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NWS 2016 / 2017 Winter forecast!

Not Sure

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Although I retired from posting pictures to this subforum due to some people's abject douchebaggery, this is such ridonkulous potential snowporn that I couldnt help but come out of retirement for this.

Avert your children's eyes.

Snowporn.jpg

sedllers.jpg

Speak engrish prease ..enough with millibars .....Accummirations !!!!
 

BenedictGomez

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View attachment 21803

Speak engrish prease ..enough with millibars .....Accummirations !!!!

Not worth even thinking about that this far out.

The important thing is, it's still there as of last night on the Euro(below).

The 2nd important thing is, the Canadian has picked up on it as well, although it's farther off the shore = less snow on the canuck.

Our model suppresses the low off the coast of South Carolina (yeah, not even close).

ecmwf_z500_mslp_us_7.png


Everyone's excited about Sunday/Monday (as they should be), I'm excited about the above. Fingers crossed.
 

snoseek

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What a time to be an east coast skier. I'm taking today off to get my anatomy on point then heading up to get this storm!
 

Edd

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Looks like some winds on Monday. I wonder if SR is a safer bet for holds. Trying to decide between the two for Monday.
 

Glenn

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Upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning for SoVT. No surprised. But still happy.
 

BenedictGomez

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Sadly after what looks like a phenomenal PDW, all models are showing a pretty dramatic ~4 day warmup with heavy rain. Hopefully that doesnt happen. :(
 

Glenn

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Yeah, not liking the potential precip for next week. Slightly warm temps can be dealt with. But no rain please.
 

BenedictGomez

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It's worse than that, I think I'm going to be sick. Just when conditions couldnt be much better, the models are signaling a massive warmup.

One potential saving grace caveat is that the long-range climate models have been worse than a blindfolded monkey throwing darts at the triple-twenty this year, so hopefully that trend continues.
 

VTKilarney

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It's been a good year, but not without some frustration. It seems that just when conditions get to be very good, we take a step backwards. Rinse and repeat. But at least we keep bouncing back.
 

mriceyman

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It's worse than that, I think I'm going to be sick. Just when conditions couldnt be much better, the models are signaling a massive warmup.

One potential saving grace caveat is that the long-range climate models have been worse than a blindfolded monkey throwing darts at the triple-twenty this year, so hopefully that trend continues.

Yep basically after day 3 anything could happen and any solution can change.. really poor long range verification for the models this year


Sent from my iPhone using AlpineZone
 

deadheadskier

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I wouldn't trust anything more then 3 days out at this point. Long range is a complete waste of time.

Sent from my LG-H901 using AlpineZone mobile app

Agreed. It was last year too, but in the opposite direction. Snow storms predicted 7 days out turned into wash out events. Both years the models have been wrong more often than right with significant frequency
 
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