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Christmas eve Noreaster

Smellytele

Well-known member
Joined
Jan 30, 2006
Messages
10,225
Points
113
Location
Right where I want to be
Will
have to monitor rather potent shortwave approaching from the
midwest saturday...which is progged to move across the northeast
saturday night into christmas day. Where the associated surface
low tracks is still very much in question...but with arctic high
poised over eastern canada...ptype doesn`t appear to be in
question. Have indicated a low chance for snow christmas eve into
christmas day...but this situation bears watching for those
looking for a white christmas or with travel plans next weekend.
 

Tooth

New member
Joined
Oct 11, 2011
Messages
433
Points
0
Location
Maine coast and SL
Will
have to monitor rather potent shortwave approaching from the
midwest saturday...which is progged to move across the northeast
saturday night into christmas day. Where the associated surface
low tracks is still very much in question...but with arctic high
poised over eastern canada...ptype doesn`t appear to be in
question. Have indicated a low chance for snow christmas eve into
christmas day...but this situation bears watching for those
looking for a white christmas or with travel plans next weekend.

I'll hang my hat on anything at this point that calls for snow. Holy crap we need a shot of it. Anything just to make it look like winter will help my mood greatly. :dontknow:
 

bobbutts

New member
Joined
Mar 18, 2007
Messages
1,560
Points
0
Location
New Hampshire
Will
have to monitor rather potent shortwave approaching from the
midwest saturday...which is progged to move across the northeast
saturday night into christmas day. Where the associated surface
low tracks is still very much in question...but with arctic high
poised over eastern canada...ptype doesn`t appear to be in
question. Have indicated a low chance for snow christmas eve into
christmas day...but this situation bears watching for those
looking for a white christmas or with travel plans next weekend.

6z and 12z gfs look alot warmer, given that + 5 days out in this pattern I am worried about ptype still
 

Nick

Administrator
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Nov 12, 2010
Messages
13,178
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48
Location
Bradenton, FL
Website
www.alpinezone.com
It would be typical that I would build a snowthrower, and then it will sonw the same day :lol:

It's all good though, I'll take the natural stuff anyday, please just let it DUMP
 

4aprice

Well-known member
Joined
Mar 14, 2008
Messages
3,991
Points
63
Location
Lake Hopatcong, NJ and Granby Co
No NAO flip that I have seen.

Don't have to have a -NAO for a snowstorm. You do need one however for sustained cold and I agree it has not flipped yet (AO either). Still believe that flip is coming down the line. Its been warm for a while now and no pattern lasts forever so I like or chances for the second half of the season.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ
 

k123

New member
Joined
Mar 4, 2010
Messages
344
Points
0
Both weather.com scenarios showing snow for the interior northeast :snow:

map_specnews10_ltst_4namus_enus_440x248.jpg


map_specnews11_ltst_4namus_enus_440x248.jpg
 

jaja111

New member
Joined
Oct 12, 2005
Messages
489
Points
0
Location
Spencerport, NY
Gonna happen. Gonna happen. Gonna happen. Gonna happen. Gonna happen. Gonna happen. Gonna happen. Gonna happen. Gonna happen. Gonna happen. Gonna happen. Gonna happen.
 

Glenn

Active member
Joined
Oct 1, 2008
Messages
7,691
Points
38
Location
CT & VT
Weather dude this AM says the model runs over night have changed a bit. I guess it may be "slowing down" which could be good for those of us waiting for snow.....
 

drjeff

Well-known member
Joined
Jan 18, 2006
Messages
19,402
Points
113
Location
Brooklyn, CT
Gotta hope that this time around that there actually is transfer of energy from the original low pressure system that is looking like it wants to track up the St. Lawrence River Valley to the secondary low off the Middle Atlantic Coast and then some strong development of that Low in the still WARM waters of the Atlantic (heck just in the last day or so the water temperature out in Long Island Sound FINALLY dropped below 50 degrees).

At this moment in time though what we really need is just SUSTAINED cold weather. Natural snow would be nice, but 1 storm won't have the the naturals and tree areas suddenly open. It will help, but many a tree area, has a bunch more debris down than usual this year. So a number of "moderate" wet snow, base building storms will be even more important than usual for many a tree area this season
 

wa-loaf

Well-known member
Joined
Jan 7, 2007
Messages
15,109
Points
48
Location
Mordor
Snow tires are going on Friday morning so this will probably fizzle out. Sorry ...:sadwalk:
 
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