billski
Active member
Hey Winnchill,
Are you on board with with what the NWS is claiming (drizzle tonight) pretty much up and down the green mountain spine? Seems like a stretch, especially with the low probs.
THE FORECAST FOR BREAD LOAF MOUNTAIN, VERMONT AT 3,835 FT: LAST UPDATED AT 624 PM EST MON MAR 04 2013 .TONIGHT...SUMMITS OBSCURED IN CLOUDS. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE. LOW AROUND 13. NORTH WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH. WIND CHILL VALUES AS LOW AS 10 BELOW. .TUESDAY...SUMMITS OBSCURED IN CLOUDS IN THE MORNING...THEN SUMMITS BECOMING IN AND OUT OF CLOUDS. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH AROUND 23. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE MORNING... BECOMING LIGHT WINDS. WIND CHILL VALUES AS LOW AS 1 BELOW. .TUESDAY NIGHT...SUMMITS IN AND OUT OF CLOUDS. LOW AROUND 19. LIGHT WINDS. .WEDNESDAY...SUMMITS IN AND OUT OF CLOUDS. HIGH AROUND 23. LIGHT WINDS.
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discussion:
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/... AS OF 927 PM EST MONDAY...ONLY NOISE-LEVEL ADJUSTMENTS TO T/TD/MIN TEMP DATASETS AS WE HEAD INTO THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. BLENDED CURRENT FORECAST IN WITH THE LATEST 01Z LAMP DATA WHICH APPEARED TO CAPTURE CURRENT SITUATION FAIRLY WELL. WITH WARM THERMAL ADVECTION BEGINNING ALOFT OVERNIGHT AND WITH CONTINUED OVERCAST CONDITIONS...TEMPERATURES WILL ESSENTIALLY HOLD NEARLY STEADY OR ONLY FLUCTUATE A FEW DEGREES UP/DOWN HERE AND THERE THROUGH SUNRISE TUESDAY. STILL LOOKING AT SCT/NUMEROUS LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES AND SOME PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE AS WELL...BUT PRIOR FCST HAD THIS COVERED WELL WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN COVERAGE ANTICIPATED AS WE HEAD INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. HAVE A GREAT NIGHT.
Are you on board with with what the NWS is claiming (drizzle tonight) pretty much up and down the green mountain spine? Seems like a stretch, especially with the low probs.
THE FORECAST FOR BREAD LOAF MOUNTAIN, VERMONT AT 3,835 FT: LAST UPDATED AT 624 PM EST MON MAR 04 2013 .TONIGHT...SUMMITS OBSCURED IN CLOUDS. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE. LOW AROUND 13. NORTH WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH. WIND CHILL VALUES AS LOW AS 10 BELOW. .TUESDAY...SUMMITS OBSCURED IN CLOUDS IN THE MORNING...THEN SUMMITS BECOMING IN AND OUT OF CLOUDS. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH AROUND 23. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE MORNING... BECOMING LIGHT WINDS. WIND CHILL VALUES AS LOW AS 1 BELOW. .TUESDAY NIGHT...SUMMITS IN AND OUT OF CLOUDS. LOW AROUND 19. LIGHT WINDS. .WEDNESDAY...SUMMITS IN AND OUT OF CLOUDS. HIGH AROUND 23. LIGHT WINDS.
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discussion:
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/... AS OF 927 PM EST MONDAY...ONLY NOISE-LEVEL ADJUSTMENTS TO T/TD/MIN TEMP DATASETS AS WE HEAD INTO THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. BLENDED CURRENT FORECAST IN WITH THE LATEST 01Z LAMP DATA WHICH APPEARED TO CAPTURE CURRENT SITUATION FAIRLY WELL. WITH WARM THERMAL ADVECTION BEGINNING ALOFT OVERNIGHT AND WITH CONTINUED OVERCAST CONDITIONS...TEMPERATURES WILL ESSENTIALLY HOLD NEARLY STEADY OR ONLY FLUCTUATE A FEW DEGREES UP/DOWN HERE AND THERE THROUGH SUNRISE TUESDAY. STILL LOOKING AT SCT/NUMEROUS LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES AND SOME PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE AS WELL...BUT PRIOR FCST HAD THIS COVERED WELL WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN COVERAGE ANTICIPATED AS WE HEAD INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. HAVE A GREAT NIGHT.
