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Upcoming weather and Storms of winter 2025-2026. Storm (snow totals), Observations and Predictions?

MidnightJester

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This is the current state of the some of the Ski mountains we love and hate and their open trail counts and the Snow totals for their season to date

The fast Winter recap is its the Worst start for and the worst Year to date(1st half) for most of the US Western states and Larger snow totals for most of BC Canada, US East and Upper VT especially. The Northeast has been having the year or years (2 in a row) for persistent COLD and near record SNOW levels again for Mt. Mansfield and JAY PEAK!

So we are past midway into the 2025/2026 ski season and Winter snow is finally on the way for most of the country all at the same time. The US Wests SNOW prayers are doing something and it looks like the Northeast and VT have a Midweek Foot possible. Let the Fresh powder fall and Snow lovers rejoice in celebration for the 2026 Winter Olympics. Bring on the SNOW. "ULLR, ULLR, ULLR"

~~~~Northeast Shoutout~~~~
Monday 2/9/26 (Open trail counts & Season snow totals)
Mount Snow, VT -- 82/86 -- 90"season total
Stratton, VT -- 94/99 -- 111" season total
Magic Mountain, VT -- --/50 -- 75" season total
Okemo, VT -- 121/129 -- 86" season total
Killington Resort, VT -- 154/155 -- 149" season total
Sugarbush, VT -- 109/111 -- 166" season total
Mad River Glen -- 60/60 (FULLY OPEN) -- 143" season total
Bolton Valley, VT --55/71 -- 235" season total
Stowe, VT -- 108/127 -- 231" season total
Smugglers Notch, VT -- 74/78 -- 235" season total
Jay Peak, VT -- 82/82 (FULLY OPEN) & (322" SEASON SNOWFALL TOTAL)
--------------------------------------------
Belleayre, NY -- 62/62 -- 80" season total
Gore Mountain, NY -- 76/111 -- 69" season total
Hunter Mountain, NY -- 59/66 -- 67" season total
Windham, NY -- 52/54 -- (NO SNOW TOTALS)
Whiteface Mountain, NY -- 88/94 -- 160" season total (RARELY THIS OPEN)
------------------------------------------
Sunday River, ME -- 132/139 -- 82" season total
Sugarloaf, ME -- 150/170 -- 89" season total
Saddleback, ME -- 68/68 -- 129" season total
-------------------------------------------
Wildcat ,NH -- 43/48 -- 80" season total (TRAILS ARE OPENING)
Attitash, NH -- 68/76 -- 58" season total
Loon Mountain, NH -- 73/73 -- NO SEASON TOTAL
Mount Sunapee, NH -- 63/67 -- 42" season total
Cannon, NH -- 37/97 --> 97/97 -- 144" season total
Bretton Woods, NH -- 100/100 -- 122"season total (FULLY OPEN)
-------------Out West-------------
Breckenridge, CO -- 110/192 -- 83" Season total
Vail, CO -- 189/277 -- 90" Season total
Aspen Snowmass, CO -- 315/366 (4-mountains)
Winter Park Resort, -- CO 99/171 -- 113" Season total
Beaver Creek, CO -- 77/176 -- 73" Season total
Keystone Resort, CO -- 105/143 -- 90" Season total
Steamboat, CO -- 163/184 -- 101" Season total (FULLY OPEN)
Telluride, CO -- 127/147 -- 70" Season total
Arapahoe Basin, CO -- 31/145 -- (NO SNOW TOTALS)
Loveland, CO -- 58/94 -- 99" Season total
Wolf Creek, CO -- 144/144 -- 94" Season total (FULLY OPEN)
----------------------------------------
Mammoth Mountain, CA -- 170/178 -- 156" Season total
----------Lake Tahoe CA,NV---------
Kirkwood, CA --84/84 -- 161" Season total (FULLY OPEN)
Northstar California, CA --92/100 -- 156" Season total
Palisades Tahoe, CA -- 211/270 -- 154" Season total
Heavenly CA,NV -- 111/111 -- 114" Season total (FULLY OPEN)
Mt. Rose - Ski Tahoe, NV -- 67/67 -- 152" Season total
-----------------------------------------
Solitude, UT -- 72/82 -- 131" Season total
Park City, UT -- 204/346 -- 85" Season total
Alta, UT -- 110/118 -- 143" Season total
Deer Valley, UT -- 136/123 -- 85" Season total
Snowbasin , UT -- 69/115 -- 74" Season total
Snowbird, UT -- 142/149 -- 137" Season total
 
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MidnightJester

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Utah’s assistant state climatologist even noted that "Florida’s Panhandle had seen more snow than Salt Lake City at one point this winter" — a sentence that feels almost impossible to write about a state synonymous with powder.
Screenshot-2026-02-11-at-9.45.28-AM.jpg

Screenshot-2026-02-11-at-9.11.42-AM.jpg
 
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MidnightJester

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~~~~Northeast Shoutout~~~~
Thursday 2/12/26 Vermont (48hr Storm snow totals)
Mount Snow, VT -- 8" Storm total
Stratton, VT -- 8" Storm total
Magic Mountain, VT --7" Storm total
Okemo, VT -- 8" Storm total
Killington Resort, VT -- 8" Storm total
Sugarbush, VT -- 12" Storm total
Mad River Glen -- 12" Storm total
Bolton Valley, VT -- 11" Storm total
Stowe, VT -- 11" Storm total
Smugglers Notch, VT -- 12" Storm total
Jay Peak, VT -- 16" Storm total

