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The 01/22 - 01/23 Storm thread (Could a snowstorm actully hit the Poconos?)

BenedictGomez

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I still don't understand why we are discussing a mid-Atlantic storm on a northeast forum.

This thread should be moved to the
MID ATLANTIC Weather form .... Just sayn.

WAAAHHHHHH!!!!!!! My area isnt going to get the big snow...sniffles....WAHHHHH!!!!!


It's pretty humorous how much play the storm is getting in the Globe

That is odd. Driving hysteria to sell papers is the likely answer. That said, there are models that do have this sliding NE in a direction that could tag Boston with a decent snow, but if they're spending a ton of time on it, that is kindof silly.
 

BenedictGomez

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As for model discussion, NAM held serve and hits the Pokes with 12" to 15", too bad it's the NAM, but at least it stubbornly refuses to go south. GFS is running now.....

namconus_asnow_neus_29.png
 

BenedictGomez

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GFS continues to want to build a snow fence literally right on top of all the ski resorts. From 1" to > 16" in only 40 miles.

This solution would be heartbreaking for area skiers, yet so very incredibly Poconos.

acc10_1snowne.png
 

from_the_NEK

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Any hills around DC to ski on? :-o
Who's going to poach the steps of the Capital?

Upon Google Earth examination, Rock Creek Park, just north of downtown DC looks to have some potential.
 
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jimk

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Any hills around DC to ski on? :-o
Who's going to poach the steps of the Capital?

Upon Google Earth examination, Rock Creek Park, just north of downtown DC looks to have some potential.

There are some fairly big hills around Washington DC, mostly related to ravines and drains leading to the Potomac River. In the 1970's I used to run Cross Country races in HS and college at Battery Kimball Park in Northwest DC, which some evil track coach sadistically selected as a race venue because it was quite hilly:
http://byt.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/BYTSleddingWipeout.gif

I'm committed to a three night trip to ski in West Virginia, departing later this afternoon. May only get about a foot there, whereas Virginia ski areas closer to DC like Bryce, Massanutten and Wintergreen may get a two foot dump. In WV they have glade skiing. Those could be tricky this weekend because it will be a foot of powder over bare ground/stumps/logs.
 

BenedictGomez

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I'm committed to a three night trip to ski in West Virginia, departing later this afternoon. May only get about a foot there, whereas Virginia ski areas closer to DC like Bryce, Massanutten and Wintergreen may get a two foot dump. In WV they have glade skiing. Those could be tricky this weekend because it will be a foot of powder over bare ground/stumps/logs.

I've never skied in WV because from my place to there is the same as going to n.VT, but it looks pretty cool. Keep in mind the 12" you're seeing on the maps is the default ratio, so you should get at least 15" anyway if the modeling is correct. Sounds like a good time.
 

WJenness

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I just wanted to go on the record to say that I appreciate the discussion of this storm, even if it isn't in my neck of the woods.

I wish it was hitting somewhere I could ski, but it isn't, and I still appreciate reading about the storm.

Thanks for the discussion, all.
 

from_the_NEK

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Consider this...
Areas near Washington DC may pick up 24"+ (35" if you believe the clown shoes totals predicted by the NAM) of snow from this storm. Burke Mtn in northern Vermont is reporting a total snowfall of 31" for the year so far :-?.

What is the deal with all of the upside down snow storms in recent years. Last year we were tortured by ridiculous snowfalls in southern New England while living in an ice box up here with barely enough snow to bother wearing snowshoes. WTH!!!!!
 

BenedictGomez

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18z NAM isnt quite done running, but while all the other models want to suppress this thing with an eastern track and dry air, the NAM wants to bust through like drunken Kool-Aid man and give a historic blizzard to about 8 or 9 states.

Too bad it's the NAM, but it's fantastic snow porn.

EDIT: added drunken snow porn

namconus_asnow_neus_24.png
 

Rowsdower

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I feel like we always get amped up for a big storm. The models spit out crazy numbers 2-3 days ahead of time. Then it fizzles.

Anyone remember a storm in recent memory that wasn't predicted to be much then just dumped 2x as forecast?
 

BenedictGomez

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I feel like we always get amped up for a big storm. The models spit out crazy numbers 2-3 days ahead of time. Then it fizzles. Anyone remember a storm in recent memory that wasn't predicted to be much then just dumped 2x as forecast?

Sometimes it can be a zero sum game. I remember a few years ago there was a massive storm that was printing 20" to 30" inches where I live in New Jersey, and those sums did verify......... in Long Island and Connecticut.
 

JDMRoma

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What is the deal with all of the upside down snow storms in recent years. Last year we were tortured by ridiculous snowfalls in southern New England while living in an ice box up here with barely enough snow to bother wearing snowshoes. WTH!!!!!

Exactly ! Just like last year !

2 inches in the White Mountains and 2 feet at the mass border.




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