Speculation about MLK weekend storm.... - Page 9

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  1. #81
    Quote Originally Posted by BenedictGomez View Post

    So then I thought, okay, maybe I'll bag my plans for n.VT and just get a motel in the Cats Saturday night and ski Platty Sunday since they should pick up a foot or more with less wind and better temp. The problem with that idea is that after raining & icing much of Saturday night into the day on Sunday here in Jersey, temps look to plummet to low-20s by 1pm. What a fun drive home from Platty that would be.
    This is my current plan as I was only going to ski Platty Sunday anyway. Then if the storm totally screws up and moves North, the Beast or Magic are only another 2.5 hours. Sunday night would obviously SUCK.

  2. #82

    Join Date
    Jan 2016
    Location
    Mecox, NY / Bondville, VT
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    469
    Quote Originally Posted by Glenn View Post
    NWS Albany has some interesting stats on potential precip totals for the Albany area: 1.6 to 2.0" Still waiting on the mid day update to the forecast discussion.
    ' or ''?

  3. #83
    The wind forecast seems to be a bit of question also. They don't look too bad, not like a traditional nor'easter. I'm looking at N. VT so maybe they are worse closer to the center of the Low.

  4. #84
    JimG.'s Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2004
    Location
    Hopewell Jct., NY
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    10,300
    If you have not already booked a hotel/motel for Fri, Sat, or Sun night you had better do so pronto...many places I have looked at are already booked solid.

    One reason I'm not too concerned about skiing Sunday if I can't get to the Cats. I have a room booked for Mon night up at K and even that was tough to come by given the wind forecasts for this storm many are staying over hoping to get better weather Tuesday.

  5. #85
    Quote Originally Posted by drjeff View Post
    From the mountain forecast website for Killington....

    https://www.mountain-forecast.com/pe...forecasts/1291

    and for Mount Snow (there station is actually at the top of The Hermitage for this one)

    https://www.mountain-forecast.com/pe...forecasts/1050
    These are based off of one model, and likely the 5,000' values. Not a real "forecast". I would use:

    https://www.weather.gov/btv/mountain

    Click on the peak of your liking (except none in SoVT - use Dorset as proxy). Also look at the new detailed hourly.

    The winds on this NWS site are substantially less than the other site, but alas do not go out very far.
    2017/18 = 37
    2016/17 = 31
    2015/16 = Depressing
    2014/15 = 28
    2013/14 = 27

  6. #86
    Quote Originally Posted by BenedictGomez View Post
    The more I analyze this storm, the more it seems absolutely horrible from a powder-hunting perspective. Especially for those pondering the risk/reward of very long travel given the low single digit ambient temps (plus with a breeze) all weekend.

    So then I thought, okay, maybe I'll bag my plans for n.VT and just get a motel in the Cats Saturday night and ski Platty Sunday since they should pick up a foot or more with less wind and better temp. The problem with that idea is that after raining & icing much of Saturday night into the day on Sunday here in Jersey, temps look to plummet to low-20s by 1pm. What a fun drive home from Platty that would be.

    I'll be monitoring every model run from now through tomorrow afternoon for changes, but as of right now (and I HATE to say this)....

    Attachment 24450

    Yeah, valid concerns.

    Still planning on heading up Sat. night. (Outside shot at leaving early enough for a half day at Bell.) Platty Sunday and crawl home Sunday night for work on Monday.

    Reserving the option to bail....

  7. #87
    I think Im glad I wont be here for this..sounds like a very variable weekend.
    Frozen granular?

  8. #88
    I'm pumped!! Finally a storm on the weekend. It will be crowded but whatever. I don't wait all off season to ski to bail on a weekend with a snow storm.

  9. #89

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    Latest discussion on "Chasing Snow" is up.

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  10. #90
    Quote Originally Posted by tumbler View Post
    I'm pumped!! Finally a storm on the weekend. It will be crowded but whatever. I don't wait all off season to ski to bail on a weekend with a snow storm.
    It will probably be the one of the most crowded powder days for New England in a couple of years... but hey weekends like this pays the bills and builds the bubble lifts so no complaining necessary.

    Luckily I know how to ski my home mountain (Mount Snow) with minimal human interaction and I plan on keeping it that way!

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