Someone posted that on Facebook this morning with the comment,
"Forecasters have narrowed down the track to somewhere between Toronto and Europe". I thought that was pretty funny,
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Perfect Storm possibly brewing...
- Thread starter Tin
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Someone posted that on Facebook this morning with the comment,
"Forecasters have narrowed down the track to somewhere between Toronto and Europe". I thought that was pretty funny,
Cornhead
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We've been flooded twice in the last five years, hope this isn't thrice in six. Time to move out West? Maybe there is something to Global Warming. I've lived in the same town all my life, hadn't flooded in 45 years till 2006. I pray it heads out to sea.
Does not look like it its going out to sea. The bigger question is do we get the north side or the south side of the storm. North side is going to be nasty.
drjeff
Well-known member
What is also concerning about Sandy and what her effects could be if and when she comes ashore and then as she breaks down overland, is how long that breakdown process takes. The same factors that could very well serve to draw Sandy into land, might very well keep her over a smallish area of land for a few days before what's left of her gets swept back out to sea and on towards Europe eventually.
Based on current models, it's not that far fetched to see Sandy and her remnents take a solid 72 hours or so to go from say landfall to somewhere in Western NY and then back out off the Eastern Seaboard
While the winds will fairly quickly diminish once she makes landfall, this could be a very long rain duration event, and that's not a good thing!
For many reasons, the best thing that the Eastern seaboard can hope for now, if the building consensus about the track continues, is that for the front coming in from the West, that will interact and help steer Sandy, to be much stronger than the models think and push her East as quickly as possible
Based on current models, it's not that far fetched to see Sandy and her remnents take a solid 72 hours or so to go from say landfall to somewhere in Western NY and then back out off the Eastern Seaboard
While the winds will fairly quickly diminish once she makes landfall, this could be a very long rain duration event, and that's not a good thing!For many reasons, the best thing that the Eastern seaboard can hope for now, if the building consensus about the track continues, is that for the front coming in from the West, that will interact and help steer Sandy, to be much stronger than the models think and push her East as quickly as possible
SnowRock
Active member
7 years in recorded history of 19 named storms... but 3rd year in a row. Coincidence?
This one has me nervous. After Irene I worry people won't heed warnings. I also live in NJ in the woods with lots of trees on/around my property. With the amount of rain and wind potential always a scary thought.
From our coasts to our mountains, this wouldn't be good for anyone... lets all hope this thing stays east. The model consensus is starting to look no bueno though.
This one has me nervous. After Irene I worry people won't heed warnings. I also live in NJ in the woods with lots of trees on/around my property. With the amount of rain and wind potential always a scary thought.
From our coasts to our mountains, this wouldn't be good for anyone... lets all hope this thing stays east. The model consensus is starting to look no bueno though.
millerm277
Active member
Latest NHC update to the projected track isn't making me happy, looks like it's aimed right at NJ: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/144711.shtml?5-daynl#contents
Looks like I may be going out to fill gas cans and stock up this weekend. Next 1-2 days should be interesting.
Looks like I may be going out to fill gas cans and stock up this weekend. Next 1-2 days should be interesting.
ScottySkis
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So were talking worse flooding In Tribeca NYc were my job is then last year, guess we will be taking all merchandise from bottom selves and putting higher up, last year's hurricane didn't flood were I work but came close, also does not help that we work in a basement.
So were talking worse flooding In Tribeca NYc were my job is then last year, guess we will be taking all merchandise from bottom selves and putting higher up, last year's hurricane didn't flood were I work but came close, also does not help that we work in a basement.
from_the_NEK
Active member
Recent GFS run has landfall in RI and pumping LARGE amounts of moisture (and wind) into New England.
Puck it
Well-known member
How does that saying go again, just in case?
4aprice
Well-known member
drjeff
Well-known member
Yup! The HUGE wildcard is when will Sandy transition from a warm core tropical system to a cold core system. To say that what *could* happen if things play out as the models suggest are somewhat "uncharted territory" from a meterological standpoint is an understatment!
I know that if it all comes together, and I happen to loose power, that I'll be buring through plenty of gas for the generator, and a cr@pload beyond the monthly alloted bandwidth usage on my wireless card for my laptop "watching" what happens as Sandy goes through her landfall and subsequent degredation.
Even though it's just 1 of many models, the 12z ECMFW from earlier today below, really had far more wind issues for the Great Lakes area than New England as Sandy makes the transition from Warm to Cold and Phases in with the system from the West.
If Sandy acts something like that, it would still put some significant 40-50mph winds over New England, but that's far better than the 70-80mph winds over Michigan and Ohio.
I think that it's safe to say that over this weekend, even the majority of "weather geeks" and storm lovers will be hoping that more and more models will keep showing estimates of "least bad situation" over their house. There's some major potential for some major flooding and wind damage happening over a large area by this time next week
ctenidae
Active member
I'm pretty excited, since just last month we moved from a house that was the highest natural piece of land at about 12 feet above mean high tide to a house that is about 3 feet above mean high tide. Timing will be almost as important to me on this as the actual path. With an astronomic high tide sustained winds out of teh east cramming an excess of water up Long Island Sound might be, well, interesting.
Edd
Well-known member
I've just arrived at the Atlanta airport. I had a front row seat to the hurricane in Jamaica. We were supposed to leave on Wednesday but the airport in Montego Bay was completely shut down.
The natives were nervous because they said a hurricane had not hit Jamaica dead on in seven years (wouldn't have guessed that).
It turned out ok for the island. All I saw was a lot of wind and not much rain. Hopefully other areas follow suit.
The natives were nervous because they said a hurricane had not hit Jamaica dead on in seven years (wouldn't have guessed that).
It turned out ok for the island. All I saw was a lot of wind and not much rain. Hopefully other areas follow suit.
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ctenidae
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ScottySkis
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Sent from my ADR6410LVW using Tapatalk 2
Mayor Bloomberg is talking about storm on on AM radio.
Mayor Bloomberg is talking about storm on on AM radio.
Oh yeah ? I was watching the news and while here in MA everyone is freaking out (my wife just went water / canned food shopping) it looks like we are mostly going to get heavy rain and it will be much worse down in the DE / MD / NY area.
billski
Active member
What kind of disasters hit the Rockies? It might be time to cash out and move on. The ski season is longer too.
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