Wednesday, March 7 thru ?? Warmup

[skiersleft]

It seems that a substantial warmup is headed to New England late next week. Does anyone have any idea how strong it's expected to be, how long it's forecast to last and if it's forecast to be accompanied by rain? Had a big event planned for next weekend in VT and now it seems that temps might be May like.

 

[4aprice]

Hopefully someone like Winn with expertise will chime in. We are due for a warm up thats for sure but for how long and how warm is the big question. I've seen everything from people talking 70's to others pointing to major cold over Hudson Bay which may effect things. Longer range forecasts for Vermont have temps in 40's and 50's and some rain but its hard to put any faith in anything beyond about 3 days. I also read just this morning that the GFS and Euro may at odds with each other so who knows. Hopefully the ski gods will smile upon us.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

 

[St. Bear]

I'd much rather have some slushy bumps if it means reversion to the mean and snow at the end of March.

 

[skiersleft]

Hopefully someone like Winn with expertise will chime in. We are due for a warm up thats for sure but for how long and how warm is the big question. I've seen everything from people talking 70's to others pointing to major cold over Hudson Bay which may effect things. Longer range forecasts for Vermont have temps in 40's and 50's and some rain but its hard to put any faith in anything beyond about 3 days. I also read just this morning that the GFS and Euro may at odds with each other so who knows. Hopefully the ski gods will smile upon us.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

Thanks. Where did you read about GFS and Euro being at odds with each other? Also, where do you check long range forecasts for VT? Commercial sites like AccuWeather and Weather.com or more ski oriented websites? Most ski oriented websites that I have checked go up to 6 days, but not more than that. Thanks again!

 

[BenedictGomez]

Thanks. Where did you read about GFS and Euro being at odds with each other? Also, where do you check long range forecasts for VT? Commercial sites like AccuWeather and Weather.com or more ski oriented websites? Most ski oriented websites that I have checked go up to 6 days, but not more than that. Thanks again!

All those sites "forecasts" when you plug in "anywhere, USA" rely on the GFS and generally arent taking into account the Euro, UKMET, Canuck etc... So it's better to rely on people who know what they're talking about and there are tons of helpful regional amateur and professional mets on Facebook, plus some dedicated sites like adirondackweathersite.com (my favorite, guy has been spot on all winter with his doom and gloom bearish forecasts) for snow country. Also, you can look at the models yourself, because anything you're seeing on weather.com etc.... when you plug is a town is not a human-made forecast beyond I think 4 days? And for near term stuff, you can always pull up the NAM or GFS etc.. and try to gauge snowfall for yourself.

 

[skiersleft]

Hey Winn....any thoughts on how long and how warm it will get next weekend and if there are big threats of rain would be appreciated!

 

[SKIQUATTRO]

March 7 is my Bday, it WILL snow 'cause thats what i asked for...

 

[ScottySkis]

March 7 is my Bday, it WILL snow 'cause thats what i asked for...

That is funny because my birthday is march7 too and last year it snowed a lot in north VT so it should happen again I hope for your birthday.

 

[WinnChill]

Hey Winn....any thoughts on how long and how warm it will get next weekend and if there are big threats of rain would be appreciated!

You don't want to know. Actually, could be fairly dry but definately warm.

 

[4aprice]

You don't want to know. Actually, could be fairly dry but definately warm.

Just seems like its not going to be our year. I'm hearing redux's of March 2010 which was pretty warm IIRC. On the up side I guess it's better to have it melt away from warmth then washed away by rain. Will enjoy it as long as it lasts. I just read one last tid bit to hang some hope on and that was about a met named James (or Jim) Witt who predicts a cold and stormy period around the 18th to 24th of March. Can only hope he's right. I have this bad feeling that right after all the ski areas close we will get a late season storm. The ultimate slap in the face from mother nature.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

 

[Tooth]

Just seems like its not going to be our year. I'm hearing redux's of March 2010 which was pretty warm IIRC. On the up side I guess it's better to have it melt away from warmth then washed away by rain. Will enjoy it as long as it lasts. I just read one last tid bit to hang some hope on and that was about a met named James (or Jim) Witt who predicts a cold and stormy period around the 18th to 24th of March. Can only hope he's right. I have this bad feeling that right after all the ski areas close we will get a late season storm. The ultimate slap in the face from mother nature.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

Sugarloaf has over a foot from today. Still snowing hard. We will be here well into April.

 

[4aprice]

Sugarloaf has over a foot from today. Still snowing hard. We will be here well into April.

Well I won't get to SL as its a little out of my range, however, if N Vermont (Jay, Smuggs, Stowe, or SB) last till April I will be there and a happy camper.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

 

[Tooth]

Well I won't get to SL as its a little out of my range, however, if N Vermont (Jay, Smuggs, Stowe, or SB) last till April I will be there and a happy camper.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

I rode the lift today with a family from Wayne, NJ. Two guys from Yonkers, NY. I hear you that it is far. Living in Maine has made me very used to driving upto 2 hours each way without even thinking about it. I do understand. Hope you try it sometime. I'll show you around.

 

[St. Bear]

I rode the lift today with a family from Wayne, NJ. Two guys from Yonkers, NY. I hear you that it is far. Living in Maine has made me very used to driving upto 2 hours each way without even thinking about it. I do understand. Hope you try it sometime. I'll show you around.

A few weeks ago, I was told to stay in NJ, and now you're offering guided tours?

What a difference a week of snow makes!

 

[Zand]

Well I won't get to SL as its a little out of my range, however, if N Vermont (Jay, Smuggs, Stowe, or SB) last till April I will be there and a happy camper.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

Try mid-May for Jay lol.

 

[skiersleft]

You don't want to know. Actually, could be fairly dry but definately warm.

I do want to know! Especially, how long? Wednesday, Thursday? Friday also? The weekend? I love spring skiing, but not the first week of March. It's good news, though, that it might be dry.

 

[gladerider]

Well I won't get to SL as its a little out of my range, however, if N Vermont (Jay, Smuggs, Stowe, or SB) last till April I will be there and a happy camper.

Alex

Lake Hopatcong, NJ

+1

9 hours 1 way is too far

 

[BenedictGomez]

^ That's the primary reason I've never skied in maine, about 10 hours for me. Too far. Maybe one of these years if they have far superior snow in April than Vermont does.

 

[Tooth]

^ That's the primary reason I've never skied in maine, about 10 hours for me. Too far. Maybe one of these years if they have far superior snow in April than Vermont does.

I'll let you know. This is not the year so far.

 

[WinnChill]

I do want to know! Especially, how long? Wednesday, Thursday? Friday also? The weekend? I love spring skiing, but not the first week of March. It's good news, though, that it might be dry.

Ah, ok. In terms of no snowfall, it's bad. But a warm spike through midweek (50's to 60's??)--then a weak round of rain showers--more seasonable into the weekend then back and forth temp swings mainly above normal the following week probably.