The Official 4/4 - 4/5 Storm Discussion Thread

[loafer89]

The forecast for Sugarloaf next week looks very promising for those dreaming of a white Easter:-D :

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY MENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST FOR...NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET-NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANDOVER...BYRON...MIDDLE DAM...ROXBURY...SOUTH ARM...UPTON...WILSONS MILLS...AVON...CARRABASSETT VALLEY...COBURN GORE...DALLAS...DAVIS...EUSTIS...KINGFIELD...BINGHAM...LITTLETON329 PM EDT SAT MAR 31 2007.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 20. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPHTHIS EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN LIKELY...THEN SNOW ORSLEET AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3INCHES. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCEOF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT..MONDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONPOSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCEOF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. .MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONPOSSIBLE. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCEOF SNOW 70 PERCENT. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW.LOWS AROUND 20. .WEDNESDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE.HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 18 TO 23. CHANCE OF SNOW60 PERCENT. .THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHSIN THE LOWER 30S. .THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCEOF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 15 TO 20. HIGHS AROUND 30. .FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OFSNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.

 

[loafer89]

Burlington V.T forecast discussion:

A HIGH ELEVATION GFS POINT SOUNDING OVER THE
NORTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS AT JAY PEAK SUGGESTS A WEEK LONG TOTAL OF
ABOUT 2.00" LIQUID EQUIVALENT MOST OF WHICH FALLS AS
SNOW...INTIALLY RAIN/VERY SNOW WET THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT BUT FROM
WEDNESDAY ONWARD A PROLONGED LIGHT SNOW COULD ADD UP.

 

[Greg]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
954 AM EDT MON APR 2 2007

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MODELS IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT THROUGH WED WITH MAIN FEATURES
EXCEPT QPF. GFS A LITTLE MORE INTENSE AND SLIGHTLY FASTER BRINGING
COLDER AIR INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY EVENING. AGREEMENT LENDS
CONFIDENCE TO MOST OF THE FORECAST BUT EXACTLY HOW MUCH
PRECIPITATION FALLS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS IS IN QUESTION.

TODAY SHORT WAVE WITH COLD/OCCL FROPA ALOFT 18Z WITH GOOD QG
FORCING...DEEP MOISTURE AND SOME ELEVATED INSTABILITY SHOULD BRING
CATEGORICAL POPS. POPS DROP OFF TO CHC OR SLGHT CHANCE OVERNIGHT
WITH LACK OF FORCING. WITH COOLING ALOFT WITH RESIDUAL MOISTURE
AROUND...DECREASING WIND AND DISSIPATING SFC FRONT COULD BE SOME
MIXED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ESP NE VT AND ADDED SOME PATCHY FOG.
SEE LITTLE TO BRING MUCH PRECIPITATION INTO MOST AREAS TUE AND ONE
COULD ARGUE DRY FOR OUR AREA SINCE WE HAVE A BRIEF WINDOW BETWEEN
WEATHER SYSTEMS. LATE IN THE DAY WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE NEXT
SYSTEM WILL THREATEN MAINLY NY AND PERHAPS RUTLAND COUNTY WITH A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

POPS INCREASE TUES NIGHT WITH WARM ADVECTION...MAXING OUT WED
WITH COLD FROPA. VERY IMPRESSIVE DYNAMICS...TROP FOLD PTYPE LOOKS
TO ME TO BE MOSTLY RAIN UNTIL WED EVENING WHEN THICKNESSES COME
CRASHING DOWN WITH HEAVIER BURST OF PRECIP CHANGING TO SNOW FROM
WEST TO EAST AND IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS FIRST. RIGHT NOW THINK
GFS HAS BEST TRACK RECORD IN OUR AREA THIS SEASON WITH MARGINAL
PTYPE EVENTS AND IT ARGUES RAIN WITH LOW LEVELS JUST A BIT TOO
WARM FOR ANYTHING ELSE UNTIL WED NIGHT. MOS SUGGESTS AT MOST A 30
PERCENT CHANCE OF S OR ZR UNTIL WED NIGHT ESPECIALLY ERN VT. I
LIKE A BLEND OF GUIDANCE TEMPS EXCEPT KEEP IT AT OR ABOVE 32
UNTIL WED NIGHT.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WITH LOW PRESSURE FORMING OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY
EVENING COULD BE A BURST OF HEAVIER PRECIPITATION AS IT CHANGES
OVER TO SNOW 00Z- 06Z ALL AREAS WITH A FEW INCHES OF SNOW
EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY HIGHER TERRAIN.

