Good News on Today's Nor'Easter

[thetrailboss]

At least where I am in Vermont, today's r%^& has by and large remained A slushy inch or so down low in the Champlain Valley and Rutland, and it is getting colder!!!!!

Maybe things are trender colder for this week? Please???

 

[nelsapbm]

Been a pretty messy day north of you in the CV Valley. Currently 31 and doing something....ice/sleet/freezing rain. Yuck!

 

[neil]

Hopefully. Right now the weekends forecast is around 50F

 

[WinnChill]

At least where I am in Vermont, today's r%^& has by and large remained A slushy inch or so down low in the Champlain Valley and Rutland, and it is getting colder!!!!!

Maybe things are trender colder for this week? Please???

Sorry TrailBoss--the trend this week and weekend is for high pressure ridging building back in=milder temps and no snowmaking. Looks like the return of colder air will be very slow next week. Wish I had better news.:-(

 

[drjeff]

Sorry TrailBoss--the trend this week and weekend is for high pressure ridging building back in=milder temps and no snowmaking. Looks like the return of colder air will be very slow next week. Wish I had better news.:-(

Yup, the long term models don't look pretty with respect to a good, steady surge of cold air right now. Unfortunately I'm guessing that when the models finally do start to look more favorable what model wise looks like will happen (i.e. the cold air will arrive in 7 days) and what actually happens will be quite different(i.e. 7 days becomes 8, then 9, then 10 days, etc) You know, pretty much the standard November/December Northeast steady cold air waiting game that we seem to play more years than we don't :smash: :smash: :uzi: :uzi:

 

[thetrailboss]

Sorry TrailBoss--the trend this week and weekend is for high pressure ridging building back in=milder temps and no snowmaking. Looks like the return of colder air will be very slow next week. Wish I had better news.:-(

Trying to be optimistic, but you're right because the latest forecast I heard said 50's from tomorrow through Sunday.

 

[drjeff]

Trying to be optimistic, but you're right because the latest forecast I heard said 50's from tomorrow through Sunday.

Don't shoot me, but as of today, the computer models with respect to good cold air for the Northeast, are suggesting that it might very well be Thanksgiving Week before the cold air building up over the Arctic circle makes a run at us But, if you believe the models, roughly 2 weeks out they're practically suggesting that the artic circle is going to descend out of the Canadian Rockies, across the upper mid-west and into the Northeast when it finally does happen.

In the mean time, get the leaves cleaned up and the x-mas lights out, so that when the widespread New England ski season starts, nobody will have any excuses not to go!

 

[WinnChill]

I'm pretty much with you on that DrJeff--it just looks like such a s-l-o-w progression for that cold air.

 

[Geoff]

I'm pretty much with you on that DrJeff--it just looks like such a s-l-o-w progression for that cold air.

I hope it's not a rerun of November 2009. The skiing public is going to get awfully tired of Rime and upper T2. At least I'll get some exercise on the walkway.

 

[thetrailboss]

I hope it's not a rerun of November 2009. The skiing public is going to get awfully tired of Rime and upper T2. At least I'll get some exercise on the walkway.

+ 1.

 

[riverc0il]

I hope it's not a rerun of November 2009. The skiing public is going to get awfully tired of Rime and upper T2. At least I'll get some exercise on the walkway.

And I'll get to destroy my skis again on Lower Sunday Punch. Or get some exercise, depending upon how long the walk is...

That said, the low for tonight and tomorrow at Sunday River elevation is 25*. After that it does not get below freezing even for the low. But at least some more blowing tonight and tomorrow? Maybe?

:sad: :-?

 

[RichT]

Don't shoot me, but as of today, the computer models with respect to good cold air for the Northeast, are suggesting that it might very well be Thanksgiving Week before the cold air building up over the Arctic circle makes a run at us But, if you believe the models, roughly 2 weeks out they're practically suggesting that the artic circle is going to descend out of the Canadian Rockies, across the upper mid-west and into the Northeast when it finally does happen.

In the mean time, get the leaves cleaned up and the x-mas lights out, so that when the widespread New England ski season starts, nobody will have any excuses not to go!

Do you have a link to that long range forcast model site? Getting tired of the Weather Channel.

 

[Puck it]

And I'll get to destroy my skis again on Lower Sunday Punch. Or get some exercise, depending upon how long the walk is...

That said, the low for tonight and tomorrow at Sunday River elevation is 25*. After that it does not get below freezing even for the low. But at least some more blowing tonight and tomorrow? Maybe?

:sad: :-?

Humidity may be too high to blow.

 

[WinnChill]

Humidity may be too high to blow.

Yep--wet bulb temps don't look good. Maybe for the summit the next couple of nights but not worth the effort with the warming trend and inversions on those nights as well.

 

[Vortex]

snow forcast an Nooa have a few degree difference. It will be interesting. My guess is the River will be on line tonight. If they can I am sure they will.

 

[thetrailboss]

snow forcast an Nooa have a few degree difference. It will be interesting. My guess is the River will be on line tonight. If they can I am sure they will.

Just heard Roger Hill on WDEV say that the NEK and Northern NH may get down to the 10's tonight, so I'd be willing to bet that Sunday River has the guns locked and loaded...which is more than Sugarbush is doing right now

 

[WinnChill]

Just heard Roger Hill on WDEV say that the NEK and Northern NH may get down to the 10's tonight, so I'd be willing to bet that Sunday River has the guns locked and loaded...which is more than Sugarbush is doing right now

Locked and loaded with an ichy trigger finger! Keep in mind though, that those are surface temps where the coldest air lays (base/valleys). Temps can be different further up you go--nighttime inversions (when winds calm down) are a PITA for snow crews. This latest storm is screwing up normal vertical temperature profiles as well.

I hope they can get something going up top with very marginal snowmaking conditions tonight, but then it depends on how long they can keep it around during this week's warmup. It'll interested to see what they do. Fingers crossed!

 

[Vortex]

I will be listening tonight hoping for that friendly hissing sound. I think its a wait and see.

 

[UVSHTSTRM]

I was checking out accuweather (not sure how accurate) using Stratton from Sugarloaf and it looks like starting on the 18th that Sugarloaf will have a 24/7 snowmaking window for a good 5 days leading into the holiday. What say you, you weather nuts? Should I trust accuweather?

 

[Vortex]

I always thought that accu weather came in on the colder side of forecasts. I look at snow-forecast .com nooa and weather.com and when ever else I can find until I fine one I like.

Russ Murley is fantastic,