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December is here. I need snow predicted here please Roxbury getting lake effect soon?

skiberg

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Was wondering the same thing myself. Anyone know when next best shot of 6+ snow is? I'm assuming Sat. is not a significant snow event.
 
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December is here. I need snow predicted here please Roxbury getting lake effe...

Not a good pattern, I would punt these next 7-10 days and wait for a reload.

There may be a re-curving typhoon that will kick the jet stream in the pants, that would definitely help our cause.
 
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steamboat1

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Forecast I'm looking at has a good chance for snow Tues. night into Wed. Possibly mixed precipitation during the day Wed. but I'm hoping it stays all snow at elevation. Looks to stay cool through the weekend after that.
 
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Forecast I'm looking at has a good chance for snow Tues. night into Wed. Possibly mixed precipitation during the day Wed. but I'm hoping it stays all snow at elevation. Looks to stay cool through the weekend after that.

It all depends on how far north the warm front gets; either way there isn't too much precip with this.

It's a rather hostile pattern for snow right now, but that doesn't mean we can't eek out a few events.
 

steamboat1

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It all depends on how far north the warm front gets; either way there isn't too much precip with this.

It's a rather hostile pattern for snow right now, but that doesn't mean we can't eek out a few events.
They're predicting (60%) 2"-4" for Morrisville/Stowe airport (elev. 732ft.) Tues. night with another inch of mixed precip Wed. (60%). Still a 50% chance of snow Wed. night. I'd think the mountains would be expecting more. I'll take it, fingers crossed. I'll be there Thurs.
 

catsup948

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Going to be a few days like today mixed in with some slightly below average cold days. Rollercoaster with no real snow chance until mid month. I guess the whole lower 48 is going to be way above normal for a little while.
 

Tin

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What's going on for this Sunday? Seeing this coastal system has a lot more moisture with it and north of the Mass Pike but south of Ragged could get 6"+.
 

Masskier

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What's going on for this Sunday? Seeing this coastal system has a lot more moisture with it and north of the Mass Pike but south of Ragged could get 6"+.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
716 PM EST TUE DEC 2 2014
[FONT=&quot]LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]AS OF 330 PM EST TUESDAY...LONG TERM PERIOD WL BE FAIRLY ACTIVE[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]ESPECIALLY AS WE HEAD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. LARGE SCALE SYNOPTIC[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]PATTERN WL FEATURE A SPLIT FLW ACRS THE CONUS...WITH LITTLE[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]PHASING OF SYSTEMS THRU THE WEEKEND...RESULTING IN NEAR NORMAL[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]TEMPS AND BLW NORMAL CHCS FOR PRECIP. WEAK NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]IMPACTS OUR CWA LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH LIGHT MAINLY MTN[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]SNOW SHOWERS. MAYBE A QUICK INCH OR TWO IN THE FAVORABLE NORTHWEST[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]UPSLOPE REGIONS OF THE NORTHERN DACKS AND CENTRAL/NORTHERN GREENS.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]TEMPS WL BE NEAR NORMAL.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot] [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]MEANWHILE...THE SYSTEM NOW IMPACTING CA WL CROSS ACRS THE SW[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]CONUS THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...THEN INTO THE MS VALLEY BY THE[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]WEEKEND WITH WEAK SFC LOW PRES DEVELOPING...WHILE A BLOCKING HIGH[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]PRES BUILDS ACRS THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]BLOCK WL RESULT IN BETTER CHANCES FOR PHASING WITH NORTHERN STREAM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]ENERGY OVER THE GREAT LAKES WITH SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY OVER THE[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]SE CONUS LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...WHICH IS ADVERTISED BY THE[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]LATEST 12Z ECMWF. THE ECMWF WOULD BE VERY FAVORABLE SOLUTION FOR A[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]MODERATE SNOWFALL ACRS MOST OF THE NORTH COUNTRY EARLY NEXT[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]WEEK.[/FONT][FONT=&quot]..WITH SFC LOW TRACK ACRS CAPE COD AND A CLOSING OFF 5H/7H[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]CIRCULATION TO OUR SOUTH ACRS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THIS SOLUTION[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE WITH PHASING...SFC DEVELOPMENT AND CLOSING[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]OFF THE MID/UPPER LVL CIRCULATIONS...WHEN COMPARED WITH OTHERS. I[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]WL TREND TWD THIS SOLUTION AND INCREASE POPS TO LIKELY...WITH[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]THERMAL PROFILES SUPPORTING MAINLY SNOW. ECMWF DID MUCH BETTER[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]ACRS OUR CWA...WITH HANDLING THE PRE THANKSGIVING DAY STORM AND[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]TYPICAL PERFORMS BETTER IN THESE TYPES OF PATTERN. GIVEN THE VERY[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]COMPLEX AND COMPLICATED UPPER LVL PATTERN AND ASSOCIATED SFC[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]FEATURES FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK...I EXPECT SEVERAL CHANGES IN THE[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]MODELS IN FUTURE RUNS. SHOULD BE NOTED BOTH THE GFS/GEM ALSO HAVE[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]A SIMILAR TYPE SOLUTION WITH WEAK SFC LOW PRES MOVING ALONG THE[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]EASTERN SEABOARD LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. HOWEVER...THE 12Z GFS[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]SHOWS THE PRIMARY SFC LOW TRACKING ACRS THE CENTRAL GREAT[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]LAKES...CLOSER TO THE STRONGER NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY...AND THIS[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]WOULD PLACE OUR CWA IN THE WARM SECTOR...SIMILAR TO THE EVENT[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]TONIGHT. BOTTOM LINE LOOKS LIKE A MODERATE TYPE SYSTEM WL IMPACT[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]OUR REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR AN[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]ACCUMULATING SNOW EVENT. TEMPS LOOKS TO BE NEAR NORMAL FOR THE[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]WEEKEND...BEFORE DROPPING BACK BLW NORMAL AS COLD AIR IS DRAWN[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]INTO THE SYSTEM BY MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY.[/FONT]
 

Tin

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Looking like significantly less moisture and further south day. This time yesterday Long Island and was looking at 2"+ of rain. Late Monday now instead of Sunday. Still could be a solid base builder.
 
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Looking like significantly less moisture and further south day. This time yesterday Long Island and was looking at 2"+ of rain. Late Monday now instead of Sunday. Still could be a solid base builder.

Looks very icy for southern areas. I would watch for ZR in this one.
 

catsup948

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We can't punt on December yet. It seems there could be a lot of warmth in the lower 48 for the next 10 days at least but it could be much colder here in New England at the surface than anywhere else. Northern New England could sneak in a decent storm in this pattern. This is an interesting setup for an ice storm somewhere as well.
 
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