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NWS Albany is mentioning this already....indicated it could be "similar" to yesterday's/today's event. Fingers crossed.
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1/18 - 19 Storm Discussion Thread
- Thread starter Greg
- Start date
from_the_NEK
Active member
This storm is looking really good in the GFS model. hopefully it doesn't start trending west...
drjeff
Well-known member
If atmospheric conditions this time don't pan out (and they might put us on the warm side next week depending on how quickly/slowly the secondary offshore low formation occurs from the primary clipper system), then there's some strong suggestions that after this one passes early next week that there could be some really good things happening to put us in a GOOD situation after that 
SKIQUATTRO
New member
thought warm air was going to come up the coast and be a rain event...or is that just for the coastal I-95 corridor?
drjeff
Well-known member
That's the to be determined part right now. Looks like the central, original low is going to be the dreaded "Great Lakes Cutter" and bring the warm air in (or atleast try to) and then a secondary coastal low looks like it will form and try and pull some cold air in. It's just the timing thing about when the secondary low forms/how much warm air gets in/etc. After this one goes by though, the upper level winds look like they're going to get quite favorable for a cold air system
gmcunni
Active member
yes please
riverc0il
New member
It just needs to get flipped upside down. These two footers in CT are really cool for you Sundown skiers but we still need another 2' to open everything up with rock proof base up here.
drjeff
Well-known member
Yup. This is going to be a "classic" New England winter mess storm. Where shifts in the final storm track by 20,30, 50 miles WILL impact who sees all snow, some frozen mix, and even some pure liquid from this one. Right now though for the non-all snow places it looks like the cold air will be in place at the start, then get displaced for a while, and then be brought back in on the backside.
One thing for certain though, lets hope that this thing doesn't track in a worst case scenario track, which in this case could put a decent amount of warm air and pure liquid onto/into a very sizeable snowpack in Southern New England - NOT NEEDED (nor likely at this time)
noski
New member
I have a good feeling on this one (for MRV at least....)
billski
Active member
Cross your fingers folks! Latest forecast for the next 48 hours looks like north will win, certainly at higher elevations. We need to make sure SVT stays in the money too. If the moisture content is higher in the snow, the resorts will appreciate that too. Need some pack-able snow.
Perfect timing - the MLK Money Milking days will be over!
Perfect timing - the MLK Money Milking days will be over!
drjeff
Well-known member
Bingo! As much as everyone enjoys skiing fluff, much of ski country COULD use some high moisture content snow to help finally get a good base layer. Especially since model wise it appears that we'll have an air mass moving in later this week that will have temps associated with it that will be great for producing some fluff!
Yeah, snow/liquid ratios of 10 to about 15:1 for this one. Southern VT thru Central/Southern NH get some good bursts before a little late mixing to tamp it down.
Lighter snow for Friday but higher snow ratios.
psyflyer
New member
Is it too early to speculate on snowfall amounts for Northern VT? Here the local weather gal says 3-6 for Burke. She is more often wrong than right... but we will take what we can.Thanks.
billski
Active member
Check this out. Ignore Maine and Albany always under-predicts. Be careful to note the date on each graphic.
http://www.iabsi.com/public/ski/total_snowfall_forecast.html
http://www.iabsi.com/public/ski/total_snowfall_forecast.html
riverc0il
New member
If we also get the storm they are talking about as a maybe for Friday, next weekend is going to be off the hook!
severine
New member
The end of the beautiful powder down here. Latest alert I received said 2-5" snow then 1" ice. Boo to the ice!!!!
Latest alert I received said 2-5" snow then 1" ice. Boo to the ice!!!!
billski
Active member
from_the_NEK
Active member
What "weather gal" are you referring to? For accurate local NEK weather check out the Fairbanks Museum (Eye on the Sky) forecast. Or listen to it on Magic 97.7 in the morning at :20 after the hour for the Fairbanks weather updates. There is a great live on air weather discussion at 7:20 AM where the local weather is broken down in great detail. As discussed this morning, the lower amounts of snow from this storm in the NEK are due the way the air is going to pass over the White Mtns and shadow us.
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