weekend of 12/17-18?

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  1. #1
    Smellytele's Avatar
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    weekend of 12/17-18?

    ??

    2010/11 - 30days 2011/12 - 29days 2012/13 - 40 days 2013/14 - 39 days 2014/15 - 42 days
    2015/2016 -27 days 2016/17 - 51 days

  2. #2
    Friday will be $&@!ing cold. Saturday should be excellent. Sunday will likely feature the unspeakable.


    Sent from my iPhone using AlpineZone mobile app
    2016-2017: 77 days
    Attitash - Dec. 16, 27, 29, 30, 31, Jan. 17, 18, Feb. 15, 19, Mar. 3, 4, Apr. 2
    Bretton Woods - Nov. 13, 27, Dec. 4, 10, Jan. 16, 29, Mar. 24
    Cannon - Dec. 14, Jan. 2, Mar. 23
    Cranmore - Jan. 8, Mar. 5
    Crotched - Dec. 23, 26, Jan. 4, 11, 18, 25, Feb. 1, 8
    Courmayeur, Italy - Mar. 15
    Evasion Mont Blanc, France - Mar. 14
    Flegere (Chamonix), France - Mar. 13
    Killington - Feb. 10
    Ragged - Feb. 13
    Le Tour / Valloricine (Chamonix), France - Mar. 11
    Les Grands Montets (Chamonix), France - Mar. 12
    Mount Snow - Nov. 23
    Shawnee Peak - Jan. 13, 21
    Sugarbush - Feb. 12
    Sunday River - Jan. 15
    Stowe - Feb. 11
    Verbier, Switzerland - Mar. 16, 17
    Waterville Valley - Mar. 31
    Wildcat - Nov. 25, 26 Dec. 2, 3, 11, 15, 17, 28, Jan. 6, 14, 17, 20, 22, 28, Feb. 3, 4, 5, 16, 17, 18, Mar. 25, 26, Apr. 1, 8, 9, 15, 16, 22, 23

    2015-2016: 54 days
    2014-2015: 63 days
    2013-2014: 68 days

    Quiver: 2013 Fischer Big Stix 110 (186 cm), 2014 Liberty Sequence (182 cm), 2014 K2 Rictor 82 XTi (177 cm), 2015 Nordica NRGY 100 (177 cm), 2016 Head Monster 88 (177 cm), 2017 Voelkl Racetiger SL (165 cm)

  3. #3
    Catskills snow on Saturday?

  4. #4
    Tin's Avatar
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    If you have not been able to get out and enjoy the conditions do so ASAP. Southern VT and NH look to be having a massive melt down.
    My couch might pull out but I send it.

  5. #5
    ALLSKIING's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tin View Post
    If you have not been able to get out and enjoy the conditions do so ASAP. Southern VT and NH look to be having a massive melt down.
    Hopefully it's not as bad as some models suggest. Some still have some ok temps. I don't think it has lasting power anyway

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    Dave
    11/12 Season 13
    12/13 Season 17
    13/14 Season 22
    14/15 Season 30
    15/16 Season 24
    16/17 Season 32

  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by Tin View Post
    If you have not been able to get out and enjoy the conditions do so ASAP. Southern VT and NH look to be having a massive melt down.
    Just based on Sunday or you talking Christmas?

    I'm not so bearish on the weekend, we need base anyway and it looks like probably a net gain.

    What I'm looking at is 4-8" snow followed by some rain / freezing rain / ice. Yeah not gonna be fun to ski right away but this is what the mountains need to set us up for the long run.

