Winter Forecast 2015-2016

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  1. #1

    Winter Forecast 2015-2016

    Time to start this up since the forecasts are starting to ramp up in good shape.

    Cold & Snowy (Brutal) Severe Season is More than Likely for the North East & Mid East Coast yet Again

    http://kasimsweatherwatcher.com/uswi...16-prediction/




    The AMO is the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. It’s typically defined by Sea Surface Temperatures patters (SST’s) in the North Atlantic. As you can see from the image above, the JAMSTEC model (the primary global source for SST projections) is thinking the waters of the North Atlantic project to be below normal (Colder) for SON201 (September, October and November of 2015). At the same time, it’s pegging SST’s in the Pacific to be WARMER than normal…and that type of set up has typically translated into a cold winter.

    http://www.propanebuzz.com/early-clu...inter-weather/
    Last edited by dlague; Jul 15, 2015 at 10:49 AM.
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  2. #2
    Ready!!!!!
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  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by Puck it View Post
    Ready!!!!!

    Yup - bring it!
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  4. #4
    ScottySkis's Avatar
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    No jinkx ing winter please.

  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by dlague View Post
    Time to start this up since the forecasts are starting to ramp up in good shape.

    Cold & Snowy (Brutal) Severe Season is More than Likely for the North East & Mid East Coast yet Again
    Those aren't forecasts. They're more like, "eye of newt" meets "click-through revenue generation".
    President - Bicknell's Thrush Extermination Solutions (BTES), LLC



  6. #6
    Last edited by Siliconebobsquarepants; Jul 16, 2015 at 10:32 PM.

  7. #7
    catsup948's Avatar
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    It would be hard to beat last seasons longivity, but snowfall could be beaten for many locations in northern New England. I have a feeling the northern greens get crushed with upslope this coming winter. I don't know why I just feel they are overdue for some monster events. I also feel this is going to be an elevation driven winter. No real snow near the coast but tons at elevation. This is typical of el Nino winters.
    Last edited by catsup948; Jul 23, 2015 at 7:44 PM.
    Snow!

  8. #8
    Quote Originally Posted by catsup948 View Post
    It would be hard to beat last seasons longivity, but snowfall could be beaten for many locations in northern New England. I have a feeling the northern greens get crushed with upslope this coming winter. I don't know why I just feel they are overdue for some monster events. I also feel this is going to be an elevation driven winter. No real snow near the coast but tons at elevation. This is typical of el Nino winters.
    I am hoping you are right!
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  9. #9
    Quote Originally Posted by catsup948 View Post
    It would be hard to beat last seasons longivity, but snowfall could be beaten for many locations in northern New England. I have a feeling the northern greens get crushed with upslope this coming winter. I don't know why I just feel they are overdue for some monster events. I also feel this is going to be an elevation driven winter. No real snow near the coast but tons at elevation. This is typical of el Nino winters.
    ENSO has little to no correlation with New England weather.

    California has a promising outlook. I am working from our San Francisco office this week and am looking forward to returning this winter. Tahoe, here I come! I'm still trying to figure out an excuse to visit the Salt Lake City office.


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  10. #10
    Quote Originally Posted by yeggous View Post
    ENSO has little to no correlation with New England weather.

    California has a promising outlook. I am working from our San Francisco office this week and am looking forward to returning this winter. Tahoe, here I come! I'm still trying to figure out an excuse to visit the Salt Lake City office.
    Well it does effect the jet stream. according to NOAA.


    Repost
    Well everything suggests that the polar vortex get pushed further east bringing cold to the northeast. Storm tracks are further south and more tropical. If those two come together which at best would be somewhere along the east northeast theoretically then large amounts of snow are possible. However things have to be lined up perfectly which does not always happen as depicted below.

    ENSO_USimpacts_precip_610.jpg
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