powderfreak
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- Joined
- Jan 9, 2007
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With no large snowfalls on the horizon, there is still some good news in
that a potentially major pattern change might take effect here starting with
the cold coming in early next week. Before that time, we'll have two warm
storms to deal with...one tomorrow/tomorrow night and another one on
Saturday into Sunday. These will be rain anyway we slice it.
Now, the storm over the weekend will be responsible for a cold front that'll
swing through on Saturday night. Behind this front is a very unseasonably
cold airmass that'll be aimed at the eastern third of the nation. A ridge
along the west coast will cause buckling in the flow across the midwest and
eastern U.S. and a cold air dump will follow...meaning that basically the
cold being stored in Canada right now will be forced south into the
Midwest/Great Lakes/Ohio Valley area and eventually east into our neck of
the woods by the middle of next week.
This cold will stick around at least through the weekend of the 22th
(opening weekend for most ski areas in our region) so starting Sunday night
we should be able to achieve 24 hour snowmaking ops through the opening
weekend. No one should be in danger of not opening by the 22nd. This cold
(H85's below -10C) will also allow the valleys to have their first
sub-freezing highs by the middle/end of next week.
As far as snow goes, no major snowfalls are anticipated before the 20th.
However, I could see quite a string of days next week where we get some sort
of measurable snowfall in the mountains. With this strong cold air
advection crossing the Great Lakes region, there should be some weak
moisture to work with and I think we see off and on mountain snow showers
all next week with up to 3" possible in the favored western slopes on any
given day. By this weekend, we should have a better idea of what time
periods will be more favorable for orographic snow showers...but in general
the pattern next week reeks of multiple small snowfalls from periodic snow
showers and squalls.
The only big event I'm watching is all the way out around the weekend of the
20th. This is when the upper level trough looks to get into a favorable
position for east coast development. It would be fun to start the "resort
season" with a solid snowfall on opening weekend...
Bottom line: Cold and some snow is on the way after we get another couple
rounds of rain on Thurs-Sun...but from Sunday afternoon onward its all
flakes through the 10 day.
-Scott
that a potentially major pattern change might take effect here starting with
the cold coming in early next week. Before that time, we'll have two warm
storms to deal with...one tomorrow/tomorrow night and another one on
Saturday into Sunday. These will be rain anyway we slice it.
Now, the storm over the weekend will be responsible for a cold front that'll
swing through on Saturday night. Behind this front is a very unseasonably
cold airmass that'll be aimed at the eastern third of the nation. A ridge
along the west coast will cause buckling in the flow across the midwest and
eastern U.S. and a cold air dump will follow...meaning that basically the
cold being stored in Canada right now will be forced south into the
Midwest/Great Lakes/Ohio Valley area and eventually east into our neck of
the woods by the middle of next week.
This cold will stick around at least through the weekend of the 22th
(opening weekend for most ski areas in our region) so starting Sunday night
we should be able to achieve 24 hour snowmaking ops through the opening
weekend. No one should be in danger of not opening by the 22nd. This cold
(H85's below -10C) will also allow the valleys to have their first
sub-freezing highs by the middle/end of next week.
As far as snow goes, no major snowfalls are anticipated before the 20th.
However, I could see quite a string of days next week where we get some sort
of measurable snowfall in the mountains. With this strong cold air
advection crossing the Great Lakes region, there should be some weak
moisture to work with and I think we see off and on mountain snow showers
all next week with up to 3" possible in the favored western slopes on any
given day. By this weekend, we should have a better idea of what time
periods will be more favorable for orographic snow showers...but in general
the pattern next week reeks of multiple small snowfalls from periodic snow
showers and squalls.
The only big event I'm watching is all the way out around the weekend of the
20th. This is when the upper level trough looks to get into a favorable
position for east coast development. It would be fun to start the "resort
season" with a solid snowfall on opening weekend...
Bottom line: Cold and some snow is on the way after we get another couple
rounds of rain on Thurs-Sun...but from Sunday afternoon onward its all
flakes through the 10 day.
-Scott
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