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this weekend? 11/10-11

Smellytele

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Right where I want to be
Hoping Wildcat gets some snow Fri into Saturday. Killington's weather is not looking great during that time frame.
wildcat weather at 3150':
Friday
A chance of snow showers between 11am and 4pm, then snow likely after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. North wind 5 to 15 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Friday Night
Snow. Low around 27. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

Saturday
Snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 34. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

K weather @ 3419':
Friday
A chance of rain and snow before 1pm, then snow and sleet likely between 1pm and 4pm, then sleet after 4pm. High near 29. Windy, with a southeast wind 8 to 18 mph increasing to 29 to 39 mph. Winds could gust as high as 49 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than one inch possible.

Friday Night
Sleet before 8pm, then freezing rain between 8pm and midnight, then rain after midnight. Low around 29. Very windy, with a southeast wind 50 to 55 mph decreasing to 36 to 41 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 70 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.

Saturday
A 40 percent chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 33. Very windy, with a west wind 38 to 46 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph.
 

drjeff

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Saturday has UGLY potential across the open areas of New Enlgand for sure, fall temps once the system clears will set up whatever likely liquid falls at some point on the front end of the storm.

Sunday will be an under the guns situation for those still able to spin lifts.

Next week will see a bunch of snowmaking porn pics allover ski area social media feeds for sure!
 

ss20

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This weekend...rest up and do leaves. Watch next week...everywhere north of the Mass Pike that wants to be open could be, if they choose to blow. And some au natural...maybe big au natural...looks to be a comin'.
 

machski

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No matter where you go the base will be firming up....

And don't underestimate K picking up elevation oriented front and backside snow, and then lake effect.
K needs it or at least good sustained cold. North Ridge took a beating, still ok but nothing like 2 weeks ago now. They are pushing Upper Dipper and Downdraft today but guns only on from the great northern cutover and above. Lower SS took an absolute beating. That cold needs to get here, snow control for the WC is racing up on them.

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drjeff

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K needs it or at least good sustained cold. North Ridge took a beating, still ok but nothing like 2 weeks ago now. They are pushing Upper Dipper and Downdraft today but guns only on from the great northern cutover and above. Lower SS took an absolute beating. That cold needs to get here, snow control for the WC is racing up on them.

Sent from my XT1650 using AlpineZone mobile app

I'm guessing that with the weather window next week, and what those 128 or so guns along the side of Superstar can do, that they'll be able to pass snow control check without a problem
 

MEtoVTSkier

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I'm guessing that with the weather window next week, and what those 128 or so guns along the side of Superstar can do, that they'll be able to pass snow control check without a problem

Yep!

And just for the sake of argument, What happens if they get a 2 foot dump within the 48hr window before the races are scheduled? Gonna be a soft surface that will take time to freeze down and groom in... What do they do?
 

drjeff

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Yep!

And just for the sake of argument, What happens if they get a 2 foot dump within the 48hr window before the races are scheduled? Gonna be a soft surface that will take time to freeze down and groom in... What do they do?

As long as it's cold around race time, between pushing some soft snow off towards where the b-netting is, and using either the water injection system on one of the cats they bring in and/or literally just using the water hoses from the snowmaking system to wet down the snow like they were garden hoses as as as opposed to snowmaking water supply lines, they'll get that race hill to the desired bullet proof surface they want quite quickly
 

andrec10

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As long as it's cold around race time, between pushing some soft snow off towards where the b-netting is, and using either the water injection system on one of the cats they bring in and/or literally just using the water hoses from the snowmaking system to wet down the snow like they were garden hoses as as as opposed to snowmaking water supply lines, they'll get that race hill to the desired bullet proof surface they want quite quickly

This is not their first Rodeo.
 

KustyTheKlown

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i forgot to cancel a hotel room i had near K, so i've got an $80 use it or lose it room saturday night. i think i'll drive up sat afternoon and ski sunday.

and the K forecast now has big snow friday night, but with the potential for icy mess as well.

Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 26. Breezy, with a west wind 19 to 24 mph decreasing to 13 to 18 mph after midnight.
Friday
Snow, mainly after 2pm. High near 33. Windy, with a northeast wind 6 to 11 mph becoming southeast 16 to 26 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.
Friday Night
Freezing rain, possibly mixed with snow, becoming all freezing rain after 4am. Low around 29. Very windy, with a southeast wind 39 to 44 mph decreasing to 29 to 34 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of 0.1 to 0.3 of an inch possible. New snow accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible.
Saturday
Snow showers and freezing rain likely before noon, then a chance of snow showers after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 31. Very windy, with a west wind 25 to 35 mph increasing to 38 to 48 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible.
Saturday Night
A 30 percent chance of snow showers before 9pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. Very windy, with a northwest wind 50 to 55 mph decreasing to 43 to 48 mph after midnight. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Veterans Day
Sunny, with a high near 25. Very windy, with a northwest wind 36 to 41 mph decreasing to 28 to 33 mph in the morning.
 

slatham

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i forgot to cancel a hotel room i had near K, so i've got an $80 use it or lose it room saturday night. i think i'll drive up sat afternoon and ski sunday.

and the K forecast now has big snow friday night, but with the potential for icy mess as well.

Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 26. Breezy, with a west wind 19 to 24 mph decreasing to 13 to 18 mph after midnight.
Friday
Snow, mainly after 2pm. High near 33. Windy, with a northeast wind 6 to 11 mph becoming southeast 16 to 26 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.
Friday Night
Freezing rain, possibly mixed with snow, becoming all freezing rain after 4am. Low around 29. Very windy, with a southeast wind 39 to 44 mph decreasing to 29 to 34 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of 0.1 to 0.3 of an inch possible. New snow accumulation of 7 to 11 inches possible.
Saturday
Snow showers and freezing rain likely before noon, then a chance of snow showers after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 31. Very windy, with a west wind 25 to 35 mph increasing to 38 to 48 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible.
Saturday Night
A 30 percent chance of snow showers before 9pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. Very windy, with a northwest wind 50 to 55 mph decreasing to 43 to 48 mph after midnight. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Veterans Day
Sunny, with a high near 25. Very windy, with a northwest wind 36 to 41 mph decreasing to 28 to 33 mph in the morning.

First off storm trending colder. May be only brief change at K at elevation (but it will changeI. Then Saturday there will be snow backside of storm, upslope flow, lake effect aided. They'll be cranking out high quality man made. Base will firm up but surface improving. So Saturday OK. I'll bet Sunday is outright good.

And I would not use that forecast.
 
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Zand

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May have to make a jaunt to Sunday River on Tuesday if the first storm dumps some goods and the 2nd storm materializes. Maybe enough to get a couple natural trails going.
 

skiur

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really? i tend to trust dot gov. they seem to update it quite often.

i rely on a smorgasbord of dot gov, tropical tidbits GFS, open snow, and weather.com

I find that the noaa 3400' forecast for Killington is pretty much the most accurate within 3 days. Most other Killington weather forecasts are for the town at about 1500'
 

SnowRock

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Can't get out this weekend but between this system, the system on tap for Tuesday and the temps afterwards.... will look and feel like winter next week for sure. Going to try and burn a vacation day Friday and get up for the Stowe opening day.
 
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