Jan 4-5 Event

billski · Dec 31, 2014

VTKilarney said:
What are the top one or two websites for a layperson to keep apprised of northeast ski weather?

We're still in a modeling phase. These are not forecasts and nobody's willing to put probabilities on it. Forecasts won't begin until three days out.

On a per-ski area basis, this was pretty good last year:
http://www.snow-forecast.com

Modeling snow is a bit trickier. I would suggest you use this one, if you don't mind death by a 1000 clicks
http://wxcaster.com/regional_snowfall.htm

billski · Dec 31, 2014

Boston Bulldog said:
Bad model runs across the board this afternoon. The warm flow arrives faster because the cold HP retreated faster.

That sux. That puts only Sugarloaf and saddleback in the money. Glad we're still four days away.

ScottySkis · Dec 31, 2014

How looking for Catskills any snow at all for Roxbury elevation 3500?

billski · Dec 31, 2014

ScottySkis said:
How looking for Catskills any snow at all for Roxbury elevation 3500?

Right under a snow gun after the front passes by would be your best bet. :dunce:

BenedictGomez · Dec 31, 2014

Yuck...... Just looking at this now and this is the type of "storm" that it would be better that it DOESNT happen, for most areas.

On the bright side, at least cold air seems to be following on its' heels.

lstone84 · Dec 31, 2014

Cold air doesn't look to stick around for that long either

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from_the_NEK · Dec 31, 2014

BenedictGomez said:
Yuck...... Just looking at this now and this is the type of "storm" that it would be better that it DOESNT happen, for most areas.

On the bright side, at least cold air seems to be following on its' heels.

The question is, is this storm going to drop more snow in San Diego than New England?

BenedictGomez · Dec 31, 2014

Wishful thinking: Maybe the temperature profiles will be off by a handful of degrees and it will stay as mostly snow for more areas.

billski · Dec 31, 2014

Tim Kelly sez.....

MadMadWorld · Dec 31, 2014

Looks like Tuckerman will be in play....who's in?

catsup948 · Dec 31, 2014

Antecedent airmass is very good. This will lay down a nice base with some sleet/frz/rain on top of it. Good base building. It's looking very cold late next week. Snow will be locked for better or worse.

Tin · Dec 31, 2014

catsup948 said:
Antecedent airmass is very good. This will lay down a nice base with some sleet/frz/rain on top of it. Good base building. It's looking very cold late next week. Snow will be locked for better or worse.

Looking like a powder day for places like Sundown and Wawa on Weds lol

St. Bear · Dec 31, 2014

catsup948 said:
Antecedent airmass is very good. This will lay down a nice base with some sleet/frz/rain on top of it. Good base building. It's looking very cold late next week. Snow will be locked for better or worse.

Like I said 2 weeks ago, a base is only good if it's followed by snow.

catsup948 · Dec 31, 2014

Next week will have at least one Alberta clipper. 1-3 inch light fast movers. Maybe one redevelops into a bigger storm off shore, the 7th is a possibility. This would likely not impact ski country though.

catsup948 · Dec 31, 2014

Though something to watch tomorrow for northern vermont. Surface front dropping out of Canada mixing with lake effect moisture could produce up to a foot of snow. http://forecast.weather.gov/product...&format=ci&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

Boston Bulldog · Jan 1, 2015

Better runs last night. More areas back in play.

4aprice · Jan 1, 2015

catsup948 said:
Though something to watch tomorrow for northern vermont. Surface front dropping out of Canada mixing with lake effect moisture could produce up to a foot of snow. http://forecast.weather.gov/product...&format=ci&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

Getting nickeled and dimed is a good thing and should get things spiced up again quickly (maybe even the woods). Hopefully we can get a couple of big ticket items in February and March. This year is reminding me of 1992-93 so far and if it plays out that way again we will all be happy.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

catsup948 · Jan 1, 2015

Mid to end of January could be very good too. Skiing is great at Berkshire East today.

xwhaler · Jan 2, 2015

Tin · Jan 2, 2015

xwhaler said:

Burlington has higher totals and mention it not changing over until the late morning and afternoon.

Jan 4-5 Event

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