Accuweather Winter Forecast Released

[Zand]

City, State, 05 Temp, Normal Temp, Temp Depart., 05 Snow, Normal Snow, Snow Depart.

ALBANY, NY 26.88 29.88 -3 80 64 16
BINGHAMTON, NY 26.08 28.58 -2.5 106 84 22
BLOCK IS., RI 32.2 35.2 -3 26 21 6
BLUE HILL, MA 29.72 32.72 -3 76 60 16
BOSTON, MA 32.88 35.88 -3 53 42 11
BRIDGEPORT, CT 33.3 36.3 -3 35 26 9
BUFFALO, NY 29.44 30.94 -1.5 103 94 9
BURLINGTON, VT 23.1 26.1 -3 99 79 20
CARIBOU, ME 15.82 18.82 -3 129 112 17
CONCORD, NH 25.04 28.04 -3 80 64 16
HARTFORD, CT 30.02 33.02 -3 64 49 15
MT. WASHINGTON, NH 8.22 11.22 -3 326 261 65
NEW YORK CITY 41.72 38.72 3 36 28 8
PORTLAND, ME 26.22 29.22 -3 88 70 18
PROVIDENCE, RI 49.96 52.96 -3 45 36 10
ROCHESTER, NY 28.48 30.48 -2 107 92 15
SYRACUSE, NY 27.82 29.82 -2 139 116 23
WORCESTER, MA 27.48 30.48 -3 85 68 17

Those are just eastern cities. You can view all of them on accuweather.com. For the west, they're saying way less snow than normal. Hell, Denver picked up 1/3 of their forecast today.

 

[Strat]

Too many numbers... I prefer graphics

 

[ctenidae]

I do like it that Accuweather and The Old Farmer's Almanac are in agreement.

Makes me wonder what all those sattelites adn computers are for, though...

 

[Powderhound21]

Hurricanes

 

[Powderhound21]

Oh yeah, Im likin my 125% of avg snowfall. Avg- 40"

So uh, that means, 50". Awesome!

 

[highpeaksdrifter]

Too many numbers... I prefer graphics

I like that map, fingers crossed.

 

[loafer89]

I'll get excited when I see NOAA's winter outlook. Hopefully there will not be a repeat of last year when most of New England's heavy snow fell at the coast and missed the mountains :x

 

[Greg]

Too many numbers... I prefer graphics

I like that map

Likewise! :beer:

 

[awf170]

City, State, 05 Temp, Normal Temp, Temp Depart., 05 Snow, Normal Snow, Snow Depart.

ALBANY, NY 26.88 29.88 -3 80 64 16
BINGHAMTON, NY 26.08 28.58 -2.5 106 84 22
BLOCK IS., RI 32.2 35.2 -3 26 21 6
BLUE HILL, MA 29.72 32.72 -3 76 60 16
BOSTON, MA 32.88 35.88 -3 53 42 11
BRIDGEPORT, CT 33.3 36.3 -3 35 26 9
BUFFALO, NY 29.44 30.94 -1.5 103 94 9
BURLINGTON, VT 23.1 26.1 -3 99 79 20
CARIBOU, ME 15.82 18.82 -3 129 112 17
CONCORD, NH 25.04 28.04 -3 80 64 16
HARTFORD, CT 30.02 33.02 -3 64 49 15
MT. WASHINGTON, NH 8.22 11.22 -3 326 261 65
NEW YORK CITY 41.72 38.72 3 36 28 8
PORTLAND, ME 26.22 29.22 -3 88 70 18
PROVIDENCE, RI 49.96 52.96 -3 45 36 10
ROCHESTER, NY 28.48 30.48 -2 107 92 15
SYRACUSE, NY 27.82 29.82 -2 139 116 23
WORCESTER, MA 27.48 30.48 -3 85 68 17

Those are just eastern cities. You can view all of them on accuweather.com. For the west, they're saying way less snow than normal. Hell, Denver picked up 1/3 of their forecast today.

what is this supposed to be telling us... that it will be the same exact weather as last year :-?

 

[Zand]

05 temp as in 05-06. :roll:

And I love the way it shows 50-75% of normal snowfall for Florida. "Instead of 10 flakes, you'll get 6 this year."

 

[riverc0il]

probably in relation to precip for florida. fwiw, i was also confused about the 05, 06 issue when i first looked at the stats...

 

[Zand]

fwiw? There's one I don't know.

As for the '05-'06, that's what I got off accuweather just before they put it in chart form like it is now. I figured all of you would be able to figure it out. Sorry about the confusion.

 

[riverc0il]

for what it's worth.

 

[Joshua]

as far as I can tell Accuweather only based their forecast on the Hurricane season....

NOAA will be interesting to compare...

10 days forecast remains warm right now (50's or higher), and 10-16 stays warm through the beginning of november

 

[thetrailboss]

And these facts, nice maps, etc. are brought to you by your favorite New England Ski Area, which says, "buy passes now," and by, Rick Santourum, proud sponsor of Crap-u-weather! :lol: :lol:

 

[ctenidae]

NOAA's forecast a couple of weeks ago was warmer adnd dryer than usual, but that forecast was a month or more old. Not to be a downer, but that's what it was. Likely it will change.

 

[Marc]

And we should all take pause and realize that more than one meteorologist one more than one separate occasion has told me New England, as a region, is easily the hardest to forcast weather for in all of North America, and high in the running for hardest in the world.


The weather will be what it will, no matter what our forcasters tell us now. Just like any other year, we will suck it up and enjoy it, because damnit, that's what being a New England skier is all about.


The rest of New England can be bitter like they normally are.

 

[dmc]

The weather will be what it will, no matter what our forcasters tell us now. Just like any other year, we will suck it up and enjoy it, because damnit, that's what being a New England skier is all about.

Last year I was skiing in New England...
Man - it snowed then sleeted - then the wind kicked up - then it rain - then it turned back to snow...

........and then in the next 5 minutes........

 

[Marc]

My professor that taught me Fire Dynamics I and II once explained to me that, when modeling a compartment fire, we are often aiming to be around 30% accurate.

That's right... 30%. He said the only other science that is comparable is meteorology, because of all the transient, nonlinear relationships, the only hard theoretical relationships come in the flavor of unsolvable (by analytical means) partial differentials, and the wide majority of hard predictions are based on extrapolation and correlations from historical emperical data that was collected over a number of years by questionable or at least unknown or different methods than widely accepted today.

As we all know, it is far from an exact or even accurate science.

That's why I tend to defend meteorologists while everyone else dumps on them constantly. The arm chair meteorologists tend to think they're more knowledgeable than the college degrees when they get lucky a few times.

I do hope that the meteorology community is not having the same difficulties as we are in fire science with computer models though. They are great tools to have but too often they're used as a be all and end all.

 

[Marc]

[/rant]