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  1. #41
    JimG.'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by raisingarizona View Post
    The timing of all of this was pretty fortunate for the ski industry. Imagine if this thing landed in mid November keeping resorts closed through February. That would’ve really hurt.
    Glass half full.

    And a great point.


  2. #42
    Quote Originally Posted by raisingarizona View Post
    The timing of all of this was pretty fortunate for the ski industry. Imagine if this thing landed in mid November keeping resorts closed through February. That would’ve really hurt.

    We'll get to live that scenario in the fall when the virus comes back for cycle 2. Hopefully we have a vaccine or an effective treatment protocol by then

  3. #43
    Quote Originally Posted by icecoast1 View Post
    We'll get to live that scenario in the fall when the virus comes back for cycle 2. Hopefully we have a vaccine or an effective treatment protocol by then
    You seem convinced. I'm not. Neither of us really know about all that. I guess we will see.

  4. #44
    Quote Originally Posted by snoseek View Post
    You seem convinced. I'm not. Neither of us really know about all that. I guess we will see.
    It seems more probable than it just magically disappearing with no vaccine and no/minimal herd immunity.

  5. #45
    Quote Originally Posted by snoseek View Post
    You seem convinced. I'm not. Neither of us really know about all that. I guess we will see.
    Every expert I have seen is expecting a second wave in the fall. The only question is just how bad it will be.

  6. #46
    Quote Originally Posted by VTKilarney View Post
    Every expert I have seen is expecting a second wave in the fall. The only question is just how bad it will be.
    I'm also not sold on the second wave given we don't know the extent of this first wave. If 20% of the population can get sick and have immunity to the next wave than theoretically wouldn't wave 2 be 20% less contagious? They say this thing mutates much much slower than the flu so I'm hoping I'm right but there are many many smarter people working on this than me.
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  7. #47
    Quote Originally Posted by VTKilarney View Post
    Every expert I have seen is expecting a second wave in the fall. The only question is just how bad it will be.
    And the experts are also saying it will be 12-18 months before a vaccine can be developed, tested, manufactured, and distributed. There’s a good chance the entire 20-21 season could be lost.

  8. #48
    Quote Originally Posted by urungus View Post
    And the experts are also saying it will be 12-18 months before a vaccine can be developed, tested, manufactured, and distributed. There’s a good chance the entire 20-21 season could be lost.
    really depends on how much herd immunity we have and whether or not there ends up being an effective treatment. Hopefully some of the drugs currently in trial end up working on a large scale because we really can't afford to wait 12-18 months for a vaccine before we start returning back to (semi) normal. Also if we can develop testing to see who has been sick and who hasn't and can test more people quickly and backtrace infections, we shouldn't have to stay in lockdown forever

  9. #49
    Quote Originally Posted by urungus View Post
    And the experts are also saying it will be 12-18 months before a vaccine can be developed, tested, manufactured, and distributed. There’s a good chance the entire 20-21 season could be lost.
    This is not going to happen, because it literally cannot happen financially.

    Businesses cannot all stay closed another year. Now you're talking about 100% the "fix" being worse than the actual "problem" with talk like that; not even debatable.
    President - Bicknell's Thrush Extermination Solutions (BTES), LLC



  10. #50
    Smellytele's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by icecoast1 View Post
    really depends on how much herd immunity we have and whether or not there ends up being an effective treatment. Hopefully some of the drugs currently in trial end up working on a large scale because we really can't afford to wait 12-18 months for a vaccine before we start returning back to (semi) normal. Also if we can develop testing to see who has been sick and who hasn't and can test more people quickly and backtrace infections, we shouldn't have to stay in lockdown forever
    Isn’t the test to see if people have antibodies from having it just a few weeks away. I know we won’t have 30 million of them right off the bat but and seems like a good thing to see who can get out of lockdown.


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