billski
Active member
-
Welcome to AlpineZone, the largest online community of skiers and snowboarders in the Northeast!
You may have to REGISTER before you can post. Registering is FREE, gets rid of the majority of advertisements, and lets you participate in giveaways and other AlpineZone events!
Jan 4-5 Event
- Thread starter billski
- Start date
billski
Active member
Rowsdower
Member
Looks like the Adirondacks are going to make out best with this one. Catskills and Greens should get mostly snow with minimal mixing. Pokes will get more mixing and rain.
Looks like another potential system for the 9th/10th, but that's too far for speculation as this point. Temps look like they'll be much colder though.
Looks like another potential system for the 9th/10th, but that's too far for speculation as this point. Temps look like they'll be much colder though.
Tin
Active member
IF this thing even happens...
Thinking of a similar mid-December system last year where it was in the teens to start and then 6-12" later ended as freezing drizzle and in the mid 30s. The bulk of the precip looks to fall in the Saturday afternoon-night window when it will be mid 20s or so. The accumulating stuff should really shut down prior to above freezing temps.
Thinking of a similar mid-December system last year where it was in the teens to start and then 6-12" later ended as freezing drizzle and in the mid 30s. The bulk of the precip looks to fall in the Saturday afternoon-night window when it will be mid 20s or so. The accumulating stuff should really shut down prior to above freezing temps.
billski
Active member
THIS is the problem
Then it gets cold again
Then it gets cold again
Warp Daddy
Active member
Snow Ridge is supposed ro e buried over te next few days we're talking FEET of snow again according to noon weather report today
lstone84
Member
- Joined
- Oct 8, 2012
- Messages
- 131
- Points
- 16
Euro, GFS, GFS parallel snow totals through Monday...includes minor accums f/ the next couple days.
Hehehehe
Sent from my iPad using AlpineZone
Hehehehe
Sent from my iPad using AlpineZone
lstone84
Member
- Joined
- Oct 8, 2012
- Messages
- 131
- Points
- 16
Added another model, eh????
Sent from my iPad using AlpineZone
Sent from my iPad using AlpineZone
Not Sure
Well-known member
catsup948
New member
I think if the cold can hold out the weekend storm could have some legs down here. I'm not sold on tons of warmth invading the cold airmass. This could be a heavy front end thump with a flip to sleet/frz/rain then possible backend snow showers. Interesting to see how much snow we get.
catsup948
New member
This would be great! We got about 10 inches from that storm last season with some freezing rain and sleet at the very end. Similar setup with the cold and over running snow.
ss20
Well-known member
Go west young man! Gore, Whiteface, Catskills, and the Great Lakes area.
billski
Active member
Josh Fox, MRG, 12/30 blog:
"The upcoming weekend storm continues to look significant and though we have narrowed the outcomes of this considerably there remains some small uncertainty regarding the final track of this storm. The main area of low pressure could travel anywhere between extreme southern Quebec and Massachusetts. There are other questions relating to the evolution of this storm as it interacts with the Atlantic coast as there most always is. That all being said, I am relatively confident that some significant snow should impact northern Vermont early Sunday, accumulate several inches and then possibly change to a sleet/freezing rain mixture and possibly not. I don't think the region has to worry about the "R" word anymore though coastal cities should see that almost exclusively. The possibility of a 8-16 inch powder-fest still exists though and hopefully this outcome wins the day and gets 2015 off to a positive start."
"The upcoming weekend storm continues to look significant and though we have narrowed the outcomes of this considerably there remains some small uncertainty regarding the final track of this storm. The main area of low pressure could travel anywhere between extreme southern Quebec and Massachusetts. There are other questions relating to the evolution of this storm as it interacts with the Atlantic coast as there most always is. That all being said, I am relatively confident that some significant snow should impact northern Vermont early Sunday, accumulate several inches and then possibly change to a sleet/freezing rain mixture and possibly not. I don't think the region has to worry about the "R" word anymore though coastal cities should see that almost exclusively. The possibility of a 8-16 inch powder-fest still exists though and hopefully this outcome wins the day and gets 2015 off to a positive start."
Boston Bulldog
Member
This has the looks of a classic SWFE (southwest flow event) where we quickly thump6+ inches pretty anomalously before the southwest flow rips in warm air aloft and brings in a dry slot. Tin summarized the scenario perfectly. Northern areas would typically stay all snow in this scenario though due to latitudinal help.The cold high pressure in Canada helps stop this storm from becoming a cutter by modifying the flow and delaying the arrival of the warm air.
If this storm delays or speeds up by a day, it will cut inland and rain. It is imperative that the HP trenches down just as the storm arrives.
Nonetheless, 07-08 had plenty of these events in a similar pattern so this may be the first of many. Early February of last season had a good SWFE that dropped a foot in most places, so the ceiling here is high.
If this storm delays or speeds up by a day, it will cut inland and rain. It is imperative that the HP trenches down just as the storm arrives.
Nonetheless, 07-08 had plenty of these events in a similar pattern so this may be the first of many. Early February of last season had a good SWFE that dropped a foot in most places, so the ceiling here is high.
billski
Active member
Watch out for the wind on the backside of this thing. It could ruin any sort of powderfest.
lstone84
Member
- Joined
- Oct 8, 2012
- Messages
- 131
- Points
- 16
don't think there's going to be any sort of powder fests after the most recent round of model runs.
Tin
Active member
As of now another "base builder" event with heavy wet stuff ending crunchy. Still a decent amount in the Whites to help get things going again. Places like Mt. Snow, Stratton, and Crotched that were looking at about 6-8" two days ago are now looking like 2-4" and ending near 50 degrees. The warm air will work in early Sunday morning right when the heavy stuff is coming down.
Last edited:
Boston Bulldog
Member
Bad model runs across the board this afternoon. The warm flow arrives faster because the cold HP retreated faster.
VTKilarney
Well-known member
What are the top one or two websites for a layperson to keep apprised of northeast ski weather?
