Rain on Friday......Grrrrrr - Page 6

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  1. #51
    00z models (sans the Euro which isnt quite out yet) all pretty much held serve in looking ugly for virtually all of ski country.



    Still time for this to change for northernmost areas, but the further south you get it's not looking like there's any hope left unless the models are all wrong, which obviously isn't likely. The GFS, NAM, Canuck all have the same general idea, just separated by x miles.

    EDIT: Should note they all did move a bit south and east though, which is good news if it's a trend. That could save the far northern areas at least. Mont Tremblant still looking like the #1 place to be if you can be anywhere, 12" for sure if the models pan out.
    Last edited by BenedictGomez; Jan 9, 2018 at 10:44 PM.
    President - Bicknell's Thrush Extermination Solutions (BTES), LLC



  2. #52
    Quote Originally Posted by Siliconebobsquarepants View Post
    Was at Camelback last night spoke with one of patrol he said numbers this year have been down . They really could have used the weather this weekend. I'm curious though if the crowd will just go the indoor water park instead? The building has quite a light show on the roof at night .
    I still havent checked all that new stuff out, I need to wander over there at some point.
    President - Bicknell's Thrush Extermination Solutions (BTES), LLC



  3. #53
    machski's Avatar
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    Starting to trend for snow Northern half of VT/NH and ME ski country backside on Saturday. But everyone still gets wet Friday, significant liquid amounts as well.

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  4. #54
    Quote Originally Posted by VTKilarney View Post
    Between the cold and rain this has not been a good start to the season for us gainfully employed weekend skiers.
    Yep. Due to weather and blackout dates, we haven't been out since before Christmas. We're blacked out this weekend. Not that we'd be skiing in the rain, so it's somewhat moot.
    "I like homemade food. I just do."

  5. #55
    here is the latest update from NWS this morning

    i will be driving up to Lake Placid friday afternoon/evening. if you are planning to drive up north country friday afternoon/evening, be careful. the low will hit and the temps are supposed to dive freezing the pavement. total wet precip from thursday to friday is 1.25"+, that's a lot. hope the snow base holds.
    Gladerider

  6. #56
    Quote Originally Posted by gladerider View Post

    i will be driving up to Lake Placid friday afternoon/evening. if you are planning to drive up north country friday afternoon/evening, be careful.
    the low will hit and the temps are supposed to dive freezing the pavement. total wet precip from thursday to friday is 1.25"+, that's a lot. hope the snow base holds.
    Yeah, in addition to having to make the go/no-go on Whiteface based on the models, a game of "beat the clock" may also have to be played in terms of the drive. Could be absolutely treacherous.
    President - Bicknell's Thrush Extermination Solutions (BTES), LLC



  7. #57
    Quote Originally Posted by BenedictGomez View Post
    Yeah, in addition to having to make the go/no-go on Whiteface based on the models, a game of "beat the clock" may also have to be played in terms of the drive. Could be absolutely treacherous.
    i'm committed so definitely going up. the lows are supposed to hit the st. lawrence valley around dinner time. i should be done with my driving by 9PM so fingers crossed.
    Gladerider

  8. #58
    Quote Originally Posted by BenedictGomez View Post
    Yeah, in addition to having to make the go/no-go on Whiteface based on the models, a game of "beat the clock" may also have to be played in terms of the drive. Could be absolutely treacherous.
    I have flexibility in deciding whether to go to VT or not and can decide as late as I want (one of the perks of having your own place to go to and a season pass)...but the "beat the clock" game sure complicates things this time even if models change and it looks like decent snow on the backend. Based on current models I'd have to say I wouldn't go as I'm still seeing significant ice for Sugarbush it looks like. Definitely not happy that I haven't been out since before Christmas. I had such a good start too with 14 days skiing in December by Christmas (more than I've ever done). If I miss this weekend, then I'm right back on pace exactly where I was last season with number of ski days by this point in the season.

  9. #59
    Quote Originally Posted by gladerider View Post
    i'm committed so definitely going up. the lows are supposed to hit the st. lawrence valley around dinner time. i should be done with my driving by 9PM so fingers crossed.
    It will probably be freezing up there by 8 or so, so 9pm should be fine since it takes time for the water to freeze. If I do decide to roll the dice on the ski conditions up there, I probably cant leave until 5, which would make that last hour or so potentially non-fun driving. I dont mind driving in the freezing rain that's expected, it's the the prior rain sitting on the road that's to worry about.

    EDIT: 12z GFS looks a little better, but it's almost meaningless given how close the "good" versus "crap" area is on the map. If nothing changes and the gradients remain this tight, it's a Friday morning nowcasting decision. 12z Canuck is initializing now, hopefully it looks better.
    President - Bicknell's Thrush Extermination Solutions (BTES), LLC



  10. #60
    Quote Originally Posted by cdskier View Post
    I'm still seeing significant ice for Sugarbush it looks like.
    Yeah, Sugarbush is not looking good. Really, if you take these models verbatim, the only place in Vermont that may be spared appears to be Jay Peak. That hasnt changed. Models have been handling this storm pretty consistantly, other than the Euro which changed yesterday (I havent seen the 00z though).
    President - Bicknell's Thrush Extermination Solutions (BTES), LLC



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