(81" inches) of natural snow depth observed at the fabled Mount Mansfield Summit Stake, 23" inches above average, and the 9th deepest depth on this date in recorded history (Thursday 2/12/26). "ULLR, ULLR, ULLR" Bring on a powerful Nor'easter please ;)
 
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MidnightJester

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This weekend is set up to enjoy the fruits of our midweek snow refreshers that happened from Monday through Wednesday . Out of the Frozen negative wind chills and onto mild days of teens and twenty's. Considering the Holiday weekend the crowds should be out in force since the last few weekends were about as cold as cold gets with lifts closed from cold and wind chills at some mountains.

Look towards next week because the SNOW Gods are looking favorable for most of the country at this point!!
Screenshot (172).pngScreenshot (173).png
 
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MidnightJester

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Looking further into late Winter and early Spring some forecasting models apparently foresee increased snow amounts for March! Here is to hoping that this forecast comes through :)
This is a pattern that reflects the past La Niña transition years, and also the stratospheric warming event impact in the first half of the month. Such proximity to cold and snow can also send individual outbreaks into the central and eastern United States in late winter
spring-forecast-2026-snowfall-prediction-united-states-canada-march-anomaly.png
 
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MidnightJester

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So we have a few possible storm systems heading our way on Wed (Storm#1) and Friday into Saturday morning (Storm#2). Looking forward to tonight's evening forecast model updates. They are showing "2" storm systems following a pattern that is putting Southern VT more in the crosshairs then Northern VT for a switch up this year.
Storm #1
SnowMapNEWed17Feb.jpeg

Storm #2
Is a storm that has a hazy future. Its a snow party that's 2parts weather system. One is the cross country west leftovers the west has been dying to have and a up the coast small storm system shaken lightly and served over cold snow. Could have a nice ending to that story if Mother Nature cooperates on those two systems timing. Slight coastal Nor'easter possibility after storm #2(Friday/Saturday)


Blend of Models | Total Snowfall Next 7-Days

The Blend of Models is an ensemble mean of multiple different models and ensembles, so this New England snow signal seems exceptional — but with multiple Clipper systems and plenty of moisture, may be a good average estimate!​

https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F62ccfd47-a9de-4093-9b70-806e0885c309_1000x750.png


The Snow Fun doesn't stop. There is a Storm #3 possibility for Sunday evening into Monday.

Here is a good read for the Vermont area
 
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MidnightJester

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Not alot of help for the ski mountains at the moment but there is Weather brewing!​

WinterStormPotentialSatNtToMonNE17Feb.jpeg

Top Story: Nor’easter Possibility. Start making some snow magic happen. This will throw some extra snow into the Sunday/Monday forecasts for the Northeast if it can track right.​

A major storm is likely to develop out of the Southeast U.S. and emerge off the Mid-Atlantic and either head (1) East out to Sea or (2) snuggle up nicely off New England and pound the I-95 corridor into submission (with snow)​

Current trends with AIFS and GFS —> major impacts, while the ECMWF IFS has been flip-flopping back and forth with 06z closer to the coast. This system is in the 5 to 6 day time frame, so predictability of the track should be pretty good into tomorrow — meaning we can either lock-in a blizzard or send it off to sea. I’m favoring the AIFS since it incorporates the model bias intrinsically when it generates new forecast simulations.
AIFS has 18” to 24” for every big city from D.C. to Philly to NYC and Boston. Clean sweep —
THIS FUTURE SNOWFALL MAP ALSO CONTAINS THE STORMS FROM THIS MID-WEEK STILL COMING
https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4107b478-0f3d-4a1a-b98d-e2ff789cfde9_1000x750.png
 
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MidnightJester

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Sucky thing is that they were on their way back from the HUTS they stayed at to the trailhead after finishing 3 days of back country riding.
The next few days to a week is going to be one of the worst bouts of Avalanches we have seen in a while out West. People are going to be going out in dangerous territory.
 
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MidnightJester

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When SNOW comes too much to fast!
 
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