    Prior to that we have some mountain snow likely Wed - Thurs, which is why I say this week is a net gain. After Sunday looks like we're back into active weather pattern as well.
    Last edited by bdfreetuna; Dec 13, 2016 at 12:47 PM.
    2016/2017: * = powder day
    Berkshire East [January 16, February 10]
    Bolton Valley [January 1, February 5*, February 19]
    Burke [December 17*, January 28*]
    Heavenly [March 5*, March 11]
    Jay Peak [January 29*, April 9]
    Jiminy Peak [November 26]
    Killington [December 4, December 10, April 8*, April 15]
    Kirkwood [March 8]
    Mad River Glen [February 25]
    Magic [February 13*]
    Mt Rose [March 7*]
    Mountain Snow [April 3]
    Northstar [March 10]
    Okemo [November 23]
    Pico [January 7*, February 18, March 19]
    Smuggler’s Notch [January 22]
    Stratton [February 4]
    Stowe [January 21]
    Sugarbush [January 2]
    Telluride [March 27, March 28*]
    Whiteface [February 12]

  7. #7
    Quote Originally Posted by bdfreetuna View Post
    Just based on Sunday or you talking Christmas?

    I'm not so bearish on the weekend, we need base anyway and it looks like probably a net gain.
    Possibly both. The party is over for a while.
    2016-2017: 77 days
    Attitash - Dec. 16, 27, 29, 30, 31, Jan. 17, 18, Feb. 15, 19, Mar. 3, 4, Apr. 2
    Bretton Woods - Nov. 13, 27, Dec. 4, 10, Jan. 16, 29, Mar. 24
    Cannon - Dec. 14, Jan. 2, Mar. 23
    Cranmore - Jan. 8, Mar. 5
    Crotched - Dec. 23, 26, Jan. 4, 11, 18, 25, Feb. 1, 8
    Courmayeur, Italy - Mar. 15
    Evasion Mont Blanc, France - Mar. 14
    Flegere (Chamonix), France - Mar. 13
    Killington - Feb. 10
    Ragged - Feb. 13
    Le Tour / Valloricine (Chamonix), France - Mar. 11
    Les Grands Montets (Chamonix), France - Mar. 12
    Mount Snow - Nov. 23
    Shawnee Peak - Jan. 13, 21
    Sugarbush - Feb. 12
    Sunday River - Jan. 15
    Stowe - Feb. 11
    Verbier, Switzerland - Mar. 16, 17
    Waterville Valley - Mar. 31
    Wildcat - Nov. 25, 26 Dec. 2, 3, 11, 15, 17, 28, Jan. 6, 14, 17, 20, 22, 28, Feb. 3, 4, 5, 16, 17, 18, Mar. 25, 26, Apr. 1, 8, 9, 15, 16, 22, 23

    2015-2016: 54 days
    2014-2015: 63 days
    2013-2014: 68 days

    Quiver: 2013 Fischer Big Stix 110 (186 cm), 2014 Liberty Sequence (182 cm), 2014 K2 Rictor 82 XTi (177 cm), 2015 Nordica NRGY 100 (177 cm), 2016 Head Monster 88 (177 cm), 2017 Voelkl Racetiger SL (165 cm)

  8. #8
    GFS and we're good, really good. Euro and we start getting cranky around here. Long range, Christmas week.

    Sunday I think either way is so brief and preceeded on the front end with a little whallop it's just gonna give what we got a helmet of icy protection. If you go by GFS it might be a 90%-100% snow event in the hills.
    2016/2017: * = powder day
    Berkshire East [January 16, February 10]
    Bolton Valley [January 1, February 5*, February 19]
    Burke [December 17*, January 28*]
    Heavenly [March 5*, March 11]
    Jay Peak [January 29*, April 9]
    Jiminy Peak [November 26]
    Killington [December 4, December 10, April 8*, April 15]
    Kirkwood [March 8]
    Mad River Glen [February 25]
    Magic [February 13*]
    Mt Rose [March 7*]
    Mountain Snow [April 3]
    Northstar [March 10]
    Okemo [November 23]
    Pico [January 7*, February 18, March 19]
    Smuggler’s Notch [January 22]
    Stratton [February 4]
    Stowe [January 21]
    Sugarbush [January 2]
    Telluride [March 27, March 28*]
    Whiteface [February 12]

  9. #9
    Quote Originally Posted by bdfreetuna View Post
    GFS and we're good, really good. Euro and we start getting cranky around here. Long range, Christmas week.