BY FRIDAY...CUTOFF POLAR VORTEX BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA WITH UNSEASONABLY COOL
TEMPERATURES AND NW PERSISTENT UPSLOPE FLOW WILL DRIVE MAINLY SNOW
SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY HIGHER TERRAIN....POSSIBLY MIXED WITH RAIN IN
THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. STILL LOOKS LIKE ACCUMULATING LIGHT SNOWS IN
THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE PERIOD WHICH COULD ADD UP TO
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS BY THE WEEKEND.

 

[andyzee]

Taking off work Friday and heading up to VT Thursday night. We've been very lucky being in the right place at the right time this year.

 

[loafer89]

It's looking good for Sugarloaf/Sunday River:

 

[andyzee]

Nope, Sugarbush/Killington :wink:

 

[snoseek]

It's looking good for Sugarloaf/Sunday River:

loaf and saddleback are where i'm putting my money.

 

[loafer89]

I would be expecting NOAA to issue a winter storm watch for Maine by sometime on tuesday, seeing as how the same storm is producing these warnings in the upper midwest.

 

[2knees]

loafer and all, i hope it comes true but accuweather maps? the noaa forecast looks promising for you............... more importantly.

 

[loafer89]

3" of new snow so far this morning at Sunday River and Sugarloaf with a winter storm watch now in effect

 

[Vortex]

I'll be at the River Friday. 3 inches last night at least 6 inches later in the week.

 

[Vortex]

greg posted the linc about the river. enough snow to open back up all peaks at the River Friday. And April 22nd closing day.
Home > News and Featured Articles



Sunday River to Re-Open Additional Peaks Prior to Weekend
Apr 3, 2007 - 12:55 PM
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By AlpineZone News


NEWRY, Maine -- With accumulating snow underway and more significant snow in the forecast this week, Sunday River is moving forward the re-opening of Jordan Bowl, Aurora Peak, and White Cap to Friday, April 6. Until Friday, Sunday River will continue to offer skiing and riding for all abilities serviced by 9 lifts.

"We had planned to have those additional peaks open for Saturday, but with all this new snow we're expecting fantastic conditions and a lot of early birds," said Jim Costello, Vice President of Brand Management.

The Resort is not projected to close for the season until April 22 and will be offering between 100 and 120 trails this coming weekend. Current forecasts are calling for between 6 and 12 inches of snow in the region with the potential for more in the higher terrain, and the National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Watch.

Easter Weekend ski and stay rates start at $65 per person per night and spring lift ticket rates are $39 midweek and $49 for the upcoming weekend. Weekend events include the Nickelodeon Kids Snow Festival with a concert by Hot Peas n' Butter and appearances by Dora the Explorer and Spongebob Squarepants. The Russian American Kids Circus will be performing two shows at the Grand Summit Resort Hotel and more information is available at www.sundayriver.com or by calling (800) 543-2SKI.


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[loafer89]

From the Sunday River snow report:

:smile: :smile: :smile: :smile:

Notice something with the forecasts for this upcoming storm? They all say Maine gets the most. Sorry NH and VT. It happens. It's nothing to be ashamed of, you just don't have as many inches.

 

[dropKickMurphy]

Heading up to my friend's place in Madison, NH on Weds night, will be skiing Thurs and Fri, and coming home on Saturday morning.

At this point, I'm leaning towards Wildcat on Thursday, the River on Friday.

 

[snoseek]

i skied the river today. the snow that feel was real thick. tough to ski but it covered things up real nice. groom it down and cover it with slightly drier snow and it'll be perfect!

 

[tcharron]

From the Sunday River snow report:

:smile: :smile: :smile: :smile:

Notice something with the forecasts for this upcoming storm? They all say Maine gets the most. Sorry NH and VT. It happens. It's nothing to be ashamed of, you just don't have as many inches.

Oh thats fine. We'll just pop in next door and use some of yours!....



..... NOO people.. NOOOO!

 

[Zand]

Snowing here now... wasn't supposed to get below 38 and wasn't supposed to changeover till tomorrow night, but alas, they were wrong. Here comes a foot haha.

 

[Justin10]

Snowing in Plymouth, NH as well. Maybe an inch or a hair more on the grass...

 

[SIKSKIER]

Looking Good!

NECN has now upped their predicted snowfall amount for the western Mts of Maine to about 18 inches!

 

[Vortex]

Russ weatherman out of portland/ helps with River forcasting is saying 10 to 20 inches at the river 24 plus on Aurora and Jordan.