Hawk
Well-known member
I saw that but figured it was gong to be a few inches. Maybe a long duation event? I will be up on Thursday night. Hopefully it is something good.
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The "Sugarbush Thread"
- Thread starter thetrailboss
- Start date
The GFS taken at face value shows about 12" from that for the central VT area. The Canadian shows 2 feet + in Central/Northern VT. The Euro also shows about 12" or so for Central/Northern VT.
Opensnow seems to be higher than all of these models though...so not sure what they're using.
At any rate, too early to tell any details. Although travel may be a bit challenging potentially starting as early as Wednesday night through later Friday as this front moves through.
Hawk
Well-known member
At this point I will take anything. I do like the looks of the jet stream stayting in the area with small waves forming over the next 10 days.
Slidebrook87
Active member
Just off the basic Weather Channel forecast it looks like 1-3" on Thursday, 5-8" on Thursday night, and 5-8" on Friday. Even at the low end this could be a foot. Certainly something to keep an eye on.
SCWB is going very conservative on his most recent post https://madriverglenweather.blogspot.com/ He actually talks about ra*& and then switching over to snow with 4-10" total. I'm thinking he wants to back off the Dream Casting he did on the last storm. Not one single flake fell on the MRV this past storm - wtf?
I am getting pretty frustrated with the lack of snow this year. Natural snow trails are really beat to shit. Even if you don't care about equipment, ... its just not fun to ski on rocks and dirt all season long. The brutally cold weather does not help either - especially if you are not skiing woods or moguls
Not sure where that forecast that Krusty just posted came from - I will take it!
I am getting pretty frustrated with the lack of snow this year. Natural snow trails are really beat to shit. Even if you don't care about equipment, ... its just not fun to ski on rocks and dirt all season long. The brutally cold weather does not help either - especially if you are not skiing woods or moguls
Not sure where that forecast that Krusty just posted came from - I will take it!
KustyTheKlown
Well-known member
it came from here - https://opensnow.com/dailysnow/newengland
and the automation feeding that interface has already dialed back a little. it changes in real time more or less. its not a trusted source. the narrative reports are what i use that site for, not the numbers 5 days out.
pinion
Active member
We just need something. A straight 7 inches will make everything better this weekend.
... that's what my wife tells me...
... that's what my wife tells me...
Hawk
Well-known member
djd66 and I are aligned in our thinking. That's pretty unusual and It might be a first. ;-) We just need snow plain and simple.
Agreed 100%. I'm definitely getting extremely frustrated as well. There's a lot of trails I have no desire to touch right now. These also have been some of the most consistently cold weekends I can remember a stretch of in a while. Seems like every weekend lately we've been dealing with temps either side of 0. Only good side is those cold temps help keep some people away a bit.
30" and we can all have a big group hug!
Weather.com constantly overestimates snow totals by a wide margin. But I keep tabs just for fun. As of this moment they’ve upped their forecast to 14-23 inches. I won’t hold my breath!
Kingslug20
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The kingslug effect..ill be home then..yall can buy me beers..i like IPA's
Shredmonkey254
Active member
So do I and would gladly buy you a beer if we get any snow!
Kingslug20
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We will...have faith...jackson got no snow for weeks..it dumped all day here...
I bringeth...the snow
I bringeth...the snow
Bring that snow Mr.Slug I’m planning for Thursday and Friday at Stowe if it pans out.
I still think he's worth reading. He does a good job explaining the systems and dynamics and reasons for why he expects certain things to happen. Overall I think he's still more accurate than not, but you do have to absolutely watch out for him wish-casting with certain storms (i.e. this last one that really had little model support for what he was expecting would happen). I think it was actually me earlier in this thread that said he was wish-casting this storm before it happened.
Realistically he's just one more piece of information in the grand scheme of things. No single source is infallible and it makes sense to look at as many different sources as possible to see the range of possibilities and draw your own conclusions - i.e. Josh, Scott Braaten, BTV NWS forecast discussion, and even looking at some of the models yourself.
Kingslug20
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Ill be there
Shredmonkey254
Active member
If you go there, you’ll save me ten bucks!
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