Monday 2/2/2015

[Quietman]

More mappage....

Wow, so these are verfied. Sorry Tin, but I have to drive to CT for business on Monday. Love it for skiing, not so much for travel.

 

[BenedictGomez]

GFS comes comes north a bit too

 

[BenedictGomez]

Here's a prediction made post 00z models with the exception of the Euro

 

[Tin]

More mappage....

Wow, so these are verfied. Sorry Tin, but I have to drive to CT for business on Monday. Love it for skiing, not so much for travel.

I have class Tuesday and Weds in CT so I will be at B-East.

 

[BenedictGomez]

The trend last night was north, so those maps are going to come probably 50 miles north.

 

[BenedictGomez]

 

[Not Sure]

On pins an needles....No more North shifts Please...No ice .No Ice No ice.

 

[BenedictGomez]

On pins an needles....No more North shifts Please...No ice .No Ice No ice.

12z NAM is now in and it came slightly more north

 

[BenedictGomez]

GFS comes north too....

Maybe the Poconos really are cursed. Given they were in the bullseye just 48 hours out, to move so much that they might not get much at all, and worse.....have some rain, ice and mixing as well..... it's really improbable.

 

[BenedictGomez]

12z Euro nudges a tad north.....

Anyone see a trend here? This is starting to look like it's going to work out well for most of ski country.

 

[moresnow]

12z Euro nudges a tad north.....


Anyone see a trend here? This is starting to look like it's going to work out well for most of ski country.

Didn't the blizzard keep trending west, until it didn't?

Don't count your flakes until they've fallen.

 

[catsup948]

This is starting to be a nice event out here.

 

[BenedictGomez]

Didn't the blizzard keep trending west, until it didn't?

Don't count your flakes until they've fallen.

This storm has far more model agreement, plus due to the orientation of the storm there's not many who can get screwed. The Pocono Mountains (as usual) are currently in the most "danger" of getting hosed. Check out how they're teetering on the edge of either 9" or 10" and...... messy mix of rain, ice and snow.

 

[moresnow]

This storm has far more model agreement, plus due to the orientation of the storm there's not many who can get screwed. The Pocono Mountains (as usual) are currently in the most "danger" of getting hosed. Check out how they're teetering on the edge of either 9" or 10" and...... messy mix of rain, ice and snow.

Who cares about the Pokes?

Platty wins.

 

[Not Sure]

Who cares about the Pokes?

Platty wins.

Had my heart set on a new BC run..50' from car and 50' back in car with 800 vert no, skinning . One more storm and it's filled in .
Ice it's a deathtrap!

 

[moresnow]

Had my heart set on a new BC run..50' from car and 50' back in car with 800 vert no, skinning . One more storm and it's filled in .
Ice it's a deathtrap!

Ok. That's one good reason.

 

[BenedictGomez]

Had my heart set on a new BC run..50' from car and 50' back in car with 800 vert no, skinning . One more storm and it's filled in .
Ice it's a deathtrap!

I didnt know there are spots where you can ski BC in the Poconos.

 

[Not Sure]

I didnt know there are spots where you can ski BC in the Poconos.

I found 3 spots, Last year did'nt get the full 900 vert due to running out of gas 2.5 mi skin to the Mountain but had an awesome time , did some DD this summer looking for closer access, They are building a foot bridge in JT for canal path access , that will cut skin to 1.25 mi. Second I'm working on landowner permission , 3rd is right in JT , have'nt hike it yet but did a drive by yesterday. Search " Jim Thorpe Switch back Incline" narrow but about 600 vert with possible access to the North side of Mt Pisgah.

 

[BenedictGomez]

I found 3 spots, Last year did'nt get the full 900 vert due to running out of gas 2.5 mi skin to the Mountain but had an awesome time , did some DD this summer looking for closer access, They are building a foot bridge in JT for canal path access , that will cut skin to 1.25 mi. Second I'm working on landowner permission , 3rd is right in JT , have'nt hike it yet but did a drive by yesterday. Search " Jim Thorpe Switch back Incline" narrow but about 600 vert with possible access to the North side of Mt Pisgah.

That's dedication. I had no idea.

 

[BenedictGomez]

Most honest weather update you'll ever see AFTER posting the below map:

Honest to God gut feeling and opinion (just being honest) the way trends have been going, there could be even lesser amounts with the final call and a change to rain all the way up to Scranton. This is why we saved the final call until tomorrow. Which will render this a complete waste of time, and reaffirm these models are useless in short and mid-range forecasting in our opinions. Not happy with all of the time spent on this only to see the models have no clue.