1/26 Manitoba Mauler

• Jan 24, 2015

• #1

Boston Bulldog

Member

Joined

Sep 15, 2012

Messages

780

Points

16

Location

Boston

Manitoba maulers are very rare, but if they blow up, boy do they blow up. Sunday Night the first Mauler of the season is going to exit off the East Coast and undergo bombogenesis. Originally it was looking like it would get shoved out to sea due to leftover vorticity from the current storm, but the most recent EURO run says hold your horses.



Now this storm is still a little too far south for the big New England ski areas, but it is right on the doorstep. Maulers are extremely explosive and have ignited storms such as 1/27/11, 2/7-8/13 and 1/22/05 among many others. With today's system acting as a 50/50 block this one could stay with us for a while, unlike today's racer. It all depends on how far we can reel this one in and how quickly the Mauler looses its mind.

 

• Jan 24, 2015

• #2

Tin

Active member

Joined

Oct 14, 2009

Messages

2,996

Points

38

Location

ZooMass Slamherst

Love how we go to bed with nothing and wake up to a blizzard.

 

• Jan 24, 2015

• #3

Boston Bulldog

Member

Joined

Sep 15, 2012

Messages

780

Points

16

Location

Boston

Also a note on the above map, the snowfall amounts there are based on 10:1 ratios. Due to the cold temperatures I would expect 15:1 ratios or possibly higher.

 

• Jan 24, 2015

• #4

Tin

Active member

Joined

Oct 14, 2009

Messages

2,996

Points

38

Location

ZooMass Slamherst

Oh hello NAM....

 

• Jan 24, 2015

• #5

Not Sure

Well-known member

Joined

Dec 14, 2013

Messages

2,858

Points

63

Location

Lehigh County Pa.

Website

www.youtube.com

Something in the works Friday too?

 

• Jan 24, 2015

• #6

BenedictGomez

Well-known member

Joined

Jan 26, 2011

Messages

12,170

Points

113

Location

Wasatch Back

This thing is going to be too far east to do any good for ski country.

Pretty much a miss for virtually every eastern area, and only the Euro has it this far west in the first place. The other models have it snowing on dolphins and tuna.

Scott Norwood storm.

 

• Jan 24, 2015

• #7

BenedictGomez

Well-known member

Joined

Jan 26, 2011

Messages

12,170

Points

113

Location

Wasatch Back

I just ran the GFS and the Canuck to show how OTS this likely is.

GFS

Canadian

EDIT: May as well throw in the NAM too.

NAM

 

• Jan 24, 2015

• #8

Tin

Active member

Joined

Oct 14, 2009

Messages

2,996

Points

38

Location

ZooMass Slamherst

Siliconebobsquarepants said:

Something in the works Friday too?

Click to expand...

Yes but another southern deal as of now. But given what happened over night anything is possible lol

 

• Jan 24, 2015

• #9

Boston Bulldog

Member

Joined

Sep 15, 2012

Messages

780

Points

16

Location

Boston

BenedictGomez said:

EDIT: May as well throw in the NAM too.

NAM

Click to expand...

Watch the NAM until the end of the run. It says Blizzard.

 

• Jan 24, 2015

• #10

Tin

Active member

Joined

Oct 14, 2009

Messages

2,996

Points

38

Location

ZooMass Slamherst

NAM just went 1978....or full retard.

 

Last edited: Jan 24, 2015

• Jan 24, 2015

• #11

Boston Bulldog

Member

Joined

Sep 15, 2012

Messages

780

Points

16

Location

Boston

I'm starting to run the 12z GFS. The mauler is digging for gold in the trough and is way west of its 6z position

Latest RGEM (Canadian) looks ready to pop one too.

 

• Jan 24, 2015

• #12

BenedictGomez

Well-known member

Joined

Jan 26, 2011

Messages

12,170

Points

113

Location

Wasatch Back

Boston Bulldog said:

I'm starting to run the 12z GFS. The mauler is digging for gold in the trough and is way west of its 6z position

Click to expand...

How far west (I'm out and cant run them) though? We need like 200 miles in just over 48 hours!

 

• Jan 24, 2015

• #13

Boston Bulldog

Member

Joined

Sep 15, 2012

Messages

780

Points

16

Location

Boston

It swung about 100 miles west. What an atrocious model.

 

• Jan 24, 2015

• #14

Tin

Active member

Joined

Oct 14, 2009

Messages

2,996

Points

38

Location

ZooMass Slamherst

GFS is really digging. No matter what it is closed in the Ohio River Valley.





BOMB

 

• Jan 24, 2015

• #15

Boston Bulldog

Member

Joined

Sep 15, 2012

Messages

780

Points

16

Location

Boston

From Amwx

 

• Jan 24, 2015

• #16

Boston Bulldog

Member

Joined

Sep 15, 2012

Messages

780

Points

16

Location

Boston

Talk about a beaut. Let's keep that juju rolling.

 

• Jan 24, 2015

• #17

billski

Active member

Joined

Feb 22, 2005

Messages

16,207

Points

38

Location

North Reading, Mass.

Website

ski.iabsi.com

FOR WHAT ITS
WORTH...THE 00Z ECMWF SHOWS A MAJOR WINTER STORM FOR EASTERN NEW
ENGLAND WITH HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS. KEEP IN MIND THIS IS JUST
ONE OPERATIONAL MODEL RUN AND THE FIRST TO SHOW IT. MUCH OF THE 00Z
GUIDANCE IS STILL WAY SOUTHEAST AND PRETTY MUCH A MISS FOR MOST OF
THE REGION. WILL NEED TO SEE IF THIS WAS JUST A HICCUP OR IF THE
ECMWF AND A FEW OF THE GEFS ARE ONTO SOMETHING IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS

 

• Jan 24, 2015

• #18

billski

Active member

Joined

Feb 22, 2005

Messages

16,207

Points

38

Location

North Reading, Mass.

Website

ski.iabsi.com

BenedictGomez said:

This thing is going to be too far east to do any good for ski country.

Pretty much a miss for virtually every eastern area, and only the Euro has it this far west in the first place. The other models have it snowing on dolphins and tuna.

Scott Norwood storm.

Click to expand...

Not entirely onboard with that one. My money, for the moment is that So. VT will win something...

 

• Jan 24, 2015

• #19

Boston Bulldog

Member

Joined

Sep 15, 2012

Messages

780

Points

16

Location

Boston

Possibly the biggest model run of the winter is going on right now. I'm at 30 hours on the EURO and it has closed off over the Ohio valley

EURO looks like it want to mine.

 

• Jan 24, 2015

• #20

Boston Bulldog

Member

Joined

Sep 15, 2012

Messages

780

Points

16

Location

Boston

EURO goes KABOOM!

It ticked west and got a lot more ski area in play.