Un-Official Feb 17-18 storm thread

[from_the_NEK]

This is looking more and more like a R*#N maker. Just as we're coming back into great base depths again, Mom nature has to step in and snatch it all away :x
Have we been naughty or is she mad at Ullr?

 

[thetrailboss]

I had heard snow...and now it is looking more and more like crap. I'm hoping it will cool down.

 

[loafer89]

I want to ski in the "bottomless" base that Saddleback is reporting with 14" of new snow yesterday. Finding a room last minute is a challenge, though I found a place to stay in Farmington. So we may ski Saddleback on saturday and Sugarloaf on sunday and try to beat the rain home.

 

[Greg]

This one looks like it will be wet for much of the NE. :smash: It's still early and things can change though. Remember the rain forecasted for last week? And much of Vermont scored some nice snow. Only thing we can do is wait it out.

Let's hope for a better tail end of February...

 

[urban07sti]

Second that....hopefully Central/Northern VT gets snow here and into next week. PLEASE.

 

[Greg]

Not Good

http://madriverglenweather.blogspot.com/

The news for Monday isn't good. As expected, the pattern will become highly amplified with a ridge in the jet stream stretching from the West Coast up through the Yukon and a developing trough in the middle of the country. Highly amplified patterns however are good for some and bad for others and although it is quite typical that the amplifications are favorable for east coast locations it isn't always the case. As for Monday, the ridge/trough axis will develop too far to the west and will thus force this once promising looking storm system to track from the Gulf of Mexico, west of the Appalachian Mountains and into the Great Lakes. In terms of actual weather, this translates to snow late on Sunday which quickly changes to sleet and then freezing rain and possibly rain for Monday. One thing that is rather surprising or alarming to me about this situation is that models are currently suggesting nothing in the way of coastal redevelopment. Northward progressing warm air is often nipped in the bud but such an occurrence and we did see indications of this a few days ago but much less so now. I am holding out hope because an unabated move toward milder temperatures in storm systems such as these is the exception rather than the norm. At the very least however, snow or ice is going to be difficult to avoid on Monday and the possibility of rain does exist.

Great. A Lakes Cutter. :roll: :angry:

 

[billski]

do we really need a thread about a rain storm?
I suggest it be demoted and the "official" removed........
:uzi:
:uzi:
:uzi:

Join me and go out tomorrow!

 

[hiroto]

I don't want to think what this will do to Southern NH where I'll be...

 

[billski]

I don't want to think what this will do to Southern NH where I'll be...

Go west young man....

 

[loafer89]

Time for ark building:

Gray Maine:

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
LONG RANGE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE DISPOSITION OF THE
NEXT FEW SYSTEMS. AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
REGION FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL GIVE US A COLD DAY SATURDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA SUNDAY. GEM/GFS/ECMWF ALL
SIMILAR IN TRACKING SFC LOW WELL TO OUR WEST INTO MICHIGAN. THIS
WOULD LEAVE US ON THE WARM SIDE WITH LIGHT WAA SNOW BREAKING OUT
SUNDAY NIGHT AND QUICKLY CHANGING TO SLEET/FRZG RAIN IN SRN AREAS
THEN RAIN BEFORE MON 12Z. CHANGEOVER AND EVEN RAIN SHOULD REACH
ALL THE WAY TO THE CANADIAN BORDER WITH THIS EVENT. A WEAK SYSTEM
WILL AFFECT US ON THURSDAY. THE ECMWF IS WARMER THAN THE GFS AND
MIXED PRECIP IS PSBL BUT WILL GO WITH SNOW SHOWERS. MODELS SHOWING
ANOTHER SFC LOW MVG WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA NEXT WEEKEND.

 

[from_the_NEK]

Go west young man....

This storm track certainly is :-(

 

[loafer89]

We changed our itinerary a bit and are now going to ski Mount Abram on Saturday (we get a $5 discount per ticket with a season pass from another mountain) and Sunday River on Sunday.

No rooms with a reasonable rate where available anywhere near Saddleback/Sugarloaf, so we are skiing further south. Hopefully the snow will be just as good.

Mount Abram will be a new mountain for father and son.

 

[ALLSKIING]

It will rain, but the question is how much....This forecast say not that much.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClic...te=BTV&textField1=43.67&textField2=-72.77&e=1

 

[Greg]

Luckily, it looks like Monday will be the only really warm day with frozen precip at the start and tail end of the system. The surface is going to get wrecked for sure with the freeze behind this system, but let's hope for a net gain or minimal loss in base. After Monday it gets cold again so let's hope that sets us up for some surface fixing snow before too long.

 

[KingM]

Too bad, too, since SB/MRG at least are skiing absolutely fantastic right now. At least the base is deep. I guess I stick to groomers until we get some fresh snow.

 

[tcharron]

Been looking and looking for what it's gonna do, and all I can say is..

Rain sucks..

M'Kay?

 

[SKIQUATTRO]

lets not JINX this before it starts....keep a PMA (positivie mental attitude)...it WILL SNOW..IT WILL SNOW...

 

[tcharron]

lets not JINX this before it starts....keep a PMA (positivie mental attitude)...it WILL SNOW..IT WILL SNOW...

That'd kick arse, but at a projected temp of near 50 degrees... *sigh*

 

[GrilledSteezeSandwich]

1-2 inches expected here in Pennsyltucky..I enjoy skiing in the rain though..fast snow..and soft as well..a good combination..and then when it freezes up..it's even faster..

 

[billski]

I enjoy skiing in the rain

sick puppy. you should be out skiing today instead of bantering on this list!