    Sunday I think either way is so brief and preceeded on the front end with a little whallop it's just gonna give what we got a helmet of icy protection. If you go by GFS it might be a 90%-100% snow event in the hills.
    Are you talking about the week between Christmas and New Years? That is out there is the great unknown.

    In the interim things are going to warm and wet. Whether this weekend will be a net loss of base snow is questionable. Cold air damming is very difficult to handle this far out. Sometimes areas like North Conway make out okay hold onto freezing rain while the higher elevations get blow torched. My initial suspicions is that the cold air may hang tough and the warm air could end up mostly aloft, but there is a lot of it coming. And there's not a lot of cold behind it.

    1-8day_meteogram.jpg
    9-16day_meteogram.jpg
    2016-2017: 77 days
    Attitash - Dec. 16, 27, 29, 30, 31, Jan. 17, 18, Feb. 15, 19, Mar. 3, 4, Apr. 2
    Bretton Woods - Nov. 13, 27, Dec. 4, 10, Jan. 16, 29, Mar. 24
    Cannon - Dec. 14, Jan. 2, Mar. 23
    Cranmore - Jan. 8, Mar. 5
    Crotched - Dec. 23, 26, Jan. 4, 11, 18, 25, Feb. 1, 8
    Courmayeur, Italy - Mar. 15
    Evasion Mont Blanc, France - Mar. 14
    Flegere (Chamonix), France - Mar. 13
    Killington - Feb. 10
    Ragged - Feb. 13
    Le Tour / Valloricine (Chamonix), France - Mar. 11
    Les Grands Montets (Chamonix), France - Mar. 12
    Mount Snow - Nov. 23
    Shawnee Peak - Jan. 13, 21
    Sugarbush - Feb. 12
    Sunday River - Jan. 15
    Stowe - Feb. 11
    Verbier, Switzerland - Mar. 16, 17
    Waterville Valley - Mar. 31
    Wildcat - Nov. 25, 26 Dec. 2, 3, 11, 15, 17, 28, Jan. 6, 14, 17, 20, 22, 28, Feb. 3, 4, 5, 16, 17, 18, Mar. 25, 26, Apr. 1, 8, 9, 15, 16, 22, 23

    2015-2016: 54 days
    2014-2015: 63 days
    2013-2014: 68 days

    Quiver: 2013 Fischer Big Stix 110 (186 cm), 2014 Liberty Sequence (182 cm), 2014 K2 Rictor 82 XTi (177 cm), 2015 Nordica NRGY 100 (177 cm), 2016 Head Monster 88 (177 cm), 2017 Voelkl Racetiger SL (165 cm)

  10. #10
    Ok. What I was looking at was Euro and GFS average temps Christmas-week posted to a Met Facebook page last night. Euro was blowtorch, GFS had us below average still.

    But I'm not gonna repost that here, and defer to your greater experience on weather in regard to the topic at hand.

    Question: do you see the Sunday warm up lasting more than 24 hours before it dips back into cold? I'm not seeing next week as unseasonably warm. Curious how you conclude that. Not experienced interpreting meteograms you posted.
    2016/2017: * = powder day
    Berkshire East [January 16, February 10]
    Bolton Valley [January 1, February 5*, February 19]
    Burke [December 17*, January 28*]
    Heavenly [March 5*, March 11]
    Jay Peak [January 29*, April 9]
    Jiminy Peak [November 26]
    Killington [December 4, December 10, April 8*, April 15]
    Kirkwood [March 8]
    Mad River Glen [February 25]
    Magic [February 13*]
    Mt Rose [March 7*]
    Mountain Snow [April 3]
    Northstar [March 10]
    Okemo [November 23]
    Pico [January 7*, February 18, March 19]
    Smuggler’s Notch [January 22]
    Stratton [February 4]
    Stowe [January 21]
    Sugarbush [January 2]
    Telluride [March 27, March 28*]
    Whiteface [February 12]

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