1/29-2/1 storm

[ski_resort_observer]

Who to believe? If you listen to the tv weather people they are hyping a big storm coming.

The NWS does not agree:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/ifps/MapClick.php?CityName=Warren&state=VT&site=BTV

 

[Zand]

This week's storm will be a BIG SNE storm. Not much for NNE, but there should be some in the mountains. SNE should be looking at blizzard conditions Monday night-midday Wednesday.

 

[TwinTips21]

GGEM,GFS and NAM 0z runs take the storm out to sea. We're going to have to pray they bring this thing back north and west.

 

[NYDrew]

define south north east. I love snow and all, butI only like it if the mountains get it...not binghamton and below (although, this may be my chance to ski the woods behind my school...guess i better bring the tele gear home!!!)

 

[mountaindude]

He probably means southern New England, not south northeast. :beer:

 

[Zand]

Models showed the storm out to sea overnight, but now bringing it back. 12z GFS shows it still well off the coast, but much closer than earlier runs. 12z NAM shows storm whalloping SNE after uncertainty overnight. Sunday night's storm should being around 5" of snow to NNE.

 

[TwinTips21]

Good call Zand just got back from the SAT's nice to see the models trending the storm back west, not as much moisture though. More snow the farther east. Should be good for Burke, Okemo, Sunapee and east.

 

[Zand]

Latest NAM shows storm a bit further out than before, but a larger swath of precip extending into SNE than earlier. Still waiting on the new GFS run, which should be out in an hour or so.

Also, long range models are showing an extended period of arctic temps after February 7th, lasting through at least Valentine's day. Before that starts, a huge ocean storm looks to be evolving. It's still 8 days away, so we'll wait a bit, but it's something to look forward to.

 

[Zand]

Lastest from NWS...

THE MAIN EVENT IN THE LONG TERM WILL COME FROM A SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY
MOVING ONSHORE IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THE SHORTWAVE WILL DIG
SOUTH OVER THE PLAINS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AND FORM A MID ATLANTIC
COASTAL LOW MONDAY NIGHT. THIS PART OF THE SCENARIO HAS BEEN FAIRLY
CONSISTENT FROM ONE RUN TO THE NEXT. THE MAIN QUESTION IS THE
TRACK...AND THE RESULTING PRECIP TYPE OVER OUR AREA. THE NAM BRINGS
THE LOW CLOSER TO THE COAST...A WARMER SCENARIO FOR US...WHILE THE
GFS TRACKS OVER THE BENCHMARK (40/70). THE LATTER IS CLOSER TO PAST
RUNS AND SEEMS TO TRACK BETTER WITH THE 12Z ENSEMBLE MEAN. THIS
TRACK CONTINUES TO SUPPORT PRECIP OVER AT LEAST OUR SOUTHERN ZONES...
SO WE WILL CONTINUE LIKELY POPS THERE ON TUESDAY WITH CHANCE POPS
FARTHER NORTH. AS THE LOW TRACKS NORTHEAST LIKELY POPS ARE SUPPORTED
ALONG OUR EAST COASTAL AREAS...WITH POPS DIMINISHING TUESDAY EVENING
AND NIGHT.

And something else to look forward to later in the week:

ANOTHER LOW MOVES UP THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS
SHOULD SPREAD PRECIP INTO OUR AREA FRIDAY. NO SIGN OF A COASTAL
LOW...RATHER THE PRIMARY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN CONTROL AND TAKE AN
INSIDE TRACK...SO WE EXPECT P-TYPE AS RAIN ALONG THE SOUTH AND EAST
WITH RAIN OR SNOW IN THE INTERIOR.

 

[bigbog]

..........

Temps will be pretty constant in Sugarloaf area....

http://www.weather.com/weather/tenday/USME0203?from=search_10day

The Cape needs someone to create a small mountain... :lol: , these West to East systems always clip So NE at least once per season....

 

[ski_resort_observer]

Re: ..........

The Cape needs someone to create a small mountain... :lol: , these West to East systems always clip So NE at least once per season....

That's an understatement! My in-laws recently moved up to Maine from the Cape to get away from all the snow. :lol:

 

[ALLSKIING]

So...What is the weather doing in the north country?

 

[thetrailboss]

Someone mentioned Burke: we need a big dump.

As of 3pm, it wasn't doing anything up here in N VT. Plenty of cold air in the NEK and Burke is setting up to have some cold air in place for tonight and tomorrow, which looks good. Just need moisture.

 

[skibum]

drizzly mix rain/sleet/snow 38 deg in Campton just before 5 pm

 

[skibum9995]

It started snowing here in Lyndonville about 5:00. It's currently coming down at a pretty good rate.

 

[ckofer]

If you look at

http://www.thewmurchannel.com/wxmap/1675923/detail.html

you would think that we're getting snow in Strafford NH. I will assure you that it's just rain & 38 degrees at 6:16 pm Sunday.

I need a trip to SLC.

 

[TwinTips21]

Ski bum, considering the fact that you're located in Lyndonville can you give a description of the area. One of the colleges I'm looking at for meteorology is Lyndon State College, and despite the fact that it's small it's the only meteorology school in Vermont (I think). I'm looking at a few others but Lyndon is on my list because I love Vermont.

 

[NYDrew]

got my answer. we got plenty of precipitation at Lab. Most of the falling stuff got soaked into my uniform jacket. I put in a request to have it dryed...like that will ever happen, im going to be teaching lessons soaked for weeks

 

[skibum9995]

TwinTips - Lyndonville is a small town with not much going on. If you are interested in meteorology than you definitely should check out LSC. A similar discussion can be found here.

http://forums.alpinezone.com/viewtopic.php?t=7593

 

[ga2ski]

Rain and 37 in Hooksett NH at 19:45 on 1/29/06

Looks like snow up north though:

http://intellicast.com/IcastPage/Lo...p=RadarImagery&product=RadarLoop&prodnav=none