Sundown SUNDAY 12-7

[powhunter]

unless something comes up Ill be up for the 10-4 tour

steve (maybe hang out in the bar for a while after too :beer: )

 

[downhill04]

unless something comes up Ill be up for the 10-4 tour

steve (maybe hang out in the bar for a while after too :beer: )

There is a slight chance (10%) that I will be ther Sunday. If I do go it will be with my 4y/o son.

 

[Grassi21]

i might be able to make it happen. need to feel the wife out.

 

[2knees]

i might be able to make it happen. need to feel the wife out.

so hard to resist........

must not comment.....

 

[2knees]

i might be able to do a night session if you want to ski for about 10 hours steve. not sure about the day though.

 

[powhunter]

i might be able to make it happen. need to feel the wife out.

:-o

 

[Grassi21]

so hard to resist........

must not comment.....

:-o

if it was only that easy....

 

[Greg]

i might be able to do a night session if you want to ski for about 10 hours steve. not sure about the day though.

I might be able to pull off a later afternoon into the night session. I'm hearing rumbles about a snow storm on Sunday perhaps.

 

[Greg]

Word. Important stuff in bold:

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
A PERSISTENT LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE ERN HALF OF
THE LOWER 48 WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.

THU NIGHT TO FRIDAY...STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION OCCURS IN THE WAKE
OF THE COLD FRONT OVERNIGHT WITH THE LATEST 00Z GFS HAVING 850 HPA
TEMPS FALLING TO -13 TO -15C OVER THE ENTIRE FCST AREA BY 12Z/FRI.
LAKE EFFECT SNOWFALL WILL BE ONGOING DURING THIS PERIOD WITH PERHAPS
A MULTI-LAKE CONNECTION /SUPERIOR....HURON...TO ONTARIO/ IN THE W/NW
FLOW ALOFT. THERE IS SOME DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN THE NAM/GFS WHETHER
A 270 VS. 290 LOW LEVEL TRAJECTORY WILL OCCUR WITH THE LAKE BAND
POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT. THE DETAILS WILL IRON OUT LATER...WITH A
SINGLE BAND FORMING WITH CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT...AND MODERATE TO
EXTREME LAKE INDUCED INSTABILITY FROM BUFKIT POINT PROFILES UPSTREAM
OF KALB. LIKELY/HIGH CHANCE POPS WERE CONTINUED FOR HERKIMER AND
HAMILTON COUNTIES.

FRIDAY NIGHT...LAKE EFFECT SNOWFALL DIMINISHES AND ANY BANDING LIFTS
NORTH OF THE WRN ADIRONDACKS...WITH SFC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING IN
FROM THE TN VALLEY. MEANWHILE...A CLIPPER LOW WILL BE DIVING
SOUTHEAST FROM THE WRN GREAT LAKES REGION.

SATURDAY...A FAIR AND COLD DAY WITH H850 TEMPS STILL AROUND -15C.
SOME WEAK WARM ADVECTION WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING
CLIPPER.

SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...WE INCLUDED CHANCES OF LIGHT SNOW
ACROSS THE ENTIRE FCST AREA WITH THE CLIPPER PASSAGE. THE GFS/ECMWF
BOTH SHOW SOME POTENTIAL PHASING OF THE NRN STREAM WITH THE SRN JET
STREAM OFF THE ERN NEW ENGLAND COAST WITH COASTAL
REDEVELOPMENT...BUT AT THIS POINT...IT MAY OCCUR FAR ENOUGH
DOWNSTREAM TO JUST ALLOW THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND THE BROAD
DEFORMATION ZONE TO CONTINUE THE LIGHT SNOW TO CLOSE THE
WEEKEND...AS ARCTIC AIR POURS INTO THE REGION. IT WILL BE BLUSTERY
AND VERY COLD WITH HIGHS ON SUNDAY ONLY IN THE 20S...AND LOWS IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS. WIND CHILLS WILL LIKELY BE BELOW ZERO
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY....HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES IN OVER NY AND NEW
ENGLAND WITH TEMPERATURES STILL RUNNING AT LEAST 10 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL.

Game on. Snowmaking and maybe natural. The bumps should be primed again by the end of the weekend.

 

[Greg]

I'm just about as definite as I can be here. Aiming for 4 pm - 10 pm. Hopefully at the height or tail end of a monster dump. Time will tell...

 

[powhunter]

I might pull an iron man 12-4 5-10

steveo

 

[bvibert]

Looking like I can pull off Sunday night if that's when it's gonna be good, and you other bozos will be there.

 

[Grassi21]

Giddy-up! I'm angling for the 4 - 10 slot as well. If I can pull it off even earlier.

 

[mondeo]

I should be in.

 

[downhill04]

It’s looking like I will be there for the morning session. My get out to ski card is going to expire around 11:45

 

[bvibert]

From my non-expert analysis it looks like Sunday night is still going to be the best night weather wise, anyone seeing anything different?

 

[Greg]

From my non-expert analysis it looks like Sunday night is still going to be the best night weather wise, anyone seeing anything different?

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A CLIPPER LIKE SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH A SHARP UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL
BRING THE THREAT OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY...WITH LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS SUNDAY NIGHT. AT THIS POINT...
HAVE FORECAST POPS AS HIGH AS 50 PERCENT WITH THIS SYSTEM. THE SHARP
UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL ALSO INDUCE STRONG CYCLOGENESIS OVER THE
ATLANTIC...BUT TOO FAR OUT TO SEA TO AFFECT OUR REGION DIRECTLY.
HOWEVER...THIS OCEAN STORM WILL INCREASE THE GRADIENT OVER THE
REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY WHEN IT WILL BE QUITE WINDY.

At a minimum, we'll get more snowmaking on the bumps by Sunday night. Chris indicates he'll make snow on them Friday night starting at about 6:30 pm. Hopefully they'll get hit again Saturday night and we'll get a few inches Sunday. Should be good.

 

[downhill04]

Everybody make sure to bring your tinted goggles. The glare from Greg’s boots is almost blinding.:-o

 

[Greg]

Everybody make sure to bring your tinted goggles. The glare from Greg’s boots is almost blinding.:-o

Indeed! 8)

BTW - lower Temptor will get dusted Saturday night as well.

 

[downhill04]

BTW - lower Temptor will get dusted Saturday night as well.

Sounds good to me. This time I am actually going to pull the skis out of the car unlike last weekend. I'm still kicking myself for driving all the way up there and turning around due to the rain. I'm such a loser :dunce: