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The 01/22 - 01/23 Storm thread (Could a snowstorm actully hit the Poconos?)

BenedictGomez

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Mappage predictions, because we all love those....

12492015_974116979302227_8410000575356872865_o.jpg
 

BenedictGomez

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NAM model still showing a solution off by literally hundreds of miles. When the NAM busts hard on this storm, it's going to be a MAJOR embarrassment that the US governments SHORT RANGE model was beaten by literally every global LONG RANGE model, on a storm that's < 12 hours from our doorstep. [/rant off]

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BenedictGomez

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12z GFS goes NORTH!!!!!!

To my eye, that looks like 8" to 10" for Blue Mountain, but the huge snow totals are knocking on the door and only require another 20 mile shift.

snowfall_total_accum_10to1_NECONUS_hr042.png


Versus GFS ensembles that just finished. OP is a juicy outlier, but ensembles still about 7" to 9" for Blue Mountain.

snowfall_total_accum_10to1_NECONUS_hr048.png
 
Last edited:

jimk

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I am currently at Canaan Valley Lodge, WV. They got about 4" last night. Calling for 4-8' tomorrow afternoon and 11-17" more Fri night into Saturday. I'll post some photos when it gets good. I'm scheduled to head home to DC area on Sunday afternoon unless the roads are closed. Bring it on, just don't kill the power lines to the chair lifts! :)

i'LL start separate thread later, but here's some quick photos and info from this AM in WV, got to get back to the hill now. Dumping underway:
http://www.dcski.com/forum/86087&scrollto=86087
 

BenedictGomez

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Euro makes another slight northward move!

All we need is another 20 miles north and the Poconos gets 12" for sure.

12508863_10153953155481742_3444155265706865849_n.jpg
 

Bene288

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So Blue Mt will make out it looks like? Have family in NJ and thinking of traveling down in the 4x4 tomorrow to ski Sunday. I'm guessing even with 12" skiing the trees wouldn't be advisable given the base?
 

Tin

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Really hoping the NAM and others are on it. NWS Boston is upping advisories and warnings for southern New England...Maybe? Just maybe?

This could be quite the shocker of a system...


CZWeaB-WEAAoITj.jpg
 

Rowsdower

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So Blue Mt will make out it looks like? Have family in NJ and thinking of traveling down in the 4x4 tomorrow to ski Sunday. I'm guessing even with 12" skiing the trees wouldn't be advisable given the base?

There is literally zero base so I wouldn't advise it. Blue does have a small maintained gladed area, so maybe that will be in play.
 

abc

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Really hoping the NAM and others are on it. NWS Boston is upping advisories and warnings for southern New England...Maybe? Just maybe?

This could be quite the shocker of a system...
It maybe my wishful thinking. But it seems the storm is coming up earlier than predicted. (I'm in my office in NYC. Prediction is for snow to start after mid-night. But from the map, it looks like it may start in the next couple of hours!)

Perhaps that's confirming a more northerly trend than the prediction?
 

Not Sure

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It maybe my wishful thinking. But it seems the storm is coming up earlier than predicted. (I'm in my office in NYC. Prediction is for snow to start after mid-night. But from the map, it looks like it may start in the next couple of hours!)

Perhaps that's confirming a more northerly trend than the prediction?

Lots of Virga , Not Sowing here in Pa. yet but radar seeing snow. Falling through very dry air and evaporating.
 
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