this weekend? 11/10-11 - Page 3

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  1. #21
    Hawk's Avatar
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    I think Krustys forecast will be spot on for Killington. That Noaa.gov forecast knows about the trending colder. the discuss and the weather boards have been saying his for two days. Saturday and Sunday will be good.

  2. #22
    Thinking about heading to Wildcat tomorrow.....Would rather pay $$ for 2100 vertical vs skiing half a trail at the River for free.

    Ashamed to admit, I've never been to the Kitty, so wondering about a couple things: First, how do you think the coverage will be on Lynx....rock skis or not?? The second thing I wonder about is the weather and the impact to lifts. Two factors in play tomorrow with the wind plus possible icing. Seems like winds could be "ok" 20-30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph ??? Knowing the main lift is detachable, I am more concerned about the possibility of icing as high temps will be about freezing in the morning than dropping during the day.

    Welcome any insight from Wildcat regulars/Pinkham notch weather "guru's".

  3. #23
    I'm really not one to wait around to go skiing based on the assumption conditions will get better...hell if I did that I'd probably get 6-8 days a season rather than 60-80...but between Friday and Tuesday's storm, and the cold weather coming, next week could potentially be great skiing.
    2018-2019 1 day and counting...
    Mount Snow: 10/27
    "Skiing is the closest you'll get to flying without leaving the ground." -snowmonster

  4. #24
    [QUOTE=KustyTheKlown;1009952]really? i tend to trust dot gov. they seem to update it quite often.

    i rely on a smorgasbord of dot gov, tropical tidbits GFS, open snow, and weather.com[/QUOTE

    These point and click NWS forecasts are better than many of the other "graphic" weather sources. But you have to realize its simply the output of the GFS. It is not the actual forecast as put out by NWS BTV (in the case of Killington). While the GFS can be a good model, it often busts and should always be used in combo with the Euro and NAM, if not the Canadian and UK Met. At the least, you should read the detailed Forecast Discussion that is put out at least twice a day by the actual NWS forecaster who is looking at all the models, soundings, etc and knows the local micro climates etc.

    So I guess I would revise my comment to read "Be aware of what goes into this forecast and don't use it as the sole input to your decision making."
    2017/18 = 37
    2016/17 = 31
    2015/16 = Depressing
    2014/15 = 28
    2013/14 = 27

  5. #25
    Quote Originally Posted by slatham View Post
    At the least, you should read the detailed Forecast Discussion that is put out at least twice a day by the actual NWS forecaster who is looking at all the models, soundings, etc and knows the local micro climates etc.
    Love reading those detailed discussions and highly recommend them as well.

  6. #26
    If Killington can get 6" or so of heavy glop up on the North Ridge, solidified with some freezing rain...another 8" or so on Tuesday could be enough to get something like Ridge open...or maybe even a rocky version of Powerline.
    2018-2019 1 day and counting...
    Mount Snow: 10/27
    "Skiing is the closest you'll get to flying without leaving the ground." -snowmonster

  7. #27
    Quote Originally Posted by cdskier View Post
    Love reading those detailed discussions and highly recommend them as well.
    Agreed. I'd also add snow-forecast.com although that is also derived from one model and therefore not wholly reliable. and powderchasers.com has great discussions but is mostly focused out west.

  8. #28
    Quote Originally Posted by skiur View Post
    I find that the noaa 3400' forecast for Killington is pretty much the most accurate within 3 days. Most other Killington weather forecasts are for the town at about 1500'

    yes, the one i posted is specific for killington PEAK

    ~the stars turn, and a time presents itself~

  9. #29
    Quote Originally Posted by KustyTheKlown View Post
    yes, the one i posted is specific for killington PEAK
    Check this out too:

    https://www.weather.gov/btv/mountain

    Click on any of the mountain icons and you'll get a detailed forecast (from a a forecaster) for the summit. Killington is one.

    The most recent is (note, this is the summit):

    THE FORECAST FOR KILLINGTON PEAK, VERMONT AT 4,235:
    LAST UPDATED AT 250 PM EST FRI NOV 09 2018

    .TONIGHT...SUMMITS OBSCURED IN CLOUDS. SNOW AND SLEET UNTIL
    MIDNIGHT...THEN FREEZING DRIZZLE OR FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET AFTER
    MIDNIGHT. LOW AROUND 27. SOUTHEAST WINDS 40 TO 45 MPH.
    .SATURDAY...SUMMITS OBSCURED IN CLOUDS IN THE MORNING...THEN
    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND FREEZING
    DRIZZLE IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
    AFTERNOON. HIGH AROUND 29. TEMPERATURES FALLING TO AROUND 18 IN THE
    AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 45 MPH...BECOMING WEST 40 TO 50 MPH
    IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND CHILL VALUES AS LOW AS 6 BELOW.
    .SATURDAY NIGHT...SUMMITS OBSCURED IN CLOUDS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW AROUND 12. WEST WINDS 50 TO 60 MPH. WIND
    CHILL VALUES AS LOW AS 14 BELOW.
    .VETERANS DAY...SUNNY. HIGH AROUND 17. NORTHWEST WINDS 40 TO
    55 MPH...BECOMING WEST AND...DECREASING TO 25 TO 30 MPH IN THE
    AFTERNOON. WIND CHILL VALUES AS LOW AS 15 BELOW.

    Also, if you scroll to the bottom you can see the experimental forecast page, which includes forecast snow amounts.
    2017/18 = 37
    2016/17 = 31
    2015/16 = Depressing
    2014/15 = 28
    2013/14 = 27

  10. #30
    From the webcam and radar, it looks to be nuking at wildcat...forecast has it getting stronger overnight then calming down tomorrow--with snow falling into the afternoon.

    Up in 6 hours to go catch would could be an epic early-season powder day! Hope some of you guys make it out as well!

    Edit: SkiMEbike -- I'm coming from ME and bypassing SR, as well. I dont think coverage will be an issue on open trails. I'll be bringing rock skis just in case but intend to be on the pow skis all day cuz why not! Wind is always a crapshoot and it does look pretty gusty tomorrow..hut I'd rather be there on wind hold then not be there when its spinning! Definitely check snow report around 630 to see if wind holds are mentioned. And msg me if you'd like to get a lap in! Have fun
    Last edited by Haas; Nov 9, 2018 at 11:21 PM.

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