Mar 5/6

SKIQUATTRO · Feb 28, 2011

looks like Sat might be ok, but some NCP/snow for Sunday.....i know its a bit early in the week and lots of things can change, but i'm prayin' for good weather (anything but ice or ncp) heading up to Bromley for the weekend....(annual family trip for my bday)

4aprice · Feb 28, 2011

Happy Birthday. I was thinking about heading up that way too so I'll be looking to see if you have any weather updates through the week.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

roark · Feb 28, 2011

hoping to head north for the wife's bday... hope to see temps drop just a bit!

SKIQUATTRO · Feb 28, 2011

WinnChill...where are ya on this one??

abc · Mar 1, 2011

I too, am trying to decide about the weekend. It might be a wash-out? Or not...

drjeff · Mar 1, 2011

Right now, this thing looks like it will have 2 things to watch for. #1, early in the weekend as "phase 1" of this storm comes through, that's when as of now the temps look the most questionable and also when things will be the most moisture starved. As the weekend goes on, it looks like "phase 2" will have both more cold air and more moisture with which to work with.

Lots of stuff to figure out, but this very well could end up being one of the classical later season events for ski country where the dividing line between all frozen and some mix/liquid sets up somewhere between the Mass Pike and the MA/VT/NH border

billski · Mar 1, 2011

drjeff said:
could end up being one of the classical later season events for ski country w

Late season? What late season? I'm still in the middle of it and lovin' it! Yahoo! the blackout dates are dead!

Black Phantom · Mar 1, 2011

billski said:
Late season? What late season? I'm still in the middle of it and lovin' it! Yahoo! the blackout dates are dead!

Will we be seeing you for 'late season' turns? :beer: :snow:

WinnChill · Mar 1, 2011

SKIQUATTRO said:
WinnChill...where are ya on this one??

Sorry guys...haven't been on a computer for a few days on a busy family trip. Returning home today with updates resuming tomorrow (Wed).

I'm sure DrJeff has been helping out just fine.

:beer:
WC

billski · Mar 1, 2011

Black Phantom said:
Will we be seeing you for 'late season' turns? :beer:

Seeing? Where are you thinking. I'm still a snow-chaser at heart. and, i gotta knock off a few little hills up north soon.

Black Phantom · Mar 1, 2011

billski said:
Seeing? Where are you thinking. I'm still a snow-chaser at heart. and, i gotta knock off a few little hills up north soon.

You need to put McIntire on the list. I think you will like the operation.

billski · Mar 1, 2011

Black Phantom said:
You need to put McIntire on the list. I think you will like the operation.

It's definitely on the short list.

abc · Mar 1, 2011

drjeff said:
Right now, this thing looks like it will have 2 things to watch for. #1, early in the weekend as "phase 1" of this storm comes through, that's when as of now the temps look the most questionable and also when things will be the most moisture starved. As the weekend goes on, it looks like "phase 2" will have both more cold air and more moisture with which to work with.

Lots of stuff to figure out, but this very well could end up being one of the classical later season events for ski country where the dividing line between all frozen and some mix/liquid sets up somewhere between the Mass Pike and the MA/VT/NH border

Well, if the freeze line is at the MA boarder, I'll be a very happy camper. Because right now, some forecast is still predicting rain for as far north as the North Conway area, which is where I'll be heading for.

drjeff · Mar 1, 2011

abc said:
Well, if the freeze line is at the MA boarder, I'll be a very happy camper. Because right now, some forecast is still predicting rain for as far north as the North Conway area, which is where I'll be heading for.

I'm going with the recent storm trend of models 5 days out vs. actual reality which of late has been that our air masses across the Northeast have been colder than the models want them to be. My guess as to why we've been "lucking out" temp wise is that the Atlantic is a solid 5 or so degrees colder off Southern New England now than it typically is, so as the storms get closer and start to drag in some air (and moisture) off the Atlantic, the storm system itself isn't getting air as warm as the models are expecting it to be, and as such, the mixing line is staying further South

SKIQUATTRO · Mar 1, 2011

going to watch it and make a decision later tomorrow or thurs....is the possiblity there of some big snows for monday?

drjeff · Mar 1, 2011

SKIQUATTRO said:
going to watch it and make a decision later tomorrow or thurs....is the possiblity there of some big snows for monday?

As of right now, the models are suggesting that the part of the weather event this weekend with the most moisture potential will be late Sunday/Monday.

psyflyer · Mar 1, 2011

drjeff said:
As of right now, the models are suggesting that the part of the weather event this weekend with the most moisture potential will be late Sunday/Monday.

appreciate your updates, thanks.

WJenness · Mar 1, 2011

Heading up to SR for the weekend with some friends...

Here's to hoping it snows!

If not, the beer will still be cold and refreshing.

-w

Glenn · Mar 2, 2011

I hope the temps stay cooler for whatever happens this weekend.

WinnChill · Mar 2, 2011

SKIQUATTRO said:
WinnChill...where are ya on this one??

Back at it this morning with updated VT (Bromley for you Quattro), NH, and ME forecasts posted. I'll l continue fine tuning through the day as I catch up on more data. Looks like DrJeff has had a good handle on things. :beer:

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