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Christmas Week Weather

kingslug

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I have to admit that reading reports from out west...has gotten me down. yes Hunter covered the whole place..but its still gun puke.....and airfare is a little off the wall right now...hope my trip out there at the end of Jan gets me some...never know though.
 

skiberg

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The storm prediction models seem to be reaching some consensus. Here is what snowforecast said at noon today "an all-out blizzard will unfold Sunday night and Monday at least part of New England." Looking better and better for significant snow. Seems like we may have a situation where its a question of how much and where, as opposed to whether we will get anything.
 

WinnChill

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The storm prediction models seem to be reaching some consensus. Here is what snowforecast said at noon today "an all-out blizzard will unfold Sunday night and Monday at least part of New England." Looking better and better for significant snow. Seems like we may have a situation where its a question of how much and where, as opposed to whether we will get anything.

Just to be sure you're referencing the right folks--we haven't called for this. Was is someone else you were thinking of? I hope we get nailed but we're still evaluating more data as we speak.
 

skiberg

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Cant you just let visions of sugar plums and blizzards dance in my head, its Christmas. I got that right form Accuweather.com. Eliot Abrahams and another did a webcast and reviewed the models. They showed the European and GFS coming more into agreement. Look into it though i am no anywhere near an expert; just a weather junkie. It was posted at noon.
 

WinnChill

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Cant you just let visions of sugar plums and blizzards dance in my head, its Christmas. I got that right form Accuweather.com. Eliot Abrahams and another did a webcast and reviewed the models. They showed the European and GFS coming more into agreement. Look into it though i am no anywhere near an expert; just a weather junkie. It was posted at noon.

Ah, no worries--just wondering. It still looks like a good chance of if hitting us in some fashion but I wasn't too impressed with the GFS. I'm still waiting on the free version of the Euro--some weather outfits get an early jump on it with their paid subscriptions for quicker more detailed versions of it. We'll see if we can dream of deep pow this weekend! :-D
 

skiberg

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Great. By the way Snowforecast is absolutely the best winter weather site around. I tell every skier I know to go to it. Happy holidays.
 

WinnChill

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Great. By the way Snowforecast is absolutely the best winter weather site around. I tell every skier I know to go to it. Happy holidays.

Wow, thank you Skiberg! Very kind of you! We certainly try our best at what we do.

The latest Euro does look pretty good leaving a good chance of getting crushed by this thing. Other model data isn't bad either but it's going to be very close. As DrJeff has already covered, all this storm has to do is just twitch and it's out to sea but I'm liking our chances a little better right now. I'll be tracking it through Christmas and will stay close to the forum in between Christmas cookies and presents.

Happy Holidays to you as well!

:beer:
 

hammer

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Wow, thank you Skiberg! Very kind of you! We certainly try our best at what we do.

The latest Euro does look pretty good leaving a good chance of getting crushed by this thing. Other model data isn't bad either but it's going to be very close. As DrJeff has already covered, all this storm has to do is just twitch and it's out to sea but I'm liking our chances a little better right now. I'll be tracking it through Christmas and will stay close to the forum in between Christmas cookies and presents.

Happy Holidays to you as well!

:beer:
What's the forecast for SNE and the Mid-Atlantic? I have some travel planned for Sunday and I need to see if I can time my trip or if I should postpone it for a few days.
 

soulseller

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Wow, thank you Skiberg! Very kind of you! We certainly try our best at what we do.

The latest Euro does look pretty good leaving a good chance of getting crushed by this thing. Other model data isn't bad either but it's going to be very close. As DrJeff has already covered, all this storm has to do is just twitch and it's out to sea but I'm liking our chances a little better right now. I'll be tracking it through Christmas and will stay close to the forum in between Christmas cookies and presents.

Happy Holidays to you as well!

:beer:

I seem to recall someone referring to the euro model as the red headed stepchild recently...
 

amf

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Dec 16, 2004
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Canaan Valley, WV... first chance of a day without snow is Wednesday after Christmas. About 16" of powder on the ground now. Tree lines are skiing great.
 

drjeff

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Its going to be so close with this one. Right now it could very well end up being something snow wise where the outer Cape gets nuked, at the Bourne/Sagamore about 6" or so and by the time you get back to the stretch of I-95 between Providence and 128 you could be talking just a couple of inches.

As of now though it does appear that the bulk of the heavy stuff will miss essentially all of the major New England ski areas to the East :( But every little shift East or West in this one Sunday night/Monday will/could make a big difference either way in snowfall totals and how far away from the shoreline the snow piles up
 

WinnChill

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GFS ensembles were a little better earlier today, hense my slight glimmer of hope but I'll hold off of the cartwheels. 18Z just came in...not bad with some eye candy for Maine...still no cartwheels though--I should probably stretch first anyways.
 

riverc0il

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Snow aside, the winds may be a factor for wind holds, not to mention driving conditions if this thing really hugs the coast. Once this storm clears, the rest of the week looks quiet so maybe Friday wouldn't be such a bad idea.
Already got Friday off. Four Friday's off in a row FTW! Keeping my options open on Tuesday, hopefully this thing pulls inland a little more than current models are suggesting!
 

WinnChill

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Hold on tight, 'cause the storm is on Sunday night! The models have honed in on a superb track for New England pow setting us up GREAT for the rest of the week! We're definately planning on upping totals to our forecasts in the morning! :snow::snow::snow:
 
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