billski
Active member
Roger Hill April 2
-
Welcome to AlpineZone, the largest online community of skiers and snowboarders in the Northeast!
You may have to REGISTER before you can post. Registering is FREE, gets rid of the majority of advertisements, and lets you participate in giveaways and other AlpineZone events!
Fri Apr 3 to Sat Apr 4
- Thread starter billski
- Start date
billski
Active member
Burlington, GFS run
billski
Active member
RutVegas GFS run
billski
Active member
Concord GFS run
Vortex
Member
Sr looks like it might make out ok on this storm, the long range looks really good next week.
Sent from my iPhone using AlpineZone
Sent from my iPhone using AlpineZone
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
〽❄❅;900071 said:
The weather channel can kiss my rear. Hopefully more cable networks drop them.
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
12z GFS pretty much holds serve, would be maybe 5" ending before 1pm.
12z NAM comes in much better and faster, definitely a 6" or 7" deal, ending by 9am or so.
Canadian isnt out yet.
The unspoken thing with this though, is there's potential for much more. The reason the models are only spitting out 3" to 7" is because it's too warm for snow Friday night into early Saturday morning, and some of the storm is wasted as rain:
But if the temps come in a bit colder than expected (wishcasting, but it sometimes happens) or there is a nice elevational effect, this would add approximately another 4" to 7", so then you'd be looking at something more like 9" to 12" total.
In other weather news, it just stopped snowing here at Smuggs, but snowed for a good hour. Never-ending winter!
12z NAM comes in much better and faster, definitely a 6" or 7" deal, ending by 9am or so.
Canadian isnt out yet.
The unspoken thing with this though, is there's potential for much more. The reason the models are only spitting out 3" to 7" is because it's too warm for snow Friday night into early Saturday morning, and some of the storm is wasted as rain:
But if the temps come in a bit colder than expected (wishcasting, but it sometimes happens) or there is a nice elevational effect, this would add approximately another 4" to 7", so then you'd be looking at something more like 9" to 12" total.
In other weather news, it just stopped snowing here at Smuggs, but snowed for a good hour. Never-ending winter!
billski
Active member
So BG, you're playing in the snow? How is it? dense? wet? what are the temps at elevation? Inquiring minds want to know!
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
Jay peak and Smuggs on Saturday and Sunday. Good conditions, nothing fresh in trees, but they were ski-able and fun.
Stowe on Tuesday with 4" fresh snow and it skied mid-winter'ish, everything was perfect. Skied MRG yesterday for the first time, they also received 4" the day before so it was in nice shape there too. Bottom line is, northern Vermont is the place to be right now.
NWS has lincoln peak at 3000' getting 6-10". here's an excerpt of the discussion.
PRECIPITATION BEGINS AS A COLD RAIN 02-06Z
SATURDAY...BUT COMBINATION OF LOW-LEVEL CAA AND DIABATIC EFFECTS
RESULT IN RAIN CHANGING TO WET SNOW 06-12Z SATURDAY...AND
CONTINUING THROUGH 18Z SAT. THERE WILL BE A LARGE ELEVATIONAL
DEPENDENCE TO SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS...AND MOST OF THE
ACCUMULATION IN THE VALLEYS WILL BE ON GRASSY
SURFACES...ETC...FOLLOWING THE WARMTH EXPECTED THRU THE DAY
FRIDAY. QPF AMOUNTS GENERALLY 0.4-0.70"...HIGHEST ACROSS CENTRAL
INTO NERN VT. USING A 10:1 RATIO IN THE VALLEYS AND 14:1 ACROSS
THE SUMMITS...LOOKING AT A RANGE OF SNOWFALL AMTS FROM RANGING
FROM AN INCH OR LESS IN THE SOUTHERN VALLEYS...TO 1-3" IN THE
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY TO 3-7" ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE NORTHERN
ADIRONDACKS...AS WELL AS NORTH-CENTRAL INTO NORTHEASTERN VERMONT.
WILL NEED TO CONSIDER HEADLINES FOR SOME OF THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 1000`...FOR THE NRN ADIRONDACKS AND N-
CENTRAL INTO NERN VT. SINCE SNOWFALL WILL BE HIGHLY SENSITIVE TO
JUST A DEGREE OR SO IN PBL TEMPERATURES...
PRECIPITATION BEGINS AS A COLD RAIN 02-06Z
SATURDAY...BUT COMBINATION OF LOW-LEVEL CAA AND DIABATIC EFFECTS
RESULT IN RAIN CHANGING TO WET SNOW 06-12Z SATURDAY...AND
CONTINUING THROUGH 18Z SAT. THERE WILL BE A LARGE ELEVATIONAL
DEPENDENCE TO SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS...AND MOST OF THE
ACCUMULATION IN THE VALLEYS WILL BE ON GRASSY
SURFACES...ETC...FOLLOWING THE WARMTH EXPECTED THRU THE DAY
FRIDAY. QPF AMOUNTS GENERALLY 0.4-0.70"...HIGHEST ACROSS CENTRAL
INTO NERN VT. USING A 10:1 RATIO IN THE VALLEYS AND 14:1 ACROSS
THE SUMMITS...LOOKING AT A RANGE OF SNOWFALL AMTS FROM RANGING
FROM AN INCH OR LESS IN THE SOUTHERN VALLEYS...TO 1-3" IN THE
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY TO 3-7" ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE NORTHERN
ADIRONDACKS...AS WELL AS NORTH-CENTRAL INTO NORTHEASTERN VERMONT.
WILL NEED TO CONSIDER HEADLINES FOR SOME OF THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 1000`...FOR THE NRN ADIRONDACKS AND N-
CENTRAL INTO NERN VT. SINCE SNOWFALL WILL BE HIGHLY SENSITIVE TO
JUST A DEGREE OR SO IN PBL TEMPERATURES...
billski
Active member
You are flirting with fire young man. Remember, ski season is going into May this year!
billski
Active member
The man speaketh!
catsup948
New member
Jay, the whites, Maine just get punished Saturday on the 18z GFS.
billski
Active member
So what else is there to know? Just be careful going through the rain/snow transition when you drive up. I might just have to hang onto that JP voucher!
billski
Active member
billski
Active member
billski
Active member
billski
Active member
billski
Active member
Check this out, April 6th:
Similar threads
