weekend of 12/17-18?

[Smellytele]

??

[yeggous]

Friday will be $&@!ing cold. Saturday should be excellent. Sunday will likely feature the unspeakable.


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[tnt1234]

Catskills snow on Saturday?

[Tin]

If you have not been able to get out and enjoy the conditions do so ASAP. Southern VT and NH look to be having a massive melt down.

[ALLSKIING]

If you have not been able to get out and enjoy the conditions do so ASAP. Southern VT and NH look to be having a massive melt down.

Hopefully it's not as bad as some models suggest. Some still have some ok temps. I don't think it has lasting power anyway

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[bdfreetuna]

If you have not been able to get out and enjoy the conditions do so ASAP. Southern VT and NH look to be having a massive melt down.

Just based on Sunday or you talking Christmas?

I'm not so bearish on the weekend, we need base anyway and it looks like probably a net gain.

What I'm looking at is 4-8" snow followed by some rain / freezing rain / ice. Yeah not gonna be fun to ski right away but this is what the mountains need to set us up for the long run.

Prior to that we have some mountain snow likely Wed - Thurs, which is why I say this week is a net gain. After Sunday looks like we're back into active weather pattern as well.

[yeggous]

Just based on Sunday or you talking Christmas?

I'm not so bearish on the weekend, we need base anyway and it looks like probably a net gain.

Possibly both. The party is over for a while.

[bdfreetuna]

GFS and we're good, really good. Euro and we start getting cranky around here. Long range, Christmas week.

Sunday I think either way is so brief and preceeded on the front end with a little whallop it's just gonna give what we got a helmet of icy protection. If you go by GFS it might be a 90%-100% snow event in the hills.

[yeggous]

GFS and we're good, really good. Euro and we start getting cranky around here. Long range, Christmas week.

Sunday I think either way is so brief and preceeded on the front end with a little whallop it's just gonna give what we got a helmet of icy protection. If you go by GFS it might be a 90%-100% snow event in the hills.

Are you talking about the week between Christmas and New Years? That is out there is the great unknown.

In the interim things are going to warm and wet. Whether this weekend will be a net loss of base snow is questionable. Cold air damming is very difficult to handle this far out. Sometimes areas like North Conway make out okay hold onto freezing rain while the higher elevations get blow torched. My initial suspicions is that the cold air may hang tough and the warm air could end up mostly aloft, but there is a lot of it coming. And there's not a lot of cold behind it.

1-8day_meteogram.jpg
9-16day_meteogram.jpg

[bdfreetuna]

Ok. What I was looking at was Euro and GFS average temps Christmas-week posted to a Met Facebook page last night. Euro was blowtorch, GFS had us below average still.

But I'm not gonna repost that here, and defer to your greater experience on weather in regard to the topic at hand.

Question: do you see the Sunday warm up lasting more than 24 hours before it dips back into cold? I'm not seeing next week as unseasonably warm. Curious how you conclude that. Not experienced interpreting meteograms you posted.