2014-2015 Winter Forecast (here we go)

xwhaler · Mar 23, 2015

hammer said:
Sounds like a good selection, just want it to be a bit warmer to soften things up a bit...

We all do! It felt like Early January yesterday at Pats Peak skiing on frozen corduroy with the wind whipping making it feel about zero.
As for VT you have a bunch of options for Easter wknd

http://vtskiandride.com/2015/03/11/closing-dates-for-vermont-resorts-announced/

BenedictGomez · Mar 24, 2015

Lots of unsettled and precipitous weather on the models over the next 10 days, unfortunately it mostly looks like rain.

The good news (hopefully) is in most cases it's not raining because it's 45 degrees, but because it's 35 degrees, so hopefully the temps can come down just a bit and turn to snow on some of the future model runs.

St. Bear · Mar 24, 2015

My ADK trip this weekend is looking to be more ice skating than skiing.

SnowRock · Mar 24, 2015

St. Bear said:
My ADK trip this weekend is looking to be more ice skating than skiing.

For my Stowe trip... Ive gone from contemplating leaving from the office Wednesday/cheap hotel before house rental kicks in to get in all day thursday, to leaving at 4 am from NJ to get in some time thursday, to working from home until 1 thursday and just hitting up pro pig upon arrival to the area.

BenedictGomez · Mar 24, 2015

18z GFS came in a bit colder for both of the near-term rain/mix/snow events. Hopefully this is a trend and not a 1-run aberration.

Also develops some big snow in the out dates, but that's fantasy stuff at this point.

JonD · Mar 25, 2015

Tim Kelley is making things interesting for this weekend.

https://twitter.com/surfskiwxman/status/580527743093358592

St. Bear · Mar 25, 2015

He's been very aggressive this year, and he's been right where a lot of mets have undershot their forecasts. Let's hope that's the case again.

Puck it · Mar 25, 2015

JonD said:
Tim Kelley is making things interesting for this weekend.

https://twitter.com/surfskiwxman/status/580527743093358592

is this real?

JDMRoma · Mar 25, 2015

God I hope so ! Skiing Saturday !

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xwhaler · Mar 25, 2015

JDMRoma said:
God I hope so ! Skiing Saturday !

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Cannon or BWoods?

JDMRoma · Mar 25, 2015

Flip a coin ! Either one

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Puck it · Mar 25, 2015

JDMRoma said:
God I hope so ! Skiing Saturday !

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I can do Saturday I think.

Puck it · Mar 25, 2015

xwhaler said:
Cannon or BWoods?

Not Saturday at Cannon. Dew challenge is Saturday

JDMRoma · Mar 25, 2015

If that forecast is real Saturday is it !
I'd do Cannon !

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JDMRoma · Mar 25, 2015

Burke or K

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catsup948 · Mar 25, 2015

This has some nice potential for northern ski country. Its just ugly looking around here. Dirt, grass, snow, puddles, mud, refrozen mud, ice, yuck!

BenedictGomez · Mar 25, 2015

Puck it said:
is this real?

It's ballsy-aggressive, but it's possible.

This is where I was commenting there's good potential IF the models come in colder. He must either believe that happens OR he sees something atmospherically that suggests better dynamics than the models are picking up on (better timing, colder, lingering, etc..).

Frankly, if you just look at the models, Monday/Tuesday looks better for snow than Friday/Saturday.

Here's the GFS output through mid-day Tuesday, verbatim to the model most of this is on Monday.

The pattern is energetic and wet, this is the reason I booked a week in northern Vermont for this timeframe, the writing has been on the wall for several weeks now that later March / early April have really special potential. Crossing fingers and toes it pans out. Currenly have Smuggs, Jay, Stowe, and MRG on the itinerary!

xwhaler · Mar 25, 2015

Puck it said:
I can do Saturday I think.

Where are you guys going Sat if this pans out? I could possibly join you

Puck it · Mar 25, 2015

xwhaler said:
Where are you guys going Sat if this pans out? I could possibly join you

I doubt Cannon.

BenedictGomez · Mar 25, 2015

I'll tell you one thing, if northern Vermont squeezes out anything even remotely close to 12" from this first "cointoss precipitation" event Thurs/Friday, I am going to be happier than a pig in slop with a giant food-source within reach.

2014-2015 Winter Forecast (here we go)

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