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We've been keeping an eye on it too. I mentioned to my wife this morning that next week could be very interesting. We'll see.
Jamaica, Cuba, The Bahamas and Bermuda will have far more to worry about from Sandy than the East Coast. 1 Model yesterday had Sandy tracking up the Eastern seaboard about a week from now, and this got picked up on. The other dozen or so models had Sandy heading in the general direction of Bermuda once she exits the Bahamas.
The reality is that just like many a computer modeled "perfect storm"/"storm of the century" etc, 1 or 2 outlying model runs about 8 to 10 days out won't have any resemblence 99.9% of the time to what we actually see happen. The only real concern I'd see for most of the East Coast right now would be for those folks going boating in the Atlantic and/or to the beaches up and down the East Coast for some wind, high surf and rip currents
possibly spawning a very rare and powerful hybrid storm, slamming into the Boston-to-Washington corridor early next week, with rain, snow, damaging winds, and potential storm surge flooding.
I agree with you in many aspects Dr Jeff, but I was reading a post from a pretty respected met on Americanwx and he said that sometimes when a model (and in this case several models) pick up on a big storm like this so far out (we are talking 6 to 10 days) the odds are greater that it could happen as opposed to the flip flopping regular model runs of a more benighen(sp?) pattern. BTW he was talking about the set up with out tropical interaction (ie Sandy out sea) . The 93 superstorm was one that was picked up on the models relatively early. Should be an interesting time to follow the models and see what happens.
Lake Hopatcong, NJ
I hope this thing blows offshore and misses us.
Sorry, but after the Halloween storm last season and the subsequent poor winter, I have no desire to see any natural snow before November this year. Bad mojo in my book.
I just want to make some turns after I missed out last weekend. The FJ is all ready to go with the equipment in the back. It would be nice to have a repeat of '05 to try the new planks in.