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Haha gotta love the PC comments now about hoping for snow. Hope everything is going good for you and your place of business Scotty.
324 hours out on the GFS warrants a thread?
calm down people. 'nothing to see here.
although, I must admit I am getting antsy as well.
I'm not getting too excited about this one. The setup isn't nearly as favorable as we had with recent storms. Had those occurred later in the season, we'd be doing cartwheels. But post T-day may not be able to get that cold air entirely through us--one of the biases of this particular model. I could see a mixing scenario ending as some snow again with the storm track through the region but not the offshore bomb that we'd like. Something to keep an eye on but at this rate most resorts should focus on all-out snowmaking.
Hey Winn. A friend posted this no a non-ski site so his focus is around NYC but would you care to comment on this as reading it is getting me very excited...
Long range models are honking big time for an epic winter pattern for very late November and into the 1st 2 weeks of December. Pattern that is very similar to the famous winters of 95-96 and 2010-2011. Im hoping these pattern projections last.
I could see slightly more systems rolling through early Dec but could be inland runners/clippers (mixing) without the deeper cold we need for ocean bombs.
That is almost exactly what the GFS model is showing now - a few clipper like systems coming through.
Any chance of lake effect for Ny Roxbury, home of my favorite place soon?
Isnt the GFS historically kindof crappy for long-range prediction? Or, at least maybe I should say dont weather people usually pay more attention/credence to the Euro or UKMET for longer range stuff?
I'm still shocked by the fact that Plattekill gets substantial Lake Effect snow from a lake that is over 150 miles away. It just boggles my mind that the effect can travel that far of a distance.
Vermont lake effect also comes from both the Great lakes and Lake Champaign. Basically it just goes into their in a hill to pull it down, and Platty is the hill. There is a great article I think on Harvey Road blog about how lake effect works,