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The 2/23 - 2/26 Storm Discussion Thread

billski

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Warren VT
video.cgi
 

4aprice

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FWIW We had about 3-4 inches last night (an estimate) then rain this morning in North Jersey and now back to a mix with a couple of bursts of snow. IMO Bodes well for the higher elevations.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ
 

WJenness

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that picture is in stark contrast with the other forecasts. Is that from NOW through Wed. night? I'm skeptical.
It's just started to snow in Londonderry.

I'm all for skeptical...

Yes, that's through tomorrow night. It's a Maine station, so I wouldn't be surprised if it's skewed that way.

I haven't looked at much else because I'm spiraling into depression that I'm going to be chained to my desk for the rest of the week.

-w
 

billski

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Could Thursday be the day? I am so confused on what day will be the best. Need help!!!!!!!
Be careful of the winds. NWS is forecasting high winds on Friday for VT. Thurs will be a good day if you want to be inbetween storms.

Tuesday morning forecsts:

NWS Burlington mountain forecast says:
* 8 TO 12 INCHES IN THE SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN
ADIRONDACKS...AND 4 TO 8 INCHES IN NORTHERN VERMONT AND THE
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY.
NWS Albany, which ostensibly has a "better" forecast says:
THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR NINE OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW TO AFFECT
EASTERN NEW YORK AND ADJACENT WESTERN NEW ENGLAND IN 24 HOURS.
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON...INCREASING
IN INTENSITY THIS EVENING...THEN TAPERING OFF LATE WEDNESDAY.
 

billski

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I'm all for skeptical...

Yes, that's through tomorrow night. It's a Maine station, so I wouldn't be surprised if it's skewed that way.

I haven't looked at much else because I'm spiraling into depression that I'm going to be chained to my desk for the rest of the week.

-w

Sorry. The weekend will be sweet, if you pick the right spot!
 

WinnChill

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Could Thursday be the day? I am so confused on what day will be the best. Need help!!!!!!!

In a nutshell...we get good snow and some strong winds through Wed...slight break late Wed/early Thurs...turning real windy Thurs PM with heavy snow N NH/NW ME wrapping back into VT (rain SNH/SE ME...strongest and most dangerous winds late Thurs/Thurs night/early Fri. Off and on lighter snows/weaker winds Friday
 

Mildcat

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Winds

Be careful of the winds. NWS is forecasting high winds on Friday for VT. Thurs will be a good day if you want to be inbetween storms.

Tuesday morning forecsts:

NWS Burlington mountain forecast says:
* 8 TO 12 INCHES IN THE SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN
ADIRONDACKS...AND 4 TO 8 INCHES IN NORTHERN VERMONT AND THE
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY.
NWS Albany, which ostensibly has a "better" forecast says:
THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR NINE OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW TO AFFECT
EASTERN NEW YORK AND ADJACENT WESTERN NEW ENGLAND IN 24 HOURS.
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON...INCREASING
IN INTENSITY THIS EVENING...THEN TAPERING OFF LATE WEDNESDAY.

That's what I'm worried about. I'm heading up to Bethel tonight but I'm concerned that the lifts won't be running especially Thursday. How well does Saddleback hold up in strong winds?
 

WinnChill

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I'll be out most of this PM and evening--I'll try to pop in here late this afternoon to check up on things if anyone has questions.
 

frozencorn

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Hitting Stowe tomorrow. Or the Bush depending on wind, ice, etc. But why oh why did my wife have to be born this weekend 36 years ago? Looks like we're bagging another vacation day for Monday.
 

billski

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That's what I'm worried about. I'm heading up to Bethel tonight but I'm concerned that the lifts won't be running especially Thursday. How well does Saddleback hold up in strong winds?

Thanks a lot Winn.

Mildcat, Read what Winn just wrote carefully. Between the lines. Thursday winds will be OK until after the lifts close. Friday is really unknown at this point. You skiing Friday? I have no idea on Saddleback wind holds, might want to search the forum.
 

WinnChill

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This whole forecast is tough with waves of storminess. We'll have to watch to see how quick those pick up Thursday PM...perhaps questionable for lifts late day.
 

xwhaler

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I have no idea on Saddleback wind holds, might want to search the forum.

Saddleback does a good job with wind in my experience this season. There's only been one day (Dec 27th) when we had that nasty wind/rain that the mtn didnt open. It was probably 35+ mph winds at the base with maybe double the gusts up top.

Thing to keep in mind about Saddleback is that they have the T bar running just up from the base. You can hop on that and ride the Pass across over to the Kennebago (upper) quad. The quad there is nice in that it is built low to the ground...below the trees and I've never seen an issue with chairs swining up there this year even on the real breezy days.

I will be at Saddleback for the wknd first thing Sat AM.
 

wa-loaf

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You are all welcome! Ah well it's supposed to snow in Utah tomorrow too. It's all good!
 

Greg

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Albany just came out with a warning:

Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1039 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2010

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-
082>084-VTZ013>015-240000-
/O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0005.100223T1800Z-100225T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KALY.WS.W.0005.100223T1800Z-100225T0000Z/
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-
EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TORRINGTON...OAKVILLE...NEW MILFORD...
TERRYVILLE...PITTSFIELD...NORTH ADAMS...GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...
LENOX...HOUSATONIC...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...
NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...ILION...
HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE...
GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...WELLSVILLE...
SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...DUANESBURG...
SCHENECTADY...ROTTERDAM...BALLSTON SPA...MECHANICVILLE...
WATERFORD...ALTAMONT...ALBANY...TROY...HOOSICK FALLS...HUNTER...
TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...CATSKILL...COXSACKIE...ATHENS...CAIRO...
JEFFERSON HEIGHTS...HUDSON...CHATHAM...SUNDOWN...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...PHOENICIA...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...POUGHKEEPSIE...BEACON...ARLINGTON...
PAWLING...DOVER PLAINS...MILLBROOK...PINE PLAINS...AMENIA...
MILLERTON...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
1039 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2010

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL
7 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...AND ADJACENT
WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

A WIDESPREAD...HEAVY WET SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WARNING
AREA...BEGINNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND ENDING WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BY LATE WEDNESDAY SHOULD RANGE
FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS VALLEY REGIONS...SUCH AS THE IMMEDIATE
CAPITAL REGION...WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY AND MID HUDSON
VALLEY...WITH 8 TO 16 INCHES EXPECTED ACROSS THE LAKE GEORGE
SARATOGA REGION...THE SOUTHERN GREEN
MOUNTAINS...BERKSHIRES...LITCHFIELD HILLS...AND EASTERN CATSKILLS.
WITHIN ALL OF THESE REGIONS...THE GREATEST AMOUNTS OF SNOWFALL ARE
EXPECTED FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS.


SINCE THE HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL BE WET IN CONSISTENCY...THE WEIGHT
OF THE SNOW COULD LEAD TO DOWNED TREES AND POWERLINES...RESULTING
IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES.

THE HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL BE THE RESULT OF LOW PRESSURE...DEVELOPING
NEAR THE DELMARVA COAST...WHICH WILL STRENGTHEN AND TRACK
NORTHWARD TOWARD SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...OR SLEET ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

A nice deep tacky base. Then let's throw on another foot of light powder for Magic Friday!
 
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