NWS 2016 / 2017 Winter forecast! - Page 9

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  1. #81
    ^ me too, Thank You, @yeggous!!!


  2. #82
    Tin's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by yeggous View Post
    For those who really care...

    For the past two weeks there has been strong evidence that mid to late November is going to be abnormally cold. The Polar Vortex is forecast to split in a way that is unusual (borderline historic) for this time of the year. We've seen this coming for a while now.


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    Quite amazing the evidence has supported it for nearly a month with little change. Looks like just cold air though, correct?
    My couch might pull out but I send it.

  3. #83
    Quote Originally Posted by Tin View Post
    Quite amazing the evidence has supported it for nearly a month with little change. Looks like just cold air though, correct?
    This will give you some good background based on one guy's perspective:
    https://www.aer.com/science-research...ic-oscillation

    He's one of the best in the business, but take everything with a grain of salt. He was forecasting a warm winter two years ago.
    2016-2017: 79 days
    2015-2016: 54 days
    2014-2015: 63 days
    2013-2014: 68 days

    Quiver: 2014 Liberty Sequence (182 cm), 2014 K2 Rictor 82 XTi (177 cm), 2015 Nordica NRGY 100 (177 cm), 2016 Head Monster 88 (177 cm), 2017 Voelkl Racetiger SL (165 cm), 2017 Nordica Enforcer 93 (193 cm), 2017 Revision Subtraction (194 cm)

  4. #84
    Tin's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by yeggous View Post
    This will give you some good background based on one guy's perspective:
    https://www.aer.com/science-research...ic-oscillation

    He's one of the best in the business, but take everything with a grain of salt. He was forecasting a warm winter two years ago.

    Awesome stuff, thank you. I figured the pNA/-AO/-NAO pattern would help.
    My couch might pull out but I send it.

  5. #85
    Warm lakes + Polar Vortex = Happy times at Snow Ridge, bring it!

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    Leave no turn unstoned!

  6. #86
    Quote Originally Posted by Cornhead View Post
    Warm lakes + Polar Vortex = Happy times at Snow Ridge, bring it!

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    I am getting excited. Will be able to shut up all the people who though skiing before thanksgiving was overly optimistic!

  7. #87
    Quote Originally Posted by benski View Post
    I am getting excited. Will be able to shut up all the people who though skiing before thanksgiving was overly optimistic!
    Optimistic? 4-6 days of skiing if not more can be had before Thanksgiving. I think a few on this forum are at 3-4 days already. Sadly, I am at 1 and hopefully 2 this weekend.
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    If you take what the mountain gives you, you will always have fun!

  8. #88
    Quote Originally Posted by benski View Post
    I am getting excited. Will be able to shut up all the people who though skiing before thanksgiving was overly optimistic!
    We're still talking about November here. What the mass media dubs the Polar Vortex is really the break-down of the vortex. The vortex typically keeps cold air locked in the arctic. When it breaks down and splits, cold air is able to split out to lower latitudes. Just don't expect this to bring below zero temperatures in November.
    2016-2017: 79 days
    2015-2016: 54 days
    2014-2015: 63 days
    2013-2014: 68 days

    Quiver: 2014 Liberty Sequence (182 cm), 2014 K2 Rictor 82 XTi (177 cm), 2015 Nordica NRGY 100 (177 cm), 2016 Head Monster 88 (177 cm), 2017 Voelkl Racetiger SL (165 cm), 2017 Nordica Enforcer 93 (193 cm), 2017 Revision Subtraction (194 cm)

  9. #89

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    Quote Originally Posted by benski View Post
    I am getting excited. Will be able to shut up all the people who though skiing before thanksgiving was overly optimistic!
    JB has talked about this for a while this fall. About a 1 1/2 weeks ago he said 3 weeks warm then the bottom falls out. MJO prediction looks favorable too. Back in the fall of 2007 we got a cold snap that allowed a lot of places to open up before or at Thanksgiving including down here in the Pocono's where Camelback was open Thanksgiving weekend. I will be interested to see if we can get a repeat. Would make 2 times in just shy of a decade which is not bad.

    Alex

    Lake Hopatcong, NJ

  10. #90
    Just saw this article, talking possibly several polar vortex outbreaks for us this year .
    http://unofficialnetworks.com/2016/1...nge-east-coast

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