem bizarro to me, but i'm new to the game.

I'm going to bed. Might have to up at 5am thursday

hope you're all right about this not going north, would love to save some money!

BenedictGomez · Mar 11, 2014

00Z GEM brings R/S line WAY far north. Yuck.

00Z GFS is better, R/S line basically pivoted from horizontal to diagonal it seems

JDMRoma · Mar 11, 2014

BenedictGomez said:
00Z GEM brings R/S line WAY far north. Yuck.

00Z GFS is better, R/S line basically pivoted from horizontal to diagonal it seems

Northern NH still looks good though.........

Savemeasammy · Mar 11, 2014

octopus said:
flight,thats a good call, and sr always has a good base. magic is always awesome after a dump, but there might not be too much underneath

This will be an elevation storm. SR = poor elevation.

Sent from my iPhone using AlpineZone mobile app

flightschool · Mar 11, 2014

BenedictGomez said:
00Z GEM brings R/S line WAY far north. Yuck.

00Z GFS is better, R/S line basically pivoted from horizontal to diagonal it seems

who would have thought:wink:

Boston Bulldog · Mar 11, 2014

NAM goes WAY south once in range haha.

GFS goes south as well.

EURO stands pat or ticks a little north

I think everything is in falling into place. I've never looked at the GEM and is never plan to use that model.

Boston Bulldog · Mar 11, 2014

Wow NAM is all snow down to 495. Probably an overcorrection.

flightschool · Mar 11, 2014

Boston Bulldog said:
Wow NAM is all snow down to 495. Probably an overcorrection.

So it corrected south 150 miles this morning? Or is it just colder all over?

Boston Bulldog · Mar 11, 2014

flightschool said:
So it corrected south 150 miles this morning? Or is it just colder all over?

Well it looks like it jumped into line the the euro guidance, same with the GFS which jumped south 50 miles. Midday Euro today will tell the story on this storm.

Boston Bulldog · Mar 11, 2014

ImageUploadedByAlpineZone1394537892.584766.jpg

NAM snow map

flightschool · Mar 11, 2014

:roll: C'est Possible!!!

March 13th (Don't Crucify me!)

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