BenedictGomez
Well-known member
Sweet. You'll be happy to know you're now ahead of NJ.
We lost a lot of snow yesterday with the 44 temps, I dont think we have more than 2" now. Though 3" to 6" is on the way tomorrow, we may retake the lead!
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Week of February 2nd, storm speculation
- Thread starter billski
- Start date
Sweet. You'll be happy to know you're now ahead of NJ.
We lost a lot of snow yesterday with the 44 temps, I dont think we have more than 2" now. Though 3" to 6" is on the way tomorrow, we may retake the lead!
Wavewheeler
New member
I hope it's in NNJ. We don't need any snow here at the coast. You can have it! But we are supposed to get 3-6". I told my friends that they were wasting their time washing their cars these past 2 days but they don't listen. I got my snow shovel out in any case.
Here it's supposed to rain Wed but up north the forecast is for SNOW.
Let's hope that holds.
Here it's supposed to rain Wed but up north the forecast is for SNOW.
Let's hope that holds.
fbrissette
Well-known member
I also noticed they did not use the usual inflation factor. Relatively heavy snow at the base, more fluffy at the top.
Boston Bulldog
Member
EURO inched north and is more amped
Good mid level deform snows in NNE as H5 and H7 close off.
Good mid level deform snows in NNE as H5 and H7 close off.
catsup948
New member
Boston Bulldog
Member
GFS a tick north
Boston Bulldog
Member
BOX looks like they have a good handle on this.
catsup948
New member
Give me the front end thump of the NAM!
Sent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk
Sent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk
Boston Bulldog
Member
Wow, look at the big fat deformation band the GFS sticks over VT. Just wow.
Congrats Stowe, MRG et.al
That band is going to linger for a while, in fact N.VT may be the last place in New England to shut off precip if that band forms as modeled.
Congrats Stowe, MRG et.al
That band is going to linger for a while, in fact N.VT may be the last place in New England to shut off precip if that band forms as modeled.
ScottySkis
Well-known member
Perfect soft snow today at Hunter.
billski
Active member
They pulled it down, saying they want to focus on "one storm at a time".
billski
Active member
The met at Stowe doesn't think so...
billski
Active member
Wind 'er up. I want to hear more ticks!
twinplanx
Active member
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
They pulled it down, saying they want to focus on "one storm at a time".
I can 100% understand that Given recent events.
Because 99% of people don't understand how unreliable these models are outside of 4 or 5 days. The amount of 8 and 10 day "map hysteria" is really getting ridiculous.
fbrissette
Well-known member
In essence, numerical weather models have zero skill (no better than random) past 7 days for precipitation, and little skill at 5 days (they are statistically better than random, but not by much).
bill.deleo
New member
Let it storm!!
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
To give some idea of the unpredictability, regarding tomorrow, a snowfall that is going to START in just roughly SEVEN HOURS from now, two days ago I was in the 1" to 3" zone, yesterday 2" to 4", this morning some stuck with that lower figure and some went 3" to 6", and now as of the late night NAM explosion some say 4" to 8".
Moral of the story is, at a certain threshold this is as uncertain as Vegas putting odds on football games, and sometimes the Seahawks are going to win in a blowout.
Moral of the story is, at a certain threshold this is as uncertain as Vegas putting odds on football games, and sometimes the Seahawks are going to win in a blowout.
Wavewheeler
New member
.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
-- Changed Discussion --
AS OF 945 PM EST...THE LATEST RAP13 AND 00Z/03 NAM12 CONTINUE TODEPICT A NORTHWARD TREND IN THE QPF ASSOCIATED WITH TOMORROW/S FASTMOVING IMPULSE. HAVE THEREFORE RAISED FORECAST SNOWFALL AMTS...TO1-3 INCHES ACROSS THE MID HUDSON VALLEY INTO NORTHERN LITCHFIELDCO...AND 2-4 INCHES FOR SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD CO. WILL HAVE TO WATCHTRENDS OVERNIGHT IN CASE THESE AMTS NEED TO BE ADJUSTED SLIGHTLYHIGHER AND/OR NORTHWARD. SOME LIGHT SNOW MAY REACH AS FAR NORTH ASCENTRAL/NORTHERN BERKSHIRE CO...AND PERHAPS EVEN SOUTHERNVT...WITH SOME VERY LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES POSSIBLY REACHING INTOSOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CAPITAL REGION.
AND it's supposed to snow all night on Tuesday and all day Wednesday.
If so, I will be going Thursday and Friday.
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andrec10
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Winter Storm Watches just posted for a large area! Even into Dutchess County it says 6-12!
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