Christmas week...

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  1. #1

    Christmas week...

    Man, did this look ugly 36 hours ago. Don't get me wrong, Christmas Eve and day are going to be disasters for the mountains, but the following week looks serviceable as of right now.

    The 12z GFS and EURO runs have decided that it's time to pump the PNA and break down the ridge for the 28th through New Years. Is this a large scale pattern change? No, but it the EURO is showing our first shot of legitimate cold air coming through the region next Monday. The GFS is a little more hesitant but does get solid snowmaking temps into NE.

    Accompanying this cold shot is a storm which appears to be a... cutter, but upon closer examination it appears like we have more of a SWFE event on our hands. The source of this cold, a projected 1035mb+ High Pressure looks to hold stout over us and keep the warm sector at bay in SNE. The result, a wintry thump for the Ski Areas. The Ensembles also show a slug of moisture hitting this wall of hypothetical cold air as well. Hmmmmm...



    While this is not a guaruntee, the fact that the PNA is showing signs of relenting from this terrible pattern is giving this possible time period some credence. Model support is almost universal, but that is always bound to chance. Let's see how the next couple of days of model runs unfold. Nonetheless, look for this dreadful pattern to break down during Jan, but Christmas Week may be a welcome respite.
    Last edited by Boston Bulldog; Dec 22, 2015 at 4:51 PM.
    Days on the Snow:

    Pre 2011:~20 per year
    2011-2012: 19
    2012-2013: 34
    2013-2014: 25
    2014-2015: 23
    2015-2015: 17

  2. #2
    Thanks for the glimmer of hope. !
    We can all use some positive thoughts

    Time for some serious Snow dancing !
    ❄️❄️❄️❄️🚠⛷❄️❄️❄️🚠⛷❄️❄️


    Sent from my iPhone using AlpineZone

  3. #3
    Tin's Avatar
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    Liking the way things are trending for Tuesday.
    My couch might pull out but I send it.

  4. #4
    catsup948's Avatar
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    18z GFS which is always a bit snow happy is trending both the Sunday and Tuesday storms in better directions. Let's see how this goes. Tuesday is the one to watch more.
    Snow!

  5. #5
    ImageUploadedByAlpineZone1450845898.055760.jpg

    Latest GFS. Let's expand that band north.
    Days on the Snow:

    Pre 2011:~20 per year
    2011-2012: 19
    2012-2013: 34
    2013-2014: 25
    2014-2015: 23
    2015-2015: 17

  6. #6
    catsup948's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Boston Bulldog View Post
    ImageUploadedByAlpineZone1450845898.055760.jpg

    Latest GFS. Let's expand that band north.
    This would help magic's snowmaking plan!
    Snow!

  7. #7
    Long range is looking better temperature wise.

  8. #8
    Tin's Avatar
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    ZooMass Slamherst
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    Silly 12z. RI goes from 70* on Christmas Eve to 20" of snow on the ground for New Year's Eve LOL
    My couch might pull out but I send it.

  9. #9
    EURO and GFS are looking good as of right now. That band seems to be expanding as the High is modeled to get stronger. Good stuff. Shame it's 100+ hours out
    Days on the Snow:

    Pre 2011:~20 per year
    2011-2012: 19
    2012-2013: 34
    2013-2014: 25
    2014-2015: 23
    2015-2015: 17

  10. #10
    Textbook SWFE event right here. Southwest flow of moisture into a stout cold high pressure. If that low can transition to the coast, we may have something bigger.
    Days on the Snow:

    Pre 2011:~20 per year
    2011-2012: 19
    2012-2013: 34
    2013-2014: 25
    2014-2015: 23
    2015-2015: 